English Premier League Betting Preview, Sunday 28 September

Sunday’s Premier League schedule features two intriguing clashes, highlighted by Newcastle taking on Arsenal at St James’ Park. Earlier, Aston Villa host Fulham, with the home side eager to secure a first league win of the season. Here’s a closer look at both fixtures, complete with betting insights and suggested plays.

On the outright betting, Liverpool remain favourites to retain their crown at 10/11, with Arsenal close behind at 37/20. Manchester City follow at 6/1, while Chelsea have drifted out to 25/1 as the next most likely challengers. The rest of the field are all 40/1 or longer.

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ASTON VILLA v FULHAM – Click here to bet

Aston Villa sit 18th with just three points from five games, a sharp drop from the 12 they managed at the same stage last season. Unai Emery’s side have struggled to find rhythm on the domestic front, following a goalless draw with Everton by being held 1-1 at Sunderland, despite the hosts finishing with ten men. After securing European football last term, their sluggish start has raised eyebrows. Yet to register a league win this season, they’ll look to turn things around against Fulham on Sunday, having done the double over the Cottagers last season. Having scored just once and conceded five so far, Villa will need to work harder at both ends if they are to get their first win of the season. With this in mind, it comes as no surprise that the club have opted to part ways with president of football operations Monchi, following questions over his summer signings.

Fulham make the trip to Birmingham sitting 8th in the table with eight points from five games, boosted by back-to-back wins after a 3-1 victory over Brentford at Craven Cottage last weekend. Marco Silva’s side have yet to find success on the road this season, taking just one point from two away fixtures while scoring once and conceding three. Overall, the Cottagers have netted six and shipped five, but their away struggles remain a concern. History is also against them, with Fulham failing to take a single point from their last five league meetings with Villa, though Sunday’s clash could be the ideal chance to put that record right given the hosts’ current struggles.

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa have won each of their last five league meetings with Fulham, including back-to-back doubles. Last season they recorded a 3-1 victory at Craven Cottage before edging a tighter contest 1-0 at Villa Park.

Betting

Aston Villa 27/20

Draw 9/4

Fulham 23/10

Verdict

I find this game really tricky to call. Villa’s record against Fulham is superb and you’d usually fancy them at home, but right now Emery’s side don’t look like the team that finished last season so strongly. Fulham come in on the back of two wins and will be more confident, but their poor away form makes them hard to trust. For me, this feels like a match that could swing either way, so rather than picking a winner, I’m leaning towards the goals markets,  albeit a tentative pick.

Suggested Bet: Both Teams to Score -Yes at 17/20

NEWCASTLE UNITED v ARSENAL – Click here to bet

Newcastle sit 13th in the standings with six points from five games, having been held to a third goalless draw of the season away at Bournemouth last weekend. Eddie Howe’s men have looked solid defensively, registering four clean sheets already, but their lack of cutting edge up front remains an issue, with all three of their league goals coming at St James’ Park. The arrival of Nick Woltemade was meant to soften the blow of losing Alexander Isak, yet chances have been scarce. With fixtures piling up across league, cup and European competition, Howe will be hoping his side can find a sharper edge in attack without losing the defensive discipline that has kept them competitive.

Arsenal, meanwhile, arrive in the North East sitting second with 10 points from their opening five games, buoyed by a dramatic late equaliser in last weekend’s 1-1 draw with Manchester City. Mikel Arteta’s side have been clinical going forward, scoring 10 goals, while remaining solid at the back with just two conceded and three clean sheets. Their only dropped points have come against last season’s top rivals, including champions Liverpool, highlighting both the quality of opposition faced and their overall consistency. Like Newcastle, the Gunners must navigate a congested schedule, but with greater squad depth and momentum, they will see this as an opportunity to reinforce their title credentials—particularly given the cagey nature of recent meetings between the sides.

Head-to-Head

These two sides clashed four times last season, with Newcastle coming out on top in three of them. The Magpies won 1-0 in the league at St James’ Park and did the double over Arsenal in the Carabao Cup semi-finals with back-to-back 2-0 victories. Arsenal’s only success came in this fixture at the Emirates, edging it 1-0. Each of those last four meetings saw only one team find the back of the net.

Betting

Newcastle United 5/2

Draw 5/2

Arsenal 23/20

Verdict

Both teams have been solid defensively this season, and their recent meetings have rarely seen both sides score. Expect a tight, cagey affair with few clear-cut chances.

Suggested Bet: Both Teams to Score – No at 19/20

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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change