League A of the UEFA Nations League continues on Sunday, and we take a look at two of the key fixtures from a betting angle, with Belgium hosting Italy and Spain taking on England in what promises to be an entertaining encounter.
BELGIUM vs ITALY
Belgium currently sit third in Group 1 with nine points from their opening five matches.
They defeated Turkey 2-1 on the road last time out, having started as 1.84 favourites, and that followed a heavy 4-1 away defeat against France.
Belgium’s last three matches have all produced over 2.5 goals, providing consistent returns for goals backers.
Italy lead the group with ten points from five matches and have recovered well from an opening home defeat to Belgium, recording three victories and a draw in their subsequent four fixtures.
Their two most recent matches have both been at home, with Italy claiming 3-1 victories over France and Turkey.
Head-to-Head
Belgium won 2-0 when the sides met in Italy earlier in this Nations League campaign in September.
They also met in the 2024/25 competition, with Italy winning 1-0 away to Belgium before the return fixture in Italy finished 2-2.
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Betting – click here to bet
Belgium 2.20
Draw 3.75
Italy 3.25
Verdict
There is very little separating these sides at the top of Group 1, and both will be aware of the importance of avoiding defeat.
Belgium have home advantage, but Italy have been the more consistent side since their opening loss. With both teams capable of cancelling each other out, I’m expecting a tight contest and will take a chance on the points being shared.
BET: Draw at 3.75
SPAIN vs ENGLAND
Spain lead Group 3 with a perfect record of five victories from their opening five matches.
They come into this fixture on the back of a 2-0 away victory over the Czech Republic, having previously beaten Croatia 2-1, also on the road.
Their two home fixtures have produced convincing victories, beating the Czech Republic 3-1 and Croatia 4-1.
Four of Spain’s five Nations League matches have seen both teams find the back of the net, with over 2.5 goals also landing in four of those encounters.
England are second in the group, three points behind Spain, having bounced back from an opening defeat to the Spanish with four successive victories.
They have scored 14 goals and conceded just once during that winning sequence.
England beat Croatia 2-1 at home last time out, following a 3-0 home victory over the Czech Republic and an emphatic 7-0 away win against Croatia.
Head-to-Head
Spain won 3-2 when the sides met in England earlier in this Nations League campaign.
They also claimed a 2-1 victory over England in the Euro 2024 final.
The last five meetings between these countries across all competitions have produced both teams to score and over 2.5 goals on every occasion.
Betting – click here to bet
Spain 1.73
Draw 4.25
England 4.75
Verdict
Both teams arrive in excellent form, with Spain winning all five group matches and England responding to their opening defeat with four consecutive victories.
Four of Spain’s five matches have produced both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, while the last five head-to-head encounters have also delivered on both markets.
All signs point towards another entertaining contest, and I’m backing the goals trend to continue.
BET: Both Teams to Score & Total Goals Over/Under 2.5 – Yes and Over 2.5 Goals at 2.00
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
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