We take a look at three fixtures this Saturday in the Premier League, beginning at the Etihad where Manchester City look to steady themselves after a difficult week as they host a Leeds United side battling to climb out of the bottom three. Later in the day, Everton welcome Newcastle in a clash between two sides searching for consistency, before the action concludes in North London where Tottenham face Fulham in a meeting of two teams trying to shake off their recent stumbles. Here are my thoughts along with suggested plays for each game.
Before we get into the previews, here’s a quick look at the outright title picture, Arsenal remain clear favourites at 11/25, with Manchester City their nearest challengers at 13/4. Chelsea enter the equation at 14/1, while the defending champions, Liverpool continue to drift, currently priced at 20/1. The rest of the field is available at 33/1 or higher.
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MANCHESTER CITY v LEEDS UNITED – Click here to bet
We kick off the weekend in Manchester as Pep Guardiola’s side return to Premier League action following a disappointing 2–0 home defeat to Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League midweek. That loss followed last weekend’s 2–1 defeat at Newcastle, marking back-to-back defeats across all competitions. Despite recent wobbles, the Citizens sit third in the table, seven points behind league leaders Arsenal, with 22 points from 12 games, seven wins, one draw and four defeats.
Saturday’s clash sees City back at the Etihad, where they boast a strong domestic record. They have lost just once at home this season, winning the other five matches to take 15 points from a possible 18. City have also won their last five consecutive league games in Manchester, having opened their home campaign with a 2–0 defeat to Spurs. Tuesday’s European setback ended a seven-match winning streak at the Etihad, but Guardiola’s side will be eager to bounce back immediately this weekend.
Leeds travel to Manchester looking to halt a worrying slide. Daniel Farke’s side have lost their last three league matches, including a 2–1 defeat at home to Aston Villa last weekend, leaving them in 18th place with 11 points from 12 games, three wins, two draws and seven defeats overall.
Away from home, Leeds have struggled badly, losing five of their six league trips this season and claiming just one win, a narrow victory over Wolves two months ago. Defensive issues have been particularly concerning as they’ve conceded eight goals in their last three away league games, including three in each of their last two. Facing a City side keen to respond after their midweek defeat, Leeds face a daunting challenge.
Head-to-Head
These sides last met in the 2022/23 season, with City completing a league double, 3–1 at Elland Road and 2–1 at the Etihad.
Betting
Manchester City 13/50
Draw 21/4
Leeds United 9/1
Verdict
Leeds are likely to have a tough afternoon at the Etihad. Their defensive frailties on the road and recent poor form suggest they will be focused on damage limitation rather than chasing a result. City, meanwhile, should respond strongly after their midweek defeat, and with three or more goals scored in three of their last four home league games, this one looks set to follow a similar pattern.
Suggested Bet: Manchester City to win & Over 2.5 Goals at 77/100
EVERTON v NEWCASTLE UNITED – Click here to bet
Everton return to Merseyside this weekend following an impressive 1–0 win away at Manchester United on Monday. What made the result even more remarkable was that the Toffees went down to ten men as early as the 13th minute after a bizarre incident saw Idrissa Gueye sent off following an altercation involving his own teammate. Despite the numerical disadvantage, David Moyes’ side held firm, moving to 11th in the Premier League with 18 points from 12 games, five wins, three draws and four defeats overall.
At home, Everton have been competitive, losing just once from seven league matches at the Hill Dickinson Stadium this season. Their record reads three wins, two draws and one defeat, with 11 points claimed from a possible 18, making Merseyside a difficult place for visitors.
Newcastle United, meanwhile, return to domestic action after a 2–1 defeat away to Marseille in Europe. The Magpies will be hoping to build on last weekend’s impressive 2–1 league victory over Manchester City at St James’ Park. Despite that win, Eddie Howe’s side remain in the lower half of the table in 14th place, with 15 points from 12 matches, four wins, three draws and five losses.
Newcastle’s struggles away from home are particularly concerning. They have taken just three points from six league trips this season, recording three draws and three defeats. The Magpies have now lost four consecutive away games across all competitions, including their last three Premier League trips, conceding eight and scoring only three. Howe will be eager to break this pattern and secure Newcastle’s first league away win of the season.
Head-to-Head
Everton are unbeaten in their last four league meetings with Newcastle, taking eight points from a possible twelve across the past two seasons. Last season, the sides drew 0–0 in this fixture before Everton claimed a 1–0 victory at St James’ Park.
Betting
Everton 9/5
Draw 9/4
Newcastle United 8/5
Verdict
Everton arguably enter this fixture with slightly better form as well as a favourable recent record, making it surprising that they are considered underdogs. Matches between these sides have often been tight, low-scoring affairs, and with both teams keen to maintain winning runs on the domestic front, this one is likely to follow a similar pattern. Backing the hosts to avoid defeat in a low-scoring game offers good value.
Suggested Bet: Everton Double Chance (Win or Draw) & Under 4.5 Goals at 71/100
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR v FULHAM – Click here to bet
Tottenham Hotspur return to domestic action following a disappointing London derby defeat at Arsenal last weekend, where they were beaten 4–1 at the Emirates. Thomas Frank was scathing in his post-match comments, highlighting a poor display that extended Spurs’ winless run to three league games. Things didn’t improve midweek, as they fell 5-3 away to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League, making it back-to-back defeats across all competitions. Tottenham currently sit 9th with 18 points from 12 matches, winning five, drawing three and losing four.
At home, Spurs have struggled to replicate their road form this season. They have collected just five points at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with one win, two draws and three defeats, the second-worst home record in the league. The Lilywhites are winless in their last four league games at home (D2 L2), earning only two points during that span from draws against Wolves and Manchester United.
Fulham make the short trip to North London following a hard-earned 1–0 win over Sunderland last weekend, bouncing back from a disappointing 2–0 defeat at Everton before the international break. Marco Silva’s side sit 15th with 14 points from 12 matches, with four wins, two draws and six defeats.
Away from home, Fulham have struggled even more, claiming just one draw, five defeats and conceding 13 goals in six league trips, the second-worst away record in the division. They’ve scored just four goals on the road, and have lost five consecutive away league matches, putting extra pressure on the Cottagers heading into Saturday night’s clash.
Head-to-Head
Fulham are unbeaten in their last three league meetings against Spurs (W2 D1), taking four points from a possible six last season with a 1–1 draw at Tottenham and a 2–0 home win in the reverse fixture.
Betting
Tottenham Hotspur 23/20
Draw 12/5
Fulham 5/2
Verdict
Both sides come into this with the league’s second-worst home and away records respectively, and it shows in how often their performances seem to level out. Spurs can’t find any rhythm at home, while Fulham struggle to carry any real threat on their travels. With neither side convincing in their current state, this has all the ingredients of a tight, cautious affair that could easily end up deadlocked.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result – Draw at 12/5
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
