This weekend, Serie A promises another thrilling round of action, and we’re highlighting three standout fixtures to bring you insights and betting angles worth exploring.
But before diving in, let’s have a look at the latest outright odds-on offer. Inter Milan remain the clear favourites to retain their Serie A crown at 8/15. Hot on their heels are current league leaders Napoli at 9/4, with Atalanta keeping the chase alive at 5/1. Beyond the top contenders, the rest of the field can be backed at 80/1 or greater.
Click here for all the long-term Serie A outright markets
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SATURDAY
JUVENTUS v AC MILAN – Click here to bet
Juventus will welcome familiar foes AC Milan to the Allianz Stadium this Saturday in a highly anticipated Serie A clash. Currently sitting 5th in the league with 34 points (W7, D13, L0), Juventus remain unbeaten this season. However, their campaign has been marked by a series of draws, including a 1-1 result away to Atalanta on Tuesday, their third consecutive league stalemate. While the Bianconeri’s resilience is unquestionable, they’ll be looking to turn those draws into victories as they continue their push for a top four finish.
Serie A Home Form
In Turin, Juventus have earned 16 points from a possible 30, maintaining an unbeaten home record (W3, D7). However, their inability to convert draws into victories has been a persistent issue. The Bianconeri have scored 15 goals at an average of 1.5 per game, while conceding 9 goals in total (0.9 per match) at the Allianz Stadium. Manager Thiago Motta will be keen to address this lack of killer instinct, particularly at home, as Juventus look to improve their winning ratio and keep pace with the top contenders.
AC Milan, on the other hand, are steadily building momentum under new manager Sérgio Conceição. The Rossoneri, currently 7th in the table with 31 points (W8, D7, L4), have won three of their last four matches (W3, D1), including an impressive 2-1 comeback victory over Como on Tuesday. That win marked the third time in four games that Milan have scored at least twice, showcasing their renewed attacking strength and ability to fight back, which bodes well for their aspirations going forward.
Serie A Away Form
Milan have secured back-to-back away league victories for the first time this season and are now targeting a third consecutive win on the road, a feat they last achieved in March of last year. So far, they’ve earned 14 points from 9 away matches (W4, D2, L3). While their defence has conceded 13 goals on the road, averaging 1.44 per game, Milan’s revitalized confidence under coach Conceição has made them a formidable side. With their attacking capabilities, they are set to improve on their average of 1.56 goals scored per away match, as they aim to push for a strong finish in the second half of the season.
Head-to-Head
Earlier this season, these two sides played out a 0-0 stalemate in the reverse fixture. Similarly, last season’s meeting in Turin ended with the same score-line, as both teams once again shared the spoils.
Betting
Juventus 12/10
Draw: 23/10
AC Milan 5/2
Verdict
With Juventus yet to taste defeat this season but plagued by a series of draws, and Milan riding a wave of confidence under new management, this clash promises to be one of the standout fixtures of the weekend. The hosts’ defensive solidity at home could pose a challenge for the visitors, but Milan’s renewed attacking momentum makes for an intriguing counterpoint. Saturday’s encounter is shaping up to be a thrilling showdown, where both sides will be eager to prove their credentials.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Draw at 23/10
ATALANTA v NAPOLI – Click here to bet
A thrilling top-of-the-table clash awaits as Atalanta hosts Napoli at the Gewiss Stadium. The hosts enter match day 21 riding a wave of consistency, currently sitting 3rd in Serie A with 43 points (W13, D4, L3). The Nerazzurri are unbeaten in their last 15 league matches, a run that includes 11 victories and four draws. Their last three league encounters have all ended in stalemates, including a 1-1 draw at home against Juventus on Tuesday. Gian Piero Gasperini’s men will be eager to turn that trend around this weekend as they continue their push for a title challenge.
Serie A Home Form
Atalanta have been outstanding at the Gewiss Stadium, especially in recent weeks, collecting 19 points from the last 21 available in their last seven home league matches. Across the season, they’ve earned 22 points from 27 at home (W7, D1, L1). Their attacking prowess has been evident, with the Black and Blues scoring 26 goals at an impressive average of 2.89 per game, while conceding just 12 goals in total.
