We take a look at the two League A UEFA Nations League matches taking place on Saturday, with Norway hosting Wales and Portugal welcoming Denmark. Both fixtures are in Group 4, where Portugal have made a perfect start, and we preview the games from a betting angle.
NORWAY vs WALES
Saturday, 14 November
Norway currently sit bottom of Group 4, having lost their last three matches after opening their campaign with a 3-2 home victory over Denmark.
They followed that win with a 2-1 home defeat to Portugal before losing 2-1 away to Wales and by the same scoreline in Portugal.
Norway’s matches have certainly provided entertainment for goals backers, with all four producing over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the back of the net on every occasion.
Wales are third in the group, level on points with Norway after one victory and three defeats.
They opened with a narrow 1-0 defeat against Portugal before going down 2-0 away to Denmark. They then produced a surprise 2-1 home victory over Norway, having been priced at 7.25 to win that encounter.
However, they were unable to build on that result and suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Denmark last time out.
Head-to-Head
The only recent meeting between these sides came in October, when Wales claimed a surprise 2-1 home victory over Norway.
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Betting – click here to bet
Norway 1.23
Draw 7.25
Wales 12.00
Verdict
Norway are understandably strong favourites, and it is difficult to see Wales pulling off another upset away from home.
All four of Norway’s matches have produced at least three goals, with both teams scoring on every occasion. While the over 3.5 goals line requires one more goal than those previous results, I’m expecting another open encounter and will be backing four or more goals.
BET: Over 3.5 Goals at 2.10
PORTUGAL vs DENMARK
Saturday, 14 November
Portugal lead Group 4 with a maximum 12 points from their opening four matches, six points clear of second-placed Denmark.
They began their campaign with a 1-0 victory over Wales before beating Norway 2-1 away from home and Denmark 4-2 on the road. Last time out they completed the double over Norway with another 2-1 victory, this time at home.
Portugal have been consistent in front of goal, with over 2.5 goals arriving in three of their four matches. Both teams have also scored in three of those encounters.
Denmark sit second in the group with six points from two victories and two defeats.
They opened with a 3-2 defeat away to Norway before bouncing back with a 2-0 home victory over Wales. They then suffered a 4-2 home defeat against Portugal but returned to winning ways with a 1-0 victory away to Wales last time out, having been priced at 2.07.
Head-to-Head
Portugal claimed an entertaining 4-2 away victory when the sides met earlier in this Nations League campaign.
They also met in the 2024/25 competition, with Portugal winning 5-2 at home and Denmark claiming a 1-0 victory in their home fixture.
Betting – Click here to bet
Portugal 1.54
Draw 4.75
Denmark 5.75
Verdict
Portugal have been the standout team in Group 4, winning all four matches, including an impressive 4-2 victory away to Denmark.
The Danes have shown they can be competitive, but Portugal’s attacking quality and home advantage should prove decisive. Having already scored four against Denmark on the road, I fancy the hosts to win by at least two goals.
BET: Asian Handicap – Portugal -1.5 at 2.30
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
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