English Premier League Betting Preview, Sunday 19 October
Sunday’s Premier League action features two mouth-watering fixtures. Spurs host Aston Villa, with the home side unbeaten in seven but still finding their feet at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, while Villa aim to extend their winning streak. Later, Liverpool welcome Manchester United to Anfield, with the Reds seeking a response after recent defeats and United looking to hit on the counter.
Looking at the Premier League outright market ahead of this weekend’s action, Arsenal lead at 91/100 after a strong start, with Liverpool close behind at 11/4. Manchester City follow at 4/1, while Chelsea remain outsiders at 25/1. The rest of the pack can be snapped up at 40/1 or longer.
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TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR v ASTON VILLA – Click here to bet
Sunday’s early kick-off takes us to North London, where Tottenham host Aston Villa in what promises to be a fascinating clash between two sides trending upward. Thomas Frank’s arrival has sparked a remarkable turnaround for Spurs, who have gone from one of last season’s underperformers to one of the Premier League’s most consistent outfits. The Lilywhites come into this fixture unbeaten in seven across all competitions (W4 D3), including a 2–1 win away to Leeds before the international break that lifted them to third in the standings on 14 points from seven games.
While Spurs have impressed overall, their home form hasn’t quite mirrored their away exploits. Frank’s men have managed just one win in three league outings at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (W1 D1 L1), collecting four points from a possible nine. Goals have been in short supply too just four scored and two conceded, suggesting that matches in London have tended to be tighter, more controlled affairs than their open games on the road.
Aston Villa, meanwhile, look to have turned a corner under Unai Emery after a sluggish start. The Villans managed only two points from their opening four matches but head into this one on a four-game winning streak in all competitions, including back-to-back Premier League victories. They’ve climbed to 13th with nine points from seven matches, showing signs of the resilience that defined their strong finish last season.
Away form remains a concern, however. Villa are yet to win on their travels this campaign (D2 L1), managing just a single goal across those three fixtures. The flip side is a solid defensive record, only two goals conceded away from home which has kept them competitive even when not firing up front.
Head-to-Head
The sides met three times last season, twice in the league and once in the FA Cup. Both won their respective home league fixtures, while Villa also edged Spurs 2–1 in the FA Cup fourth round. This fixture last season saw Tottenham run out 4–1 winners in London, while Villa responded with a 2–0 result at Villa Park.
Betting
Tottenham Hotspur 23/20
Draw 53/20
Aston Villa 9/4
Verdict
Spurs’ balance under Frank has brought results, but home performances remain measured rather than explosive. Villa have tightened up defensively and will look to frustrate, making this a game likely decided by fine margins rather than fireworks. A low-scoring contest looks the value play.
Suggested Bet: Totals – Under 2.5 at 1/1
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LIVERPOOL v MANCHESTER UNITED – Click here to bet
Anfield braces itself for another fiery chapter in English football’s most storied rivalry as Liverpool host Manchester United this Sunday. The Reds enter the clash under a cloud after a 2–1 defeat at Chelsea, their third straight loss in all competitions which has seen Arne Slot’s side slip to second in the Premier League table with 15 points. Wastefulness in front of goal has been a recurring theme, but Liverpool still create plenty and remain one of the division’s most dangerous attacking units when they click.
Home form has been their saving grace. Slot’s men boast a perfect record at Anfield this season, winning all three league outings, against Bournemouth, Arsenal and Everton while scoring seven and conceding three. It’s been less explosive than last season’s goal-fests, but the intensity and rhythm of Liverpool’s home performances remain key strengths.
Manchester United, meanwhile, arrive on the back of a much-needed 2–0 win over Sunderland, arguably their most composed performance under Rúben Amorim. That victory eased the pressure and lifted them to 10th on 10 points, though consistency remains the great unknown.
Their away record paints a worrying picture. United are winless in three on the road (D1 L2), having leaked seven goals while scoring only twice. Still, with Bryan Mbeumo and Benjamin Šeško in transition, they possess the pace and creativity to trouble a Liverpool defence that has looked far less assured of late. Amorim’s side are likely to sit deep and break quickly, an approach that has previously caused Liverpool problems in these fixtures.
The midfield battle between Szoboszlai and Fernandes should dictate the tempo, while Salah for Liverpool and Mbeumo for United could prove decisive in determining which attack takes control.
Head-to-Head
Liverpool claimed four points from United last season, winning 3–0 at Old Trafford before a 2–2 draw at Anfield. The Red Devils haven’t beaten Liverpool in their last five league meetings (D3 L2), conceding 10 goals in that stretch.
Betting
Liverpool 63/100
Draw 7/2
Manchester United 4/1
Verdict
Anfield will expect a response from Liverpool, but United’s attacking pace on the break could make this a far more open contest than the odds suggest. Both sides have shown defensive frailties and enough firepower to exploit them, making goals the likeliest outcome in what should be another unpredictable rivalry clash.
Suggested Bet: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 goals (Bet Builder) at 7/10
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
