This weekend, we return to domestic football as we analyse three Serie A matches, offering insights and betting options for each encounter.
Before delving into our preview, let’s take a look at the latest outright odds: reigning champions Inter Milan remain firm favourites at 4/6, followed closely by Napoli at 7/2 and Juventus in third place at 5/1. AC Milan round out the top four at 9/1, while the remaining contenders are priced at 28/1 or higher
Click here for all the long-term Serie A outright markets
SATURDAY
AC MILAN v UDINESE– Click here to bet
AC Milan will be looking to bounce back after a frustrating 2-1 defeat away to Fiorentina in their last league match just before the international break. That result has left them 6th in the standings with 11 points. However, the Rossoneri have been solid at home this season, winning two of their three matches at the San Siro and maintaining an impressive goal-scoring record of three goals per game. With Champions League commitments looming large next week, Paulo Fonseca will be eager to return to winning ways this weekend, starting with Udinese at home on Saturday—a fixture that has been closely contested over the years, making it a tricky encounter for the Black and Reds.
On the other hand, Udinese come into this game off the back of a much-needed 1-0 win at home against Lecce in Week 7, placing them 5th in the standings with 13 points. Despite returning to winning ways, the Bianconeri have yet to establish themselves away from home this season, having secured 5 points from a possible 9 so far, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 defeat. Averaging 1.33 goals on the road, they will make their way to the San Siro this weekend, hoping to replicate last season’s success when they managed to walk away as surprising winners on the day.
Head-to-Head
Udinese secured a 1-0 win in this fixture last season, while AC Milan registered a 3-2 victory in the reverse match.
Betting
AC Milan 4/10
Draw 4/1
Udinese 7/1
Prediction
AC Milan are heavy favourites to win at 4/10 here, given their form at home and Udinese’s inconsistencies on the road. The travellers will likely adopt a defensive approach in the early stages but cannot be written off entirely. I quite like the look of both teams to score here at 9/10, an outcome that would have rendered a profit 8 times out of their last 9 meetings overall.
Suggested Bet: Both Teams To Score, Yes at 9/10
JUVENTUS v LAZIO– Click here to bet
This weekend, Juventus will face Lazio in Turin, where they will be looking to continue their impressive run of form on the domestic front. Despite entering the international break with a 1-1 draw at home against Cagliari, the Black and Whites currently occupy 3rd place in the standings with 13 points, having registered 3 wins and 4 draws so far, keeping them well in contention with Napoli and Inter Milan directly above them. With only 1 goal conceded at home across their 4 league matches, Juventus have shown their defensive resilience this season—something they will hope to replicate once again this Saturday as they balance Serie A commitments with a quick turnaround in Europe when facing Stuttgart in the Champions League next Tuesday.
Lazio will make the journey to Turin this weekend, hoping to continue where they left off on match day 7. It has been a particularly productive period for the Biancocelesti, having secured four consecutive victories in all competitions, including their last two outings in Serie A. Currently 4th in the standings, separated only by goal difference from Saturday’s opponents, Juventus, the White and Sky Blues have managed to obtain 13 points from their opening 7 games after securing 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats so far. On their travels, Lazio’s record does appear to be less convincing, having registered just 1 win and 2 defeats, conceding an average of 2 goals on the road so far, which will certainly raise concerns given how difficult Juventus have been to penetrate in their respective opening exchanges at the Allianz Stadium this season.
Head-to-Head
Juventus secured a 3-1 victory in this fixture last season, while Lazio registered a 1-0 win in the reverse encounter
Betting
Juventus 21/20
Draw 95/40
Lazio 29/10
Prediction
Juventus are yet to lose this season, and given their solid defensive record at home, that record is likely to stay intact this weekend. I do have a slight preference for the hosts to win on Saturday, but I will opt for what appears to be a safer route, considering how often draws have featured at the Allianz Stadium this season. Juventus to avoid defeat and under 2.5 goals appeals given that this outcome has landed in three of their four home games this season.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance And total, Juventus/Draw And Under 2.5 at 21/20
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SUNDAY
AS ROMA v INTER MILAN– Click here to bet
AS Roma will be eager to put in a strong performance following their recent 1-1 draw against Monza in Week 7, which has left them in 9th place in the Serie A standings. The Giallorossi have shown flashes of quality this season, particularly at home, where they have secured 2 wins and 1 defeat in their 3 matches. This Sunday, Roma will take on the reigning league champions, Inter Milan, in what is anticipated to be the marquee fixture of the weekend in Italy. As they strive for consistency, this match offers the hosts a chance to overcome their recent struggles and return to winning ways in Rome. Having netted 6 goals at the Stadio Olimpico, averaging 2 goals per game this season, they will be optimistic about finding the back of the net. Nevertheless, the pressing question remains whether Sunday’s outcome will be positive for the hosts, considering their disappointing record against Inter in recent meetings.
Inter Milan, currently sitting in 2nd place in the league with 14 points, will arrive in Rome full of confidence following their 3-2 victory over Torino. This season, Inter has emerged as one of the strongest teams, boasting a potent attacking line that has produced 4 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat. Averaging 2.28 goals per game, the mighty Black and Blues have maintained a similar scoring rate on their travels, highlighting their consistency throughout the campaign. Having netted 6 goals in 3 away matches, Inter remains unbeaten on the road, a record they will be eager to extend this weekend. This fixture has been favourable for them in recent years, as they have gone unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 encounters—both home and away—with Roma across all competitions.
Head-to-Head
Last season, Inter Milan secured a double over AS Roma, winning 1-0 in the reverse encounter and achieving a 4-2 victory in this fixture.
Betting
AS Roma 3/1
Draw 28/10
Inter Milan 9/10
Prediction
Given Inter’s strong form and Roma’s inconsistency, the visitors appear to be the most logical option here. The Black and Blues managed to secure the double over Roma last season, and I believe we are likely to see a replication of that this season in what is expected to be a high-scoring affair.
Suggested Bet: Result And Both Teams To Score, Inter Milan And Yes at 26/10
Click here for all this weekend’s Italian Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
