UFC Fight Night takes place at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday the 4th of April (early hours of Sunday the 5th in South Africa) with a lightweight bout headlining the event as Renato Moicano faces Chris Duncan. We take a closer look at the Main Event as well as two additional fights on the Main Card from a betting perspective below.
Click here to bet on the full fight card.
RENATO MOICANO vs CHRIS DUNCAN
Lightweight – Main Event:
Renato Moicano enters this headline bout holding a UFC record of 12 wins and 7 losses. The Brazilian lightweight is a well-rounded fighter with strong submission skills and solid striking and he has faced elite competition throughout his UFC career.
He last fought in June 2025 where he suffered a unanimous decision defeat to Beneil Dariush. Prior to that he lost via submission to Islam Makhachev in January 2025 but had earlier recorded back-to-back victories over Benoit Saint Denis and Jalin Turner in 2024, as well as a decision victory over Drew Dober.
Chris Duncan comes into this fight with a tally of 6 wins and 1 loss inside the institution. The Scottish lightweight has built momentum in recent fights with a strong grappling game and submission ability.
His latest appearance came in December 2025 where he submitted Terrance McKinney in the first round. Prior to that he secured a unanimous decision victory over Mateusz Rebecki in August 2025 and submitted Jordan Vucenic earlier in 2025. His only UFC defeat came against Manuel Torres in February 2024.
BETTING – click here to bet
Moicano 2.35
Duncan 1.63
PREDICTION:
Moicano has the higher level experience and has faced much stronger opposition throughout his career, while Duncan has momentum and strong grappling. This should be a competitive fight but Moicano’s experience and well-rounded skillset may allow him to control the fight. I am expecting Moicano to win by decision in a minor upset.
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VIRNA JANDIROBA vs TABATHA RICCI
Women’s Strawweight – Co-Main Event:
Virna Jandiroba enters this contest with a UFC record of 8 wins and 4 losses. The Brazilian strawweight is known for her groundwork and dangerous submissions and has been very consistent in recent years.
She last fought in October 2025 where she suffered a unanimous decision defeat to Mackenzie Dern in a title fight while before that she recorded victories over Yan Xiaonan, Amanda Lemos and Loopy Godinez across 2024 and 2025, showing strong form in the division.
Tabatha Ricci comes into this bout holding a resume of 7 wins and 3 losses under the organisation. The Brazilian fighter is well-rounded with strong grappling and improving striking and has picked up several solid victories in recent fights.
Her most recent action came in July 2025 where she knocked out Amanda Ribas. Prior to that she recorded decision victories over Angela Hill and Tecia Pennington but did suffer a decision defeat to Yan Xiaonan in late 2024.
BETTING – click here to bet
Jandiroba 1.77
Ricci 2.10
PREDICTION:
This looks like a competitive grappling-heavy fight between two Brazilian strawweights. Jandiroba has faced higher-ranked opponents and has strong submission ability, while Ricci is improving and carries good momentum. I am expecting Jandiroba to win by decision after a hard fought war.
ABDUL-RAKHMAN YAKHYAEV vs BRENDSEN RIBEIRO
Light Heavyweight – Main Card Bout:
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev enters the octagon with a UFC record of 1 win without a loss. He made his UFC debut in November 2025 where he secured a first-round submission victory over Rafael Cerqueira just 30 seconds into the fight after previously earning a knockout win on Dana White’s Contender Series. He is still early in his UFC career but has shown strong finishing ability so far.
Brendson Ribeiro steps into the octagon with a record of 2 wins and 4 losses within the promotion. Ribeiro is known for his aggressive striking but has struggled with consistency inside the UFC.
His latest appearance came in September 2025 where he suffered a knockout defeat to Oumar Sy in the opening round. Before that he lost via knockout to Azamat Murzakanov in June 2025 but had earlier recorded wins over Diyar Nurgozhay and Caio Machado in 2024 and 2025.
BETTING – click here to bet
Yakhyaev 1.08
Ribeiro 9.50
PREDICTION:
Yakhyaev is still early in his UFC career but has shown strong finishing ability and potential, while Ribeiro has struggled for consistency and has suffered several knockout defeats. If Yakhyaev can control the fight and use his grappling he should be able to win this fight. I am expecting Yakhyaev to win by submission in the first round.
SUGGESTED BETS:
Moicano vs Duncan
Moicano by Decision at 6.25
Jandiroba vs Ricci
Jandiroba by Decision at 2.70
Yakhyaev vs Ribeiro
Yakhyaev by Submission at 2.75
The treble of all 3 of my bets landing works out to 46.41
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but subject to change.
