As we approach Match day four of the UEFA Champions League, let’s dive into two highly anticipated matchups scheduled for Tuesday. Here, you’ll find insights and potential betting options to consider for each game.
But first, a look at the current outright market odds: Manchester City leads as the favourite at 29/10, with reigning champions Real Madrid close behind at 4/1. Arsenal is the third favourite, priced at 7/1, followed by Barcelona at 15/2 and Liverpool at 8/1. Bayern Munich are considered outsiders, listed at 9/1, with the remaining contenders available at 20/1 or higher.
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REAL MADRID v AC MILAN – Click here to bet
Real Madrid is set to host AC Milan at the Santiago Bernabéu this Tuesday in what promises to be a thrilling Champions League showdown between two of Europe’s most celebrated clubs. The Spanish giants will be eager to rebound from recent domestic woes, including a heavy 4-0 home loss to Barcelona. Their scheduled weekend match against Valencia was postponed due to severe flooding in the area, which may leave them slightly lacking in match sharpness for their European commitments.
In the Champions League, however, Real Madrid’s record speaks for itself. They remain unbeaten in their last 15 home appearances, with their latest European fixture yielding an emphatic 5-2 victory over last season’s runners-up, Dortmund—a game in which all five of their goals came in the second half. This result keeps them firmly in contention, with 6 points from their opening three fixtures in Europe, despite currently sitting 12th in the standings.
This season, Real Madrid average 2.66 goals per game in Europe while conceding an average of 1.33. Over 2.5 goals have featured in 67% of those encounters overall (2 out of 3 matches).
AC Milan will be looking to build on their recent domestic success as they travel to Madrid for their Champions League clash with Real Madrid. The Rossoneri returned to winning ways this weekend with a hard-fought 1-0 victory away to Monza, which should boost their confidence ahead of this crucial European encounter.
In the Champions League, Milan’s most recent match saw them secure a 3-1 win against Club Brugge, providing a much-needed boost to their campaign. However, they currently sit 25th in the standings with 3 points, reflecting their struggles away from home in Europe, having already lost twice consecutively this campaign. As they prepare to face one of their toughest opponents, AC Milan will be keen to turn their fortunes around and improve their away record in the competition in hopes of progressing to the next round.
This season, AC Milan average 1.33 goals per game in Europe while conceding an average of 1.66. Over 2.5 goals have featured in 67% of those encounters overall (2 out of 3 matches).
Head-to-Head
In Europe, the last time these two teams featured in the Champions League was during the 2010/11 season, where Real Madrid triumphed 2-0 in this fixture, followed by a 2-2 draw in the reverse encounter.
Betting
Real Madrid 9/20
Draw 4/1
AC Milan 11/2
Verdict
Considering Milan’s challenges in away European fixtures and Real Madrid’s determination to rebound after their heavy loss to Barcelona, this match promises to be captivating. I expect Madrid to get back to winning ways, though I anticipate the visitors will manage to score at least once, making for an entertaining European clash between these two quality sides.
Suggested Bet: Result and Both teams to score, Real Madrid and yes at 17/10
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LIVERPOOL v BAYER LEVERKUSEN – Click here to bet
Anfield will play host to this Tuesday’s intriguing UEFA Champions League clash between Liverpool and Bayer Leverkusen. Following a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Brighton in the English Premier League this past weekend, the Reds will be eager to continue their impressive run of form that has seen them rise to the top of the domestic table—extending their unbeaten streak to 11 games, with 10 victories and just 1 draw in all competitions.
In Europe, Liverpool have made a strong start to their campaign, currently remaining unbeaten after securing three consecutive victories. They sit 2nd in the standings with 9 points, separated only by goal difference from 1st placed Aston Villa. Their latest European match saw them secure a 1-0 win away to Leipzig, marking back-to-back wins away from home in Europe already this season—a luxury that brings them one step closer to guaranteeing their place in the next phase of the Champions League.
This season, Liverpool average 2 goals per game in Europe while conceding an average of 0.33. Under 2.5 goals have featured in 67% of those encounters overall (2 out of 3 matches).
Unbeaten in their last 11 appearances in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen travel to Liverpool following a 0-0 draw at home against Stuttgart this past weekend, which places them 4th in the Bundesliga after nine matches played. With Champions League commitments sometimes proving to be an unwelcome distraction, the Black and Reds have succumbed to two consecutive draws in the Bundesliga, making the balance of play tricky at times.
In Europe, Leverkusen have performed respectably overall this campaign, particularly in away matches, securing 4 points from a possible 6 on their travels. Their most recent outing resulted in a 1-1 draw away to Brest on Match day 3, placing them 6th in the standings with 2 wins and 1 draw. With the top 8 teams qualifying automatically for the round of 16, the visitors will certainly believe they can unsettle the established teams directly above them with a positive result against Liverpool this Tuesday.
This season, Bayer Leverkusen average 2 goals per game in Europe while conceding an average of 0.33. Under 2.5 goals have featured in 67% of those encounters overall (2 out of 3 matches).
Top of FormHead-to-Head
In Europe, their most recent competitive encounters between these two sides resulted in comfortable 3-1 victories for Liverpool on both occasions, both at home and away, during the UEFA Champions League 2004/05 season, with an aggregate score of 6-2 in the round of 16.
Betting
Liverpool 8/11
Draw 33/10
Bayer Leverkusen 7/2
Verdict
Despite both teams entering Week 4 with an impressive unbeaten run of form, Liverpool appears to be the side worth backing here. With a perfect record in Europe backed up by a solid defence, the Reds should walk away with all three points by the faintest of margins.
Suggested Bet: Winning Margin, Liverpool by 1 at 29/10
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
