Sunday brings another fascinating slate of Premier League action, with plenty to play for across the table—even if the title is already wrapped up. From a pivotal clash in the race for Europe at St. James’ Park to the champions returning to Anfield, there are still valuable betting angles and narratives to follow. Here are my thoughts and recommended punts for the day ahead.
Before we get into Sunday’s previews, be sure to check out the link below for additional angles—including outrights and specials.
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NEWCASTLE UNITED v CHELSEA – Click here to bet
Sunday’s Premier League action kicks off with a top-four six-pointer at St James’ Park, where Newcastle and Chelsea go head-to-head in a clash that could shape the race for Champions League football. Both sides are level on 63 points with three games to go, with Newcastle just edging Chelsea into fourth on goals scored.
Eddie Howe’s side left it late to rescue a point last time out, with an 89th-minute equaliser salvaging a 1-1 draw away at Brighton. While they missed the chance to move above Manchester City, the result extended their impressive recent run—Newcastle have lost just once in their last eight Premier League games, picking up 19 points in the process.
Back at St James’ Park, the Magpies have been in devastating form. They’ve won their last four home matches, netting 14 goals and winning each of the last three by three goals or more. Overall, they’ve taken 11 wins from 17 home games (D2, L4), scoring 38 and conceding 19. Goals have come thick and fast on Tyneside, with over 2.5 goals landing in each of their last 11 home league fixtures.
Chelsea arrive buoyed by a 3-1 victory over champions Liverpool last weekend—a confident display, even if the opposition had little left to play for. It was a strong showing from Enzo Maresca’s side, especially on the back of their midweek Europa Conference League trip to Djurgarden. Having secured a commanding 4-1 win in the first leg, Chelsea followed up with a clinical 1-0 victory in the second leg in Europe on Thursday, booking their place in the final after winning 5-1 on aggregate.
The Blues are unbeaten in their last three away games across all competitions and have picked up four points from their last two Premier League outings on the road. They’ve travelled reasonably well this season, earning 25 points away from home (W7, D4, L6), with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. True to form, their away fixtures have often been open affairs—over 2.5 goals has landed in 10 of their 17 on the road.
Head-to-Head
Chelsea won the reverse fixture 2-1 at Stamford Bridge, but Newcastle have dominated recent encounters at home. They beat the Blues 4-1 in the league at St James’ Park last season and followed that up with a 2-0 EFL Cup win this term. The hosts are now seeking a third consecutive home win against Chelsea in all competitions.
Betting
Newcastle United 23/20
Draw 28/10
Chelsea 22/10
Verdict
With both sides desperate for Champions League next season, this promises to be a high-stakes, high-tempo clash. Newcastle’s form at home gives them the edge, and with goals a common thread for both teams, backing the hosts in a lively contest looks a smart angle.
Suggested Bet: Result and Totals – Newcastle United and Over 2.5 at 19/10
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MANCHESTER UNITED v WEST HAM – Click here to bet
Next, we turn our attention to Old Trafford, where two of this season’s biggest underachievers go head-to-head. Manchester United host West Ham in a clash that’s more about salvaging pride than climbing the table, with both teams marooned in the bottom half and eager to regain a measure of respectability.
United arrive off the back of a chaotic but ultimately inconsequential 4-3 defeat to Brentford. That match saw Ruben Amorim opt for heavy rotation, clearly prioritising the upcoming Europa League clash with Athletic Bilbao in Spain. The gamble paid off, with United producing an impressive 3-0 away win to take control of the tie ahead of the return leg. On Thursday, they comprehensively beat Athletic Bilbao 4-1 at Old Trafford, securing their place in the Europa League final with a dominant 7-1 aggregate victory—where they will face English rivals Tottenham Hotspur.
Currently 15th on 39 points on the domestic front, United have struggled for consistency all season, managing just 10 league wins. Their home form has been far from convincing too—only six victories in 17 outings at Old Trafford (D3, L8), with a modest 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. Low-scoring affairs have been a trend, with under 2.5 goals landing in 10 of those 17 home matches.
West Ham’s campaign hasn’t fared much better. Sitting 17th with 37 points, they’re winless in their last eight league games (D4, L4). A 1-1 draw against Spurs last weekend offered some encouragement, as Graham Potter’s side at least showed signs of fight.
Their away form remains a major concern. The Irons have lost their last three on the road and have managed just four wins from 17 away matches this season (D5, L8), scoring 18 and conceding 27. Like their hosts, they’ve also been involved in a string of low-scoring encounters, with under 2.5 goals recorded in 10 of those 17 games.
Head-to-Head
West Ham edged a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but United were dominant the last time the sides met at Old Trafford, cruising to a 3-0 victory.
Betting
Manchester United 1/1
Draw 27/10
West Ham 27/10
Verdict
With neither side coming into this with any real momentum in the Premier League, and given their recent struggles on the domestic front in front of goal, this could well be another low-scoring affair. With little left to play for domestically, motivation may be lacking on both sides, and a draw wouldn’t be a shock. That said, my preference here is to side with a play on the unders.
Suggested Bet: Totals – Under 2.5 at 21/20
LIVERPOOL v ARSENAL – Click here to bet
Sunday wraps up with a heavyweight clash at Anfield, where newly crowned champions Liverpool welcome an Arsenal side still battling to secure a second-place finish in the Premier League.
Arne Slot’s men fell to a 3-1 defeat against Chelsea last weekend, but with the title already secured, their attention has understandably shifted. That said, back on home turf and facing a top-four rival, they’ll be eager to deliver a performance worthy of the occasion for their fans.
Liverpool have been a dominant force at Anfield all season. They’ve won each of their last seven league matches at home and have dropped just seven points there during their campaign (W14, D2, L1). With 39 goals scored and only 13 conceded, it’s no surprise that over 2.5 goals has landed in 11 of their 17 home fixtures.
Arsenal, on the other hand, arrive still licking their wounds after a 3-1 aggregate loss to PSG in the Champions League semi-finals—a result that followed a disappointing 2-1 home defeat to Bournemouth in the league just days earlier.
Despite the setbacks, Mikel Arteta’s side remain second in the table with 67 points, three ahead of Manchester City. The Gunners have been resilient on the road, going unbeaten in their last 12 away league games (W6, D6), scoring 30 goals and conceding only 14 overall. However, their away matches have often been tight affairs—under 2.5 goals has landed in 12 of their 17 games away from home.
Head-to-Head
These two shared a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture at the Emirates, while last season’s clash at Anfield ended 1-1. The Gunners haven’t won at Anfield in their last eleven league visits.
Betting
Liverpool 21/20
Draw 26/10
Arsenal 26/10
Verdict
Liverpool may have wrapped up the title, but they’ll still want to entertain on home soil. Arsenal need a result, but with fatigue and pressure mounting, it could be Liverpool’s day. Goals are likely, and both sides should find the net.
Suggested Bet: Totals and Both Teams to Score – Over 2.5 and Yes at 19/20
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
