The UEFA Nations League continues on Tuesday evening with two important League A fixtures in Group 4. Denmark host Norway, while group leaders Portugal travel to Wales looking to bounce back from a surprise home defeat.
We take a look at both matches from a betting angle.
DENMARK vs NORWAY
Denmark currently sit second in Group 4 with nine points from their opening five matches.
They made a slow start to the competition, losing two of their opening three games, but have since bounced back with successive victories over Wales and Portugal.
They edged Wales 1-0 at home before producing one of the biggest upsets of the competition, thrashing Portugal 4-1 on the road.
Denmark started that encounter as 4.70 outsiders but opened the scoring through a penalty in the 43rd minute before racing into a remarkable 4-0 lead. Portugal managed a consolation goal in injury time, but it was an outstanding performance from the Danes.
Norway currently sit third in the group and ended a run of three successive defeats when they beat Wales 3-1 at home in their most recent outing.
Prior to that, they had suffered a 2-1 away defeat against Portugal.
Norway’s matches have certainly provided entertainment for goals backers, with both teams finding the back of the net in all five of their fixtures. All five matches have also produced over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head
Norway won 3-2 when the sides met earlier in this Nations League campaign.
They also met in a friendly in 2024, with Denmark claiming a 3-1 victory.
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Betting – Click here to bet
Denmark 2.50
Draw 3.75
Norway 2.75
Verdict
Denmark look worthy favourites at home, particularly after their outstanding victory over Portugal.
However, Norway have scored in all five of their Nations League matches, with both teams finding the net on every occasion. I expect that trend to continue, but fancy Denmark to come out on top.
Rather than taking the straight home win at 2.50, I’m going to increase the price by backing Denmark to win a game in which both teams score.
BET: Match Result & Both Teams to Score – Denmark and Yes at 4.00
WALES vs PORTUGAL
Wales currently sit fourth in Group 4, having won just one of their opening five matches and suffered four defeats.
They come into this fixture on the back of successive losses, going down 1-0 at home to Denmark before suffering a 3-1 defeat away to Norway.
Portugal remain top of Group 4 despite dropping their first points of the competition in spectacular fashion when they were hammered 4-1 at home by Denmark.
Portugal started that match as 1.63 favourites but found themselves 4-0 down after 75 minutes and only managed a consolation goal in injury time.
Prior to that setback, Portugal had won all four of their matches, including impressive away victories over Denmark and Norway.
They beat Denmark 4-2 on the road and followed that with a 2-1 victory away to Norway.
Head-to-Head
The sides met in Portugal earlier in this Nations League campaign, with the hosts starting as overwhelming 1.15 favourites.
However, Wales proved stubborn opponents, and Portugal could only manage a narrow 1-0 victory.
Betting – Click here to bet
Wales 6.75
Draw 5.00
Portugal 1.47
Verdict
I’m expecting Portugal to bounce back strongly from their heavy defeat against Denmark and restore some pride with a convincing performance.
Wales have fought hard in several matches, but they lack the attacking firepower to consistently trouble the stronger teams in the competition.
Portugal have already shown their quality on the road with victories over Denmark and Norway, and I fancy them to win this encounter by at least two goals.
BET: Asian Handicap – Portugal -1.5 at 2.15
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
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