We take a look at 3 of the Serie A matches taking place this weekend and suggest a bet in each game.
Inter Milan are the short priced favourites at 1/4 to win Serie A and you can click here for the latest long-term betting including Outright Winner, Top 4, Relegation and to Finish Bottom
SATURDAY
Frosinone v AC Milan – Click here to bet
Frosinone are currently 13th on the log and have only won 1 of their last 9 matches. They drew 1-1 away to Verona last time out and prior to that they beat Cagliari 3-1 at home breaking a 5 match losing streak. 20 of their 23 points have come at home this season.
AC Milan are 3rd on the log, 8 points behind leaders, Inter, having played a game more. They saw a 4 match winning streak ended last time out when they drew 2-2 at home to Bologna and in their last 3 away games they have taken 7 points from a possible 9.
AC Milan beat Frosinone 3-1 in the reverse fixture and they are 4/6 to pick up 3 points on the road. My attention though is drawn to the goals markets where over 3.5 goals is trading as 31/20. This bet would have arrived in 4 of the last 5 Frosinone League matches and in the last 3 AC Milan games. It would also have arrived in the head-to-head earlier in the season.
Suggested Bet: Over 3.5 goals at 31/20
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SUNDAY
Atalanta v Lazio – Click here to bet
Atalanta are currently 4th on the log and they have taken 10 points from their last 12 they have played for. They beat Udinese 2-0 at home last time out and they have won their last 5 home matches in succession.
Lazio are 7th on the log, 2 points behind Atalanta and they saw a 4 match winning streak ended when they drew 0-0 at home to Napoli in their last start. They were really battling on the road, but have picked it up in their last 3 away games with a draw and 2 victories and they go in search of their 3rd successive away victory in this fixture.
Lazio beat Atalanta 3-2 at home earlier in the season and given Atalanta’s impressive home form I am happy to take anything above even money that they pick up all 3 points.
Suggested Bet: Atalanta win at 11/10
Inter Milan v Juventus – Click here to bet
Inter are currently 1 point ahead of Juventus and at the top of the table with a game in hand. They have only lost once in 21 starts this season and have won 8 and drawn 2 of their last 10 matches. They are currently on a 3 match winning streak and last time out beat Fiorentina 1-0 away from home. Their sole defeat came at home this season, but they have taken a maximum of 15 points from their last 5 home games, outscoring their opponents by over 4 goals to 1.
Juventus have won 7 and drawn 3 of their last 10 and last time out they drew 1-1 to Empoli at home, a game where they started 1/4 favourites. That broke a 5 match winning streak and they have won their last 3 away matches in succession.
This game finished 1-1 at Juventus earlier in the season and last season Juventus did the double winning this fixture 1-0.
Inter are the 17/20 favourites with the draw 5/2 and Juventus priced at 7/2. I was looking at under 2.5, but the bookies have seen me coming and go 4/6 as this would have collected in the last 5 head-to-heads, but at the end of the day I can’t see much between the sides and I think the draw is the value.
Suggested Bet: The draw at 5/2
Click here for betting on all of this week’s Italian football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
