We take a look at the first set of quarter-finals scheduled to take place this Friday where we suggest a bet on both crucial encounters.
Before we proceed, let’s review the latest outright market prices. England, benefiting from a favourable draw, remain favourites at 15/4, with Spain closely behind at 4/1. Hosts Germany, along with our tournament pick France, are available at 9/2. The dark horses, the Netherlands, have shortened significantly from 12/1 to 7/1, while Portugal has drifted out to 9/1. The rest of the field can be snapped up at 14/1 or better.
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SPAIN v GERMANY – Click here to bet
Heavy-hitters Spain and Germany will set the tone this Friday as they open proceedings with a mouth-watering quarter-final clash at MPHArena in Stuttgart. La Roja enter this crucial match following another impressive display, comfortably beating Georgia 4-1 in the round of 16. Despite trailing due to an own goal in the 18th minute, Spain’s dominance suggested it was only a matter of time before they found their way back into the match, eventually equalizing just before the break. The second half proved too much for the Georgians, who succumbed to three unanswered goals by Spain. This victory secured Spain’s eighth quarter-final berth at the Euros and ended Georgia’s fairytale run. Coincidentally, that own goal was the first Spain conceded in the entire tournament—a noteworthy feat given their challenging journey through the “group of death” with Italy, Croatia, and Albania. Spain’s solid defensive structure, youthful pace, and clinical goal-scoring prowess will undoubtedly unsettle the Germans as they face a team that has displayed utter dominance en route to their encounter with the hosts.
Spain enter the quarter-finals averaging 2.25 goals per game so far in the tournament, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 50% of those matches (2 out of 4).
Hosts Germany advanced to the quarter-finals with a 2-0 victory over Denmark in Dortmund. Despite Germany dominating the early passages of the game, the Danes can consider themselves somewhat unfortunate, responding relatively well to what was thrown their way. However, things shifted dramatically after the break when Kai Havertz converted a penalty in the 53rd minute, followed by a decisive strike from Jamal Musiala 15 minutes later. With a comfortable two-goal lead, Denmark faded, allowing Germany to secure their place in the next round. The Germans will now face Spain in a highly anticipated quarter-final in Stuttgart. Unbeaten in their last eight matches, Germany have registered an impressive ten goals and conceded just twice in the Euros so far, excelling in nearly every aspect of their game. This sets the stage for a clash reminiscent of football royalty as these two footballing giants prepare to face off this coming Friday.
Germany enter the quarter-finals averaging 2.5 goals per game so far in the tournament, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 75% of those matches (3 out of 4).
Head-to-Head
These two teams have faced each other 26 times in total. Germany holds a slight edge, having won 9 matches, drawn 9, and lost 8 times to Spain. Their most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw at the FIFA World Cup in November 2022.
Betting
Spain 17/10
Draw 9/4
Germany 18/10
Prediction
This should be a thrilling encounter between two sides that have arguably shown the best form in this tournament. Spain has been guilty of falling short in major tournaments in the past, but under the guidance of Luis de la Fuente, they look like the real deal. In a game that promises excitement, I believe Spain can continue their momentum with a positive result and should go unbeaten in 90 minutes.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance And Both Teams To Score, Spain/Draw And Yes at 29/20
PORTUGAL v FRANCE – Click here to bet
Portugal and France will clash at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg this coming Friday, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter. The winner will advance to face either hosts Germany or Spain in the semi-finals. The round of 16 on Monday night delivered a spectacle filled with drama and intrigue. Portugal struggled to convert their dominance against a resilient Slovenian side, resulting in a dramatic penalty shootout. Diogo Costa’s heroic performance in goal proved pivotal, ensuring Portugal kept their composure under pressure. Despite progressing to the quarter-finals, there are concerns that Portugal have somewhat faltered, having failed to score in their last two matches in Germany. This sets up a challenging scenario as they prepare to face the World Cup finalists France, who themselves secured a hard-fought victory over Belgium to reach this stage.
Portugal enter the quarter-finals averaging 1.25 goals per game so far in the tournament, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 50% of those matches (2 out of 4).
Two-time European Championship winners, France secured a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Belgium in the round of 16. Despite finishing as runners-up in the group stages, Les Bleus now face a potentially tougher path, knowing they will meet either Spain or Germany in the semi-finals if they prevail on Friday evening. The French overcame their first significant challenge on Monday, benefiting from an own goal by Belgium’s defender Jan Vertonghen to secure victory. With little time to recover, the Red Devils suffered their third consecutive defeat against France in a major tournament. France will now take on Roberto Martinez’s Portuguese side in their quarter-final showdown, aiming to build on from their recent result and gain crucial momentum as we approach the climax of the tournament.
France enter the quarter-finals averaging 0.75 goals per game so far in the tournament, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 100% of those matches (4 out of 4).
Head-to-Head
These two sides have met a total of 28 times, with France dominating those figures with 19 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats. Their most recent encounter resulted in an entertaining 2-2 draw during a European Championship fixture in June 2021.
Betting
Portugal 12/5
Draw 21/10
France 14/10
Prediction
I’m going to go against the grain a bit here. With both teams struggling for goals lately, one might think a low scoring affair looks inevitable. However, I’m not convinced. Both teams have faced opposition throughout the tournament who have been more inclined to sit back and frustrate, giving a false impression of what to expect here. These two teams, given the talent at their disposal, are unlikely to adopt the same approach, making a play on the totals market an enticing one to consider at a very favourable price.
Suggested Bet: Totals, over 2.5 at 15/10
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
