There are two Serie A matches taking place on Monday night and we take a look at each of them from a betting angle.
UDINESE v LECCE – Click here to bet
At the time of writing Udinese are 17th on the log without a win in their opening 8 games. They have managed to draw 5 of those 8 matches though. Last time out they played a goalless draw away at Empoli and their last home game was a 2-2 draw with Genoa. They have played 4 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2 and they have scored 2 goals in those 4 matches while conceding 7.
Lecce are 10th on the log but have only taken 1 point from the last 9 they have played for. They drew 1-1 at home to Sassuolo last time out and that broke a run of successive losses at home to Napoli and away to Juventus. Prior to that, they had started the season with 3 wins and 2 draws. Lecce have yet to win on the road in 3 attempts taking 2 points from a possible 9.
This fixture finished 1-1 last season and Lecce won the reverse fixture 1-0.
Udinese are 5/4 for the win with the draw priced at 23/10 and Lecce, the outsiders at 5/2.
I was looking at an under 2.5 goals play based on their meetings last season, but the 7/10 is too short for me and I think the value lies with the draw.
Suggested Bet: The draw at 23/10
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FIORENTINA v EMPOLI – Click here to bet
Fiorentina are currently 4th on the log with 5 wins and 2 draws and a loss in their opening 8 games. They are undefeated in their last 5 games and are coming off back-to-back wins, 3-1 away at Napoli, a game where they started at 9/2 for the win, and 3-0 at home to Cagliari, a match where they were 11/20 to take all 3 points. They have taken 7 points from a possible 9 in their 3 home games this season.
Empoli are currently 18th on the log with just 1 win and a draw in their opening 8 games. They have only scored 1 goal in that time while conceding 16. They drew 0-0 at home to Udinese in their last start and their last away game was a 3-0 loss to Bologna, and overall on the road this season they have yet to take a point from 3 matches. Empoli have yet to score a goal on the road this season in 3 matches and they have conceded 12.
These sides drew in both meetings last season and this fixture finished 1-1.
Fiorentina are looking in great form and with Empoli conceding an average of 4 goals a game on the road I am happy to back the home team on the handicap of -1 goal here.
Suggested Bet: Handicap, Fiorentina -1.5 goals at 23/20
Click here for betting on all the Italian football action taking place this week