Napoli head into Saturday’s top-tier showdown as league leaders with an impressive 47 points (W15, D2, L3), holding a four-point cushion over third-placed Atalanta. Antonio Conte’s side are in superb form, having won their last five Serie A matches on the trot. During this streak, they’ve showcased remarkable balance, scoring 11 goals (averaging 2.2 per game) while maintaining defensive solidity with three consecutive clean sheets. Conceding just two goals in this period further emphasizes their recent dominance at both ends of the pitch.
Serie A Away Form
On their travels, Napoli has been equally impressive, boasting the second-best away record in the league with 23 points from a possible 30 (W7, D2, L1). They are unbeaten in their last nine away league games and are currently on a four-game winning streak on the road. The Azzurri have scored 17 goals on their travels (1.7 goals per game) while conceding just six (0.6 goals per game).
Head-to-Head
Atalanta hold the edge in recent meetings, winning two of their last three encounters with Napoli. This includes a dominant 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. However, Napoli claimed all three points in this corresponding match last season, edging out a hard-fought 2-1 win in Bergamo.
Betting
Atalanta 13/10
Draw 23/10
Napoli 23/10
Verdict
This matchup sees Atalanta’s attacking flair and home dominance clash with Napoli’s clinical consistency and defensive resilience. While Atalanta will be bolstered by their passionate home crowd, Napoli’s impressive form and solid away record should not be underestimated. Expect goals from both sides in what promises to be a high-quality, thrilling encounter between two quality sides.
Suggested Bet: Both Teams to Score, Yes at 17/20
SUNDAY
FIORENTINA v TORINO – Click here to bet
Fiorentina will be looking to end a challenging run of form when they host Torino at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. After suffering two consecutive defeats, including a disappointing 2-1 loss away to Monza, Fiorentina have seen their momentum slip, leaving them in 6th place with 32 points (W9, D5, L5). La Viola have managed just 1 point from their last 15 available in Serie A, drawing one and losing the remaining four. This poor run is something that coach Raffaele Palladino will want to address as they look to recover when facing Torino in the early kick-off this Sunday.
Serie A Home Form
Fiorentina’s form at home has been relatively strong this season, having earned 17 points from 27 available (W5, D2, L2). However, they are coming into Week 21 with two consecutive defeats at home, having conceded 5 goals in those losses. On the attacking front, Fiorentina has managed 16 goals at the Stadio Artemio Franchi this season, while conceding 11.
Torino, currently in 12th place with 22 points (W5, D7, L8), have been struggling with consistency, as shown by their recent three consecutive league draws. While going unbeaten has to be respected, Torino have accumulated only 6 points from their last 15 (W1, D3, L1). Their latest result, a 1-1 draw at home to Juventus last weekend, was encouraging, and they will look to take that confidence into their away clash with Fiorentina. Despite their recent struggles, Torino’s ability to mix it with top teams at home can give them hope for a positive result in Florence.
Serie A Away Form
On the road, Torino has earned 12 points from 10 matches (W3, D3, L4), scoring 13 goals and conceding 15. They’ve struggled defensively, keeping only two clean sheets away from home all season, while conceding 2 or more goals in 6 of their 10 away matches overall (60%). Despite their shaky defensive record, Torino will be looking to continue their unbeaten run in the league knowing that their opponents appear to be struggling themselves at present, offering an ideal opportunity for the visitors to take full advantage.
Head-to-Head
Fiorentina come into Sunday’s clash unbeaten in their last four meetings with Torino, securing two wins and two draws. They edged Torino 1-0 in their most recent encounter earlier this season and repeated the same narrow 1-0 victory in this fixture last season.
Betting
Fiorentina 15/20
Draw 5/2
Torino 9/2
Verdict
Fiorentina’s poor form meets Torino’s recent resilience in what should be an intriguing battle. Torino’s ability to grind out results against top sides like Juventus is impressive, but their inconsistency on the road raises questions. Despite their shaky form, history is on the hosts’ side, potentially offering them an opportunity to end their losing streak in what should be a closely contested match.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Fiorentina at 15/20
Click here for all this weekend’s Italian Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
