We are down to four teams in Euro 2024, with two powerhouses, Spain and France, set to clash in the first semi-final on Tuesday at the Allianz Arena in Munich. We take a look at the betting..
Before proceeding, let’s take a closer look at the latest outright market prices: Spain has made significant strides and is now marked as the favourite to win their fourth European Championship title at 19/10. England drops to second favourite at 5/2 following their most recent performance, with France close behind at 28/10. The Netherlands, still considered the minnows among the remaining four, can now be backed at 5/1.
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SPAIN v FRANCE – Click here to bet
Spain will battle it out against France at the Allianz Arena in Munich this coming Tuesday to determine who will prevail and secure their place in this year’s European Championship final. There, they will face either England or the Netherlands. Spain was the first nation to secure their place in the semi-finals, and in many ways, it is fitting given how they have led from the start throughout the tournament. It has been a dominant showing from Luis de la Fuente’s men in Germany. Unbeaten in the group stages, they met Georgia in the Round of 16, where they cruised to a convincing 4-1 victory, securing their place in the quarter-finals. In their most recent showing, the Spaniards continued their European invasion by knocking out tournament hosts Germany 2-1 in a thrilling encounter that required extra time to separate the teams.
Now, Spain will face familiar foes with momentum firmly on their side, having won all five games en route to Munich and scoring an impressive 11 goals in the process. Tuesday’s opponents have yet to reach the desired heights many expected from them so far, which should instil belief within the Spanish team that they can potentially advance to their fifth European Championship final and aim to secure their fourth Euro title.
Spain enter the semi-finals averaging 2 goals per game in the Euros (90 minutes), with under 2.5 goals occurring in 60% of those matches (3 out of 5).
Despite being our pre-tournament selection, France has yet to fire on all cylinders in Germany. They stumbled to this point after finishing as runners-up to Austria in their group stage encounters. In the round of 16, they faced a Belgian team that was significantly out of form, securing a 1-0 victory over the Red Devils. This was followed by a rather timid performance against Portugal in the quarter-finals, which required penalties to determine the winner after a goalless draw. With heavy reliance on Kylian Mbappe, the French talisman appears to be feeling the pinch. His request to be substituted deep into the Portugal game due to fatigue is concerning, especially considering he is already nursing a broken nose sustained during the group stages. Hindered by a protective mask, he seems to be struggling in this tournament, which is far from ideal given his crucial role in the squad.
Les Bleus will undoubtedly face their sternest test this coming Tuesday in Munich, where they will take on arguably the most exciting team of the tournament. Having scored only 3 goals from five matches so far, the French will need to significantly improve if they are to match the intensity already shown by Spain in Germany.
France enter the semi-finals averaging 0.6 goals per game in the Euros (90 minutes), with under 2.5 goals occurring in 100% of those matches (5 out of 5).
Head-to-Head
These two sides have met 36 times in total with Spain edging those figures with 16 wins, 7 draws and 13 defeats. Their most recent encounter resulted in a 2-1 victory for France in the UEFA Nations League Final back in October 2021.
Betting
Spain 13/8
Draw 39/20
France 85/40
Prediction
This looks like a difficult one to call, given the significance of the occasion. With one side struggling for goals and the other scoring for fun, these two contrasting styles make for an intriguing evening in Germany. With so much riding on this game, it would hardly surprise me if this one went the distance. France may not be firing up front, but having conceded just once shows how impressively sound they have been at the back. Spain have shown similar attributes, given they have conceded just one more goal than the French. For that reason, I’m inclined to back a relatively low-scoring affair, with both sides unlikely to find the back of the net.
Suggested Bet: Totals and Both Teams to Score, Under 2.5 and No at 9/10
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
