After having a rest day on Monday, the Tour continues on Tuesday with Stage 10, the flattest stage of the Tour de France but with the possibility of crosswinds. It starts in Orléans and finishes 187.3 kilometres away in Saint-Amand-Montrond.
Stage 9 Wrap
Sunday’s 9th Stage turned out to be one for the ages and we had action from the start right up until the finish. It was the first time we have seen the introduction of gravel roads in the Tour de France and I don’t think it is going to be that long before we see them again.
A strong breakaway went clear, but never got more than a couple of minutes ahead as the GC contenders raced each other hard. At one point Evenepoel attacked with over 80 kilometres to go and Pogacar eventually gave chase with Vingegaard on his wheel. The three caught the break, only to sit up as Vingegaard refused to work realising it was in his better interests to wait for his team. Pogacar tried to attack in the final 30 kilometres, but good team work from Visma-Lease saw them reel him in and in the end a large bunch finished together. The breakaway had contested the stage win by that stage though and in the end it was 100/1 outsider, Anthony Turgis who won a sprint finish from a frustrated Tom Pidcock and Derek Gee.
Jersey Update
There was no significant change to the Yellow Jersey classification and Pogacar remains 33 seconds ahead of Evenepoel and the 9/20 favourite to win the race.
Biniam Girmay strengthened his hold on the Green Jersey and he has now shortened to 4/9 with Jasper Philipsen out to 23/10 as he now trails Girmay by 96 points.
Pogacar remains the favourite for the King of the Mountains Classification at 5/2 and he currently trails leader, Abrahamsen by 13 points.
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STAGE 10 ROUTE
This stage is very flat and a bunch sprint finish looks nailed on. The only challenge to that could be if the wind blows and we get crosswinds, meaning the challengers for the Yellow Jersey try and put each other into difficulty and in so doing drop some of the sprinters. It will be interesting to see who braves getting into what is likely to be a doomed break, but hopefully being the second week of the Tour we will have a few riders who fancy their chances.
STAGE 10 TACTICS
The sprinters teams will look to let a weak break go and they probably won’t allow it more than four or 5 minutes, riding at a tempo that makes it possible for them to bring it back at any time. I think the break will get caught with around 35 kilometres to go and the teams will then fight for position into the finish.
STAGE 10 BETTING – Click here to bet
Jasper Philipsen – 81/50
Mark Cavendish – 4/1
Dylan Groenewegen – 4/1
Biniam Girmay – 13/2
Arnaud De Lie – 8/1
Wout Van Aert – 14/1
Fernando Gaviria – 22/1
Fabio Jakobsen – 25/1
Pascal Ackermann – 33/1
40/1 and better the balance. Odds subject to change
PREDICTION
Philipsen has had 3 2nd places one of which he lost due to interference but surely he will land a win soon. This stage should suit him and he can survive cross winds if they come.
Back with the moneyback insurance outlined below, it would have saved you money twice on him already this race.
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BET: Philipsen win at 81/50
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Prices correct at time of writing but subject to change
