We take a look at three Premier League fixtures this Saturday, starting in West London where Chelsea try to shake off their recent dip as they host an Everton side growing in confidence under David Moyes.
Later, Liverpool’s meeting with Brighton at Anfield promises plenty of action, with both sides searching for sharper consistency at both ends of the pitch. The day’s action concludes in North London, where leaders Arsenal return home seeking a statement performance against winless Wolves as they aim to reinforce their grip on top spot. Here are my thoughts, along with suggested plays for each match.
Before diving into the previews, here’s a snapshot of the outright title landscape where Arsenal remain firm favourites at 3/4, with Manchester City their nearest challengers at 7/4. Chelsea and Liverpool are both priced at 25/1. Beyond that, the rest of the field is available at 50/1 or longer.
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CHELSEA v EVERTON – Click here to bet
We kick things off this Saturday at Stamford Bridge, where Chelsea sit fifth in the table on 25 points after last weekend’s frustrating goalless draw away at Bournemouth. It’s been a flat spell for Enzo Maresca’s side, winless in their last three league outings and collecting just two points from a possible nine. That run was compounded in midweek with a 2–1 defeat away to Atalanta in the Champions League, adding further pressure ahead of this weekend’s return to domestic action.
Back on home turf, however, Chelsea will feel more confident. They are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions at Stamford Bridge, winning twice and holding leaders Arsenal to a 1–1 draw in their most recent appearance there.
Everton, meanwhile, continue their impressive progress under David Moyes. The Toffees arrive seventh overall with 24 points and just one defeat in their last six Premier League matches. That run includes consecutive clean sheets on the road at Bournemouth and Manchester United, followed by last weekend’s commanding 3–0 home victory over Nottingham Forest.
Their away form has taken a noticeable turn as well. After losing four of their first five away games, Everton are now unbeaten in three on their travels, conceding only once during that stretch. Just eight goals conceded away from home all season highlights how organised they have become defensively.
Head-to-Head
Chelsea are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Everton, collecting two wins and a draw. Last season saw a goalless draw on Merseyside before Chelsea edged this fixture 1–0 at Stamford Bridge. The Blues have also won their last two home games against Everton without conceding.
Betting
Chelsea 69/100
Draw 57/20
Everton 4/1
Verdict
Chelsea’s home form gives them a slight edge, but Everton’s resilience on the road means this won’t be straightforward. Both sides are solid at the back and rarely give much away, so clear-cut chances might be hard to come by. It feels like a single moment could decide the outcome, probably just one goal, which is why I’m looking elsewhere for value.
Suggested Bet: Both Teams to score (No) & Under 3.5 Goals at 23/20 (Bet Builder)
LIVERPOOL v BRIGHTON – Click here to bet
Liverpool return to Anfield this weekend sitting tenth in the table with 23 points from 15 matches. Their midweek 1–0 victory away to Inter Milan in the Champions League offered a timely boost, but domestically the frustrations continue. Last weekend’s 3–3 draw at Leeds once again highlighted their inability to close out matches despite holding a two-goal lead. It marked a second straight league draw, and while Arne Slot’s side are now unbeaten in their last three, with one win and two draws, they remain well below the level expected of defending champions.
Their home record shows four wins, one draw and two defeats in the league, but recent performances in front of their own supporters are cause for concern. A 3–0 loss to Nottingham Forest and a 4–1 setback against PSV in Europe exposed clear vulnerabilities, before a 1–1 draw with Sunderland extended that uninspiring run. Worryingly, Liverpool have kept just two clean sheets from eight league outings at Anfield this season, a statistic Arne Slot will not be particularly pleased with and one that could give visiting sides, who traditionally struggle here, a glimmer of belief.
Brighton arrive on Merseyside sitting eighth, also on 23 points after 15 games. The Seagulls shared the spoils with West Ham last time out, needing a stoppage-time equaliser to avoid back-to-back defeats after Jarrod Bowen struck late for the visitors. Still, with only one defeat in their last six league outings, Fabian Hürzeler’s side will feel confident they can take advantage of Liverpool’s issues.
Away from home, Brighton suffered early setbacks with successive defeats, but their trajectory has improved significantly. They are unbeaten in their last two on the road, taking a point at Crystal Palace in a goalless draw and winning 2–0 at Nottingham Forest. With just one defeat in their last four league matches away from home, their competitive edge on the road continues to build.
Head-to-Head
These sides met three times last season, with Liverpool winning twice and Brighton once. Both teams secured home victories in the league, Liverpool 2–1 at Anfield and Brighton 3–2 at the Amex, while Liverpool edged the EFL Cup tie 3–2. Notably, all six of their recent meetings have seen both teams score, with at least three goals in each encounter.
Betting
Liverpool 73/100
Draw 13/4
Brighton 13/4
Verdict
Liverpool rarely look this vulnerable at Anfield, and Brighton will sense an opportunity. The Reds defensive organisation has slipped dramatically from last season, something the visitors are well equipped to target. Goals feel likely again in what should be an open and entertaining contest with chances at both ends.
Suggested Bet: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals at 87/100
ARSENAL v WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS – Click here to bet
Arsenal return to the Emirates this weekend on the back of a confident 3–0 win away to Club Brugge on Wednesday, a result that keeps them top of the Champions League, league phase after six rounds. They remain EPL leaders as well, sitting on 33 points after 15 matches, though last weekend’s shock 2–1 defeat away to Aston Villa brought an end to their 18-match unbeaten run in all competitions and trimmed their cushion over Manchester City to just two points. With winter approaching and the title race tightening, Saturday’s clash with Wolves carries real importance as the hosts look to reassert themselves as front-runners.
At home, Arsenal remain unbeaten in the league with six wins and a draw. They boast the best home defensive record in the division, conceding only two goals while scoring 18 in return. Mikel Arteta’s men have won four successive league matches at the Emirates, three of which came with clean sheets, and each of those saw the Gunners take a half-time lead.
Wolverhampton Wanderers make the trip to North London staring at another daunting challenge. Rob Edwards’ side are still without a league win this season and come into this fixture on the back of a bruising 4–1 defeat to Manchester United,their eighth straight Premier League loss. With just two points from 15 matches, they sit rooted to the bottom, a full 13 points from safety.
Away from home, Wolves have failed to collect a point in their last four outings and have taken just one all season on the road. Heavy 3–0 defeats at Chelsea and Fulham underline their vulnerability outside Molineux, and Edwards will need something close to a miracle to avoid a similar fate in the capital. Their away return, one goal scored and 12 conceded, paints a grim picture of their current form.
Head-to-Head
Arsenal have dominated recent meetings, winning the last eight in a row, securing a league double over Wolves in each of the last four seasons. Last term they took this fixture 2–0 at the Emirates before edging the reverse 1–0 at Molineux.
Betting
Arsenal 4/25
Draw 7/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers 16/1
Verdict
It’s hard to see Wolves causing much trouble here. Arsenal’s home form speaks for itself, and Arteta will view this as a prime chance to get back on track domestically. The Gunners should see this comfortably, with top spot likely to be retained. At the current odds, there’s room to be a bit more creative, Arsenal have been sharp out of the blocks this season, and their clean-sheet record shows they can control games from the start. A home win with a bit to spare feels like the most likely outcome.
Suggested Bet: Bet Builder – Arsenal Halftime/ Arsenal Fulltime, Arsenal -1.5 Handicap, Wolves Under 1.5 goals at 1/1
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
