We take a look at three upcoming La Liga matches taking place this weekend and suggest a bet on each game.
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SATURDAY 11 MAY
RCD MALLORCA v LAS PALMAS– Click here to bet
RCD Mallorca will host Las Palmas at the Mallorca Son Moix Stadium in the early kick-off this Saturday, aiming to turn around their recent poor run of form. Currently 17th on the table, this encounter could prove pivotal for the hosts, as maximum points would likely secure their place for next season in top-flight football. With just 2 points from a possible 15 in their last five league encounters, Mallorca’s recent form has been concerning. However, facing opponents who are also struggling might spark some life into the hosts come Saturday.
At home, the hosts have achieved reasonable results, securing a respectable 5 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses to date. However, they enter this fixture off the back of a disappointing 1-0 loss at home to Atlético de Madrid.
Mallorca have averaged 0.82 goals per game at home this season, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 76.47% of those encounters (13 out of 17).
Las Palmas visit Mallorca having failed to obtain a single point in their last seven consecutive league appearances. Currently 14th on the table, The Yellows seem to have switched off entirely and appear like a team desperate for this season to come to an end. While technically they can still fall into the bottom three, it’s highly unlikely given the high expectations required from those beneath them.
On their travels, Las Palmas have not fared particularly well since their return to top-flight football. Last weekend’s 2-0 loss away to Real Sociedad meant they have only secured 2 points from a possible 18 in their last 6 league appearances. They have managed just 4 wins on the road, along with 3 draws and 10 losses to date.
Las Palmas have averaged 0.76 goals per game away from home this season, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 70.58% of those games (12 out of 17).
Head-to-Head
The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 1-1 draw. The last time these two teams faced each other in this fixture was back in 2021 when they were in a lower division. That match resulted in a 1-0 victory for Las Palmas.
This looks like a difficult game to call, given how poorly these two teams have performed recently in La Liga. With unders being a dominant statistic, and given that it has occurred in their last three consecutive head-to-head encounters, there’s a chance that at least one team will fail to find the net, and the trend of unders may continue.
Suggested Bet: Totals and both teams to score, Under 2.5 and no at 5/6
ATHLETIC BILBAO v OSASUNA – Click here to bet
Athletic Bilbao will host Osasuna this weekend, hoping to push Atlético de Madrid to the absolute limit in their pursuit of Champions League aspirations. Currently 5th on the table, Athletic Bilbao are in a strong position to feature in Europe. However, trailing Atlético de Madrid by 6 points, failure to achieve maximum points this Saturday could mean resigning to the fact that the Europa League will be the next best option for them.
Last Friday’s 2-0 win away from Getafe was crucial in terms of getting their campaign back on track after registering two draws and a defeat prior to that. At home, the Lions have shown their strength this season having registered 11 wins, 5 draws, losing just once at Stadio San Mamés.
Athletic Bilbao have averaged 2.23 goals per game at home this season, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 58.8% of those encounters (10 out of 17).
Osasuna will have to make significant strides if they are to achieve the heights they reached in previous seasons. Currently occupying 13th spot on the table, it’s their lowest position since their return to the top flight back in the 2019/20 season. With four games remaining, the Reds have failed to secure a spot in Europe but have secured another season in La Liga.
Last week’s 2-0 loss at home to Real Betis confirmed Osasuna’s poor run of form, extending their domestic struggles. They have now registered 4 losses on the bounce and six overall from their last seven league encounters. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and suffered 9 defeats thus far.
Osasuna have averaged 1.18 goals per game away from home this season, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 52.94% of those games (9 out of 17).
Head-to-Head
Athletic Bilbao won 2-0 in the reverse fixture earlier this season, while both teams settled for a 0-0 draw in this fixture last season.
Osasuna are currently struggling, and with little left to achieve in their remaining fixtures, it’s difficult to see them posing a significant threat to the hosts. Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, have ambitions of securing their place in Europe. They will view this game as a crucial opportunity to secure maximum points and further their European aspirations. I fancy a comfortable win here.
Suggested Bet: Result and totals, Athletic Bilbao and over 2.5 at 27/20
SUNDAY 12 MAY
ATLÉTICO DE MADRID v CELTA DE VIGO– Click here to bet
Atlético de Madrid will host Celta De Vigo at the Metropolitano Stadium this Sunday, with their sights set on securing a place in next season’s Champions League campaign. While this season has been somewhat indifferent compared to previous campaigns for the Red and Whites, they remain on course for a top-four finish, maintaining the high standards expected at such a prestigious club. Following their 1-0 win away to Mallorca last week, they currently sit in 4th place on the table, trailing Barcelona in 3rd by 6 points.
At home, Atlético de Madrid have been dominant, winning four out of their last five league matches at the Metropolitano Stadium. Their impressive home record stands at 15 wins, 1 draw, and just one defeat, which came at the hands of Barcelona.
Atlético de Madrid have averaged 2.35 goals per game at home this season, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 82.35% of those games (14 out of 17).
Celta De Vigo will visit the Metropolitano Stadium currently sitting 15th on the table. With just four games remaining, the visitors are aiming to avoid relegation, knowing that one more victory should secure their place in La Liga for next season, given the competitive nature of the league. The Sky Blues come into this match off the back of a hard-fought 3-2 win over Villarreal. However, they have yet to register back-to-back wins in the league this season, making it unlikely that we will see a change in that trend this weekend against the likes of Atlético de Madrid.
On their travels, Celta Vigo has struggled to a certain extent, suffering back-to-back league defeats away from home. They have only managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats on the road so far this season, accumulating just 14 points from a possible 51.
Celta Vigo have averaged 1.35 goals per game this season away from home, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 70.58% of those games (12 out of 17).
Head-to-Head
Atlético de Madrid won the reverse fixture 3-0, with a commanding 4-1 victory in this fixture last season.
Celta De Vigo has seen over 2.5 goals in their last seven league encounters, and goals have been a regular feature at the Metropolitano Stadium. Atlético de Madrid has been impressive at home, and with the incentives involved, a home win seems likely. However, we’ll include the draw as a precautionary measure, along with the expectation of an entertaining game with plenty of goals.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Total, Atlético de Madrid/Draw and over 2.5 at 15/20
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
