The 2025 Tour de France kicks off with a flat stage in Lille Métropole, ideal for the sprinters to make their mark early. Expect a fast finish as the first yellow jersey is up for grabs. We take a look at the stage from a betting angle and offer up a selection for consideration.
Outright Betting
Tadej Pogacar – 1.36
Jonas Vingegaard – 3.25
Remco Evenepoel – 12.00
Joao Almeida – 19.00
Primoz Roglic – 26.00
Florian Lipowitz – 34.00
Click here for TDF Outright Betting
Stage Profile
The opening stage is a loop to the west of Lille, covering 184.9 kilometres with under 1,200 metres of elevation gain. It’s a day tailor-made for the sprinters, with little in the way of climbing to disrupt the bunch.
There is a chance of cross winds in the last 30km so there is an outside chance the peloton is split heading into the finish.
What to Expect
I think an early non-threatening break will be allowed clear and will be given no more than 3-4 minutes.
The battle for position heading into the cross winds will keep the pace high and I expect the break to be swallowed up before we hit the 20km to go mark.
It should all come together for a bunch sprint.
Betting – Click here to bet
Tim Merlier 2.40
Jonathan Milan 3.00
Jasper Philipsen 5.50
Jordi Meeus 17.00
Biniam Girmay 23.00
Wout Van Aert 26.00
Dylan Groenewegen 26.00
41.00 and better the balance
Milan has a dedicated team and the big powerful sprinter can get his nose in front and hold them off.
Suggested Bet: Milan win at 3.00
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Note all prices correct at the time of writing but subject to change.
