We take a look at 3 of the Serie A matches taking place on Saturday and Monday suggesting a bet in each game.
The Serie A race looks done and dusted with Inter Milan now unbackable 1/160 to win the title. There are other long-term markets though such as, Top 4 where Bologna are trading at 5/4 and Relegation where you can get 19/20 on Frosinone exiting Serie A at the end of the season.
Click here for the latest long-term Serie A markets
SATURDAY
Lazio v Juventus – Click here to bet
Lazio are currently 9th on the log and they got a much needed 3 points last time out when they beat Frosinone 3-2 on the road, a game where they started 12/10 favourites. That broke a run of 3 successive losses.
Juventus are 3rd on the log with only 1 win in their last 5 matches. They are coming off back-to-back draws, 0-0 at home to Genoa and 2-2 at home to Atalanta. Juventus have only taken 1 point from the last 9 they have played for on the road and the goalless draw at home to Genoa halted a run of 4 successive matches which had delivered profits for over 2.5 goal backers.
Head-to-Head
Juventus won the reverse fixture 3-1 earlier this season, but last season it was Lazio who came out on top in this fixture 2-1.
Betting
The bookies have priced this as a tight betting heat with Lazio 21/10, Juventus 31/20 and the draw at 21/10, but I fancy goals here and I am surprised to be getting 14/10 that we get 3 goals or more in the game and this bet would have arrived in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings between the sides and the last 4 Serie A head-to-heads.
Suggested Bet: Over 2.5 goals at 14/10
Fiorentina v AC Milan – Click here to bet
Fiorentina are currently 8th on the table and undefeated in their last 4 matches, but 3 of those games have been draws. Last time out they drew 2-2 at home to Roma and they have taken 7 points from the last 9 they have played for in front of their own fans.
AC Milan are 2nd on the log and are coming off 3 successive victories, last time out beating Verona 3-1 on the road. Their recent away form has been strong winning 4 of their last 5 matches on their travels.
Head-to-Head
AC Milan won the reverse fixture 1-0 earlier in the season and last season the home team won by 1 goal on each occasion.
Betting
This is another close betting heat with Fiorentina 37/20, the draw 95/40 and AC Milan, the favourites, at 31/20. Looking at recent head-to-head form between the sides, there shouldn’t be much between the sides and I am going to go for the draw.
Suggested Bet: The draw at 95/40
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MONDAY
Inter Milan v Empoli – Click here to bet
Inter are currently top of the table with just 1 defeat in 29 matches this season. Their last game was a 1-1 draw at home to Napoli and that broke a run of 10 successive Serie A victories.
Empoli are currently 17th on the log and they have lost their last 3 matches including going down 1-0 at home to Bologna last time out. They put up a good fight in their previous away game against AC Milan also losing 1-0, but the harsh reality is that they haven’t scored a goal in their last 3 games.
Head-to-Head
Inter won the reverse fixture 1-0 at Empoli, but Empoli stunned Inter to win this fixture 1-0 last season, a result which could have been backed at 10/1.
Betting
The betting in this game has a more one-sided feel to it with Inter 2/9, the draw 6/1 and Empoli priced at 12/1.
Empoli haven’t scored in their last 3 matches and Inter have only conceded 8 goals in 15 home matches this season. The 8/10 Empoli under 0.5 goals stands out as the best bet on the card.
Suggested Bet: Empoli Total Goals under 0.5 at 8/10
Click here for betting on all of the Serie A matches
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
