We examine three La Liga matches taking place this weekend, offering betting insights and suggestions for each game.
Before diving in, let’s review the outright market prices: Real Madrid are heavily favoured at 4/9, with Barcelona as the second favourites at 11/4. Atlético Madrid has drifted to 9/1, while the rest of the field is listed at 40/1 or better.
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SATURDAY
BARCELONA v REAL VALLADOLID– Click here to bet
After a 2-1 victory away to Rayo Vallecano in their most recent league outing, Barcelona have now secured three consecutive league wins, placing them at the top of the standings. Given their impressive form, Barcelona enter Saturday’s encounter as heavy favourites to claim all three points once again. This weekend, they will host Real Valladolid at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys, aiming for their eighth consecutive league victory on home soil, dating back to the end of last season. This fixture has historically been favourable for the Catalans, a win this weekend would mark their tenth consecutive home victory against Real Valladolid in La Liga.
Real Valladolid have experienced mixed fortunes since their return to top-flight football. Their most recent league encounter ended in a 0-0 draw against Leganés on Wednesday evening, leaving them with a record of one win, one draw, and one loss from their first three league matches this season. This weekend, they face the daunting task of taking on a Barcelona side that is red hot at the moment, showing no signs of slowing down. Valladolid have historically struggled when travelling to Barcelona, the last time they managed to secure a positive result was back in 2003, when they earned a point with a 0-0 draw.
Head-to-Head
The last time these two teams faced each other was in the 2022/23 season. Barcelona secured all three points with a 4-0 victory in their home fixture, but Real Valladolid triumphed 3-1 in the reverse encounter.
Betting
Barcelona 4/6
Draw 16/5
Real Valladolid 4/1
Prediction
Real Valladolid have looked flat since their return to La Liga, entering this encounter having failed to score in their last two league appearances. Given this trend and their historical struggles when travelling to Barcelona I think there is value in backing the hosts to win to nil.
Suggested Bet: Barcelona To Win To Nil, Yes at 1/1
ATHLETIC BILBAO v ATLÉTICO MADRID– Click here to bet
Coming off an impressive 1-0 win at home against Valencia, Athletic Bilbao secured their first victory of the season, bringing their overall tally to 4 points from three matches with one win, one draw, and one defeat. Saturday’s encounter against Atlético Madrid promises to be an intriguing battle, as the hosts have had a decent amount of success against the mighty red and whites in this fixture, having lost just once in their last seven encounters in Bilbao across all competitions.
Atlético Madrid arrive at Estadio San Mamés frustrated after their midweek result, where they had to settle for a point at home against Espanyol on Wednesday evening. This weekend offers a short turnaround for Diego Simeone and his squad as they look to return to winning ways. However, the hosts will provide a stern test for Atlético Madrid, as they have turned their stadium into a fortress, remaining unbeaten in their last 19 home games in La Liga, with 12 wins in that span.
Head-to-Head
Last season, Athletic Bilbao won this fixture 2-0, while Atlético Madrid secured a 3-1 victory in the reverse encounter.
Betting
Athletic Bilbao 39/20
Draw 95/40
Atlético Madrid 15/10
Prediction
In a fixture that seems too close to call, the value appears to be with the hosts, given their impressive run of form in Bilbao. However, I recommend the draw no bet option for added security, as the visitors have yet to taste defeat this season.
Suggested Bet: Draw No Bet, Athletic Bilbao at 11/10
SUNDAY
GETAFE v REAL SOCIEDAD– Click here to bet
This Sunday, Getafe will take on Real Sociedad at the Coliseum Stadium. The Deep Blues will look to build on their unbeaten start to the La Liga season, having drawn their first two matches. With their midweek fixture against Real Betis postponed, Getafe should be slightly fresher than Real Sociedad. Despite having played only one home game so far this season and failing to score at the Coliseum, they are expected to improve this weekend. Historically, Getafe has had a decent home record against Sociedad, remaining unbeaten in their last three encounters at the Coliseum and averaging 1.33 goals per game in those matches.
Real Sociedad will travel to Getafe seeking to stabilize their campaign after a 2-1 defeat to Alavés in midweek. The White and Blues have struggled at home, suffering back-to-back losses in their opening matches. However, their away form has been much stronger, with their only victory of the season coming from a 1-0 win against Espanyol on match day two. This Sunday, they will aim to build on their improved away performances, knowing that their overall tally of just 3 points from a possible 9 has already put early pressure on them.
Head-to-Head
Last season, this fixture ended in a 1-1 draw, while Real Sociedad secured a 4-3 victory in the reverse fixture.
Betting
Getafe 26/10
Draw 39/20
Real Sociedad 11/8
Prediction
Despite Getafe having the upper hand over Real Sociedad in recent times, I believe the visitors have a good chance of coming away with a positive result in what is likely to be a relatively low-scoring affair.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Total, Draw/Real Sociedad and Under 2.5 at 15/20
Click here for all this weekend’s Spanish Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
