This weekend, La Liga has some exciting matchups, with plenty of important battles happening across the table. We’ve picked out three fixtures that stand out with interesting betting angles and potential value.
Before diving into the matches, let’s take a quick look at the latest outright odds. After last weekend’s results, it’s shaping up to be a three-way race for the title. Barcelona remain the strong favourites at 1/6, with Real Madrid at 9/2. Despite being 7 points adrift, Atlético Madrid are still in the mix at 33/1, while the rest are priced at 1000/1 or higher.
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SATURDAY
BARCELONA v CELTA VIGO – Click here to bet
Barcelona return to La Liga action this weekend brimming with confidence after sealing a 5-3 aggregate victory over Borussia Dortmund to reach the UEFA Champions League semi-finals. Despite losing the second leg 3-1 away on Tuesday night, the Catalans had already laid the groundwork with a dominant 4-0 win in the first leg a week earlier. With the Champions League, Copa del Rey, and La Liga title still up for grabs, Hansi Flick’s men remain firmly on course for a potential treble.
They currently sit four points clear of Real Madrid at the top of the table with 70 points from 31 matches and are unbeaten in 24 of their last 25 games across all competitions — a run that includes last weekend’s narrow 1-0 win away to Leganés.
At home, Barcelona have been equally impressive, collecting 34 points from a possible 45 at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (W11, D1, L3). They’re unbeaten in their last 12 home matches in all competitions, winning six of their last seven La Liga fixtures on home turf. With momentum building and silverware on three fronts still in sight, the Catalan giants will be keen to take another step forward on Saturday.
Celta Vigo, meanwhile, head into this clash off the back of a disappointing 2-0 home defeat to Espanyol — a missed opportunity in their push for European qualification. Currently seventh with 43 points, Claudio Giráldez’s side sit eight points off the top six with just seven games remaining. Encouragingly, their away form has picked up in recent weeks, going unbeaten in four on the road (W2, D2) and collecting more than half of their overall season-long away points tally (8 out of 13) during that spell.
Head-to-Head
Earlier this season, the two sides shared the spoils in an entertaining 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture. Barcelona, however, have dominated recent meetings at home, winning each of their last three encounters against Celta Vigo at home — including a 3-2 victory last season.
Betting
Barcelona 1/3
Draw 5/1
Celta Vigo 7/1
Verdict
Barcelona’s pursuit of a treble continues, and with confidence soaring and home form rock solid, they should have enough to claim all three points here. However, Celta Vigo’s recent away scoring record — with goals in each of their last seven La Liga games on the road, as well as in four of their last five visits to Barcelona — suggests they can get on the scoresheet
Suggested Bet: Result and Both Teams to Score – Barcelona and Yes at 27/20
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LAS PALMAS v ATLETICO MADRID – Click here to bet
Las Palmas may have claimed an encouraging 3-1 win away to Getafe last weekend, but they remain stuck in the relegation zone, sitting 18th with 29 points — just one behind 17th-placed Alavés. With seven games to go, Diego Martínez’s side still have time to claw their way to safety, but Saturday’s clash against high-flying Atlético Madrid promises to be one of their toughest remaining fixtures. Worryingly for the hosts, they’ve failed to win any of their last six home matches (D2, L4), and with just 14 points collected from 15 games at the Estadio de Gran Canaria this season, home comforts have been in short supply.
Atlético Madrid, meanwhile, head into the weekend in strong form, unbeaten in their last three league outings — a run that includes back-to-back wins, most recently a 4-2 victory over Valladolid. Sitting 3rd in the table with 63 points, Diego Simeone’s side remain within touching distance of the title race. While their away form has been patchy of late, Atlético have taken four points from their last two road trips and will be confident of adding to that tally here.
Head-to-Head
Earlier this season, Atlético Madrid secured a clinical 2-0 victory at the Metropolitano, while last season it was Las Palmas who came out on top in this fixture, earning a 2-1 win on home soil.
Betting
Las Palmas 5/1
Draw 33/10
Atlético Madrid 4/7
Verdict
Despite their recent win, Las Palmas’ poor home form could prove costly once again against a well-drilled Atlético side with momentum on their side. Expect Simeone’s men to do enough to secure the points, though the hosts could potentially find the net.
Suggested Bet: Result and Totals – Atlético Madrid and Over 1.5 at 17/20
SUNDAY
Top of Form
REAL MADRID v ATHLETIC BILBAO – Click here to bet
Second meets fourth on Sunday evening as Real Madrid host Athletic Bilbao in a high-stakes showdown at the Bernabéu. Trailing Barcelona by four points, Carlo Ancelotti’s side sit second in the table with 66 points from 31 matches. Despite a midweek Champions League exit to Arsenal (5-1 on aggregate), Los Blancos remain firmly in the hunt for a domestic double, with both the La Liga title and a Copa del Rey still to play for.
Coming off a 1-0 victory away to Alavés last weekend on the domestic front, it marked a timely return to winning ways in La Liga following a disappointing 2-1 home defeat to Valencia. Real Madrid boast the best home record in the league with 12 wins, 1 draw, and just 2 losses — a testament to their consistency on home soil. Despite their recent setback at the Bernabéu, they’ve still collected 22 league points from the last 27 available at home (W7, D1, L1), underlining their status as formidable hosts heading into Sunday’s clash.
Athletic Bilbao, meanwhile, make the trip to Madrid sitting fourth in the table on 57 points — nine behind their opponents. The Basque side were involved in midweek Europa League action at home against Rangers, leaving them with a short turnaround ahead of this crucial clash at the Bernabéu just three days later. They head into this encounter unbeaten in their last five La Liga outings, with two wins and three draws. Their most recent domestic result saw them claim a convincing 3-1 win over Rayo Vallecano last weekend — a performance that further strengthened their top-four ambitions.
On the road, Ernesto Valverde’s men have proven tough to beat, suffering just one defeat in their last five away league matches — a narrow 1-0 loss to Atlético Madrid. During that run, they’ve picked up one win and three draws, showing both resilience and tactical discipline away from home. Sunday’s clash promises to be a stern test, but Bilbao’s solid league form and defensive structure could make this an intriguing battle at the Bernabéu.
Head-to-Head
Real Madrid are unbeaten in four of their last five meetings with Athletic Bilbao, though it was the Basque side who claimed a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Last season, however, Los Blancos secured a 2-0 win in this corresponding fixture at the Bernabéu.
Betting
Real Madrid 7/10
Draw 3/1
Athletic Bilbao 4/1
Verdict
Real Madrid should respond positively after their UCL exit, and their strong home form gives them the edge. They’re unbeaten in four of their last five against Bilbao, but with the visitors in solid form and each of the last 11 H2Hs producing under 3.5 goals, Real Madrid double chance & under 3.5 goals looks a solid shout.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Total – Real Madrid/Draw and Under 3.5 at 8/10
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
