There are two English Premier League matches taking place on Sunday and we take a look at each of them from a betting angle.
Let’s start with a look at the latest Outright Winner betting where Manchester City have shortened into 15/20 favourites heading into the weekend. Arsenal who still top the table are 11/10 in what is effectively a two horse race.
West Ham v Arsenal – Click here to bet
West Ham are currently 14th on the log with 2 wins and a loss in their last 3 starts. They beat Fulham 1-0 on the road last time out, but their last home game was a disappointing 5-1 hammering at the hands of Newcastle. Overall at home this season West Ham have won 6 and drawn 3 of their 15 fixtures and that loss to Newcastle was their only home loss in their last 5 games.
Arsenal are top of the table, but dropped 2 valuable points last time out when they drew 2-2 at Liverpool. That was their 3rd successive Premier League game to have 4 goals or more in it and the 6th successive game to reach the 3 goal mark. Prior to the draw against Liverpool they had won 7 successive matches. They have only tasted defeat twice on the road this season in 15 matches.
West Ham’s home games have seen only 4 of the 15 games deliver profits for over 2.5 goal backers while just under 50% of Arsenal away games have reached the 3 goal mark.
Arsenal beat West Ham 3-1 at home in the reverse fixture and they did the double over the Hammers last season winning this game 2-1 and winning 2-0 at home.
Arsenal are firm favourites here at 2/9 which relates to a price of 5/8 that they win the game by more than a goal. I am expecting them to win, but I had a sneaky feeling that West Ham are going to make it difficult and I am going for both teams to score, yes, at 23/20. This would have arrived in 4 out of the last 5 head-to-heads between the sides and also in Arsenal’s last 3 League games.
Suggested Bet: Both teams to score, YES, at 23/20
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Nottingham Forest v Manchester United – Click here to bet
Nottingham are currently 18th on the log and occupying the final relegation position. Their recent form has been poor and it has been 9 matches since they had a victory and they have lost 6 and drawn 3 of those 9 games. Last time out they went down 2-0 on the road to Villa and their last home game was a 1-1 draw with Wolves. At home this season Nottingham have won 5 and drawn 6 of 15 matches, but they haven’t won any of their last 4 home games.
Manchester United are 4th on the log and recovered from a 3 match run where they took only 1 point with back-to-back home wins over Brentford and Everton. Their last away game was a 2-0 defeat to Newcastle and they have lost their last two away matches and the stat that stands out in Manchester United away games is that they have only drawn 2 of 14 fixtures this season.
Digging deeper into the goal stats of both sides, Nottingham home games have been low scoring, averaging 2.5 goals each with only 5 of the 15 matches delivering profits for over 2.5 goal backers. Manchester United away games have had a 50% strike rate for those betting on overs and they average 3.3 goals each.
Looking at recent head-to-head form in the League, Manchester United beat Nottingham 3-0 on the road earlier in the season and they did the double over Nottingham last season winning this fixture 8-1 and 3-0 at home.
Manchester United should be too strong for this Nottingham side and I am backing them to win by more than a goal.
Suggested Bet: Handicap, Manchester United -1.5 at 31/20
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change