This weekend, we are treated to a European Championship spectacle in Berlin as Spain faces England in the Euro 2024 final. Here are a couple of options to consider for the outcome.
Before delving into our preferred selection, let’s take a closer look at the latest outright market prices. Spain are now marked as low as 5/8 to win their fourth European Championship title, with England priced at 23/20 to win for the first time in their history. There are also alternative markets worth considering, such as Top Goal Scorer, Best Player of the Tournament, and Best Young Player of the Tournament, among others.
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SPAIN v ENGLAND – Click here to bet
Spain or England find themselves on the threshold of being crowned Champions of Europe in what promises to be a mouth-watering clash of contrasting styles. Both teams will be desperate to return home with much-needed silverware, given it’s been 12 years since Spain last tasted success in a major tournament, and an even longer waiting period for the Three Lions, spanning over 58 years.
There is no doubt that Spain enter Sunday’s massive encounter at the Olympiastadion in Berlin very much the team to beat, playing exceptional football despite the challenging draws they’ve endured to reach this point. Undefeated in the ‘group of death’, they might have expected an easier route in the knockout rounds to the final, but that certainly wasn’t the case. La Roja had to face hosts Germany in the quarter-finals before overcoming the current World Cup champions, France, 2-1 in their most recent outing in the semi-finals. As one of the lesser-fancied giants going into the European Championship, Spain have certainly stood head and shoulders above their competition and look an exciting prospect for many years to come, given the emphasis Luis de la Fuente has placed on the likes of Lamine Yamal and many other youngsters, producing the goods by transforming this team in a positive manner already.
With an impressive thirteen goals to their name en route to the finals, the English will have to be at their very best if they are to simmer down the sort of heat Spain has shown throughout the tournament thus far.
Spain enters Sunday’s final averaging 2 goals per game in the tournament (90 minutes), with over 2.5 goals occurring in 50% of those matches in regulation time (3 out of 6).
Road to the final
Spain 3-0 Croatia, Spain 1-0 Italy, Albania 0-1 Spain, Spain 4-1 Georgia, Spain 2-1 Germany (After Extra Time), Spain 2-1 France
It’s safe to say that pre-tournament favourites England haven’t quite lived up to the hype expected of them in this tournament. They struggled up front, producing less-than-convincing results in the group stages and continued with mixed performances in the knockout rounds. Yet, Southgate’s men have navigated their way to the final in Berlin. This achievement could be seen as a warning shot to Spain, highlighting that despite not performing at their best, they’ve achieved something no other English side has done before—reaching a final for the first time on foreign soil.
Despite finishing on top of Group C with just one win and two draws, England faced criticism once again after requiring extra time to overcome tournament minnows Slovakia in the round of 16, followed by a penalty shootout against Switzerland in the quarter-finals to advance. Fortunately for the Three Lions, momentum appeared to shift in their favour in their most recent match. Despite conceding first for the third consecutive game, they rallied to the final with a couple of inspired substitutions making all the difference, culminating in a 90th-minute assist from Cole Palmer leading to the winning goal by Ollie Watkins, both players having been on the pitch for only 9 minutes.
England have developed a habit of relying on late-game heroics, a scenario best avoided against the likes of Spain. Having scored just seven goals in the tournament so far, England will need to rise to the occasion if they are to match the intensity we have become accustomed to seeing from the Spanish in Germany thus far.
England enters Sunday’s final averaging 1 goal per game in the tournament (90 minutes), with under 2.5 goals occurring in 83% of those matches in regulation time (5 out of 6).
Road to the final
Serbia 0-1 England, Denmark 1-1 England, England 0-0 Slovenia, England 2-1 Slovakia (After Extra Time), England 1-1 Switzerland (England progress 5-3 after penalties), Netherlands 1-2 England
Head-to-Head
These two sides have met 27 times in total, with England holding a slight edge with 14 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats. Their most recent encounter was a 3-2 victory for England in a UEFA Nations League match in October 2018.
Betting
Spain 14/10
Draw 19/10
England 26/10
Prediction
Not to sound like a broken record, but England look vulnerable going into the final this weekend. Having conceded first in their last three consecutive games, I believe this trend is likely to continue. I also really like the odds of both teams finding the back of the net at 11/10. With this in mind, I’m considering both selections as equally good plays this weekend, hoping that Spain come out strong and England having to recover from behind again.
Suggested Bets: Both teams to score, yes at 11/10, Team to score 1st goal, Spain at 10/11
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
