We return to Premier League action this weekend, where we’ll break down all seven fixtures scheduled for Saturday, providing a betting suggestion for each match.
Before we get into this weekend’s matches, let’s take a look at the latest outright odds for the Premier League title race. Liverpool have moved ahead of Manchester City as the new favourites, now priced at 13/10 to lift the trophy. The Citizens are second favourites at 2/1, followed by Arsenal at 4/1. Chelsea are listed at 20/1, with the rest of the teams priced at 100/1 or higher.
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LEICESTER CITY v CHELSEA – Click here to bet
Leicester City, will aim to change their fortunes at the King Power Stadium this Saturday as they host Chelsea. Currently 15th in the table with 10 points from 11 league appearances, the Foxes will be looking to recover from a 3-0 away defeat to Manchester United before the international break. At home, the Foxes have managed to secure just the 1 win this campaign, scoring just five goals, taking their overall tally to just 5 from a possible 15 points.
Under the guidance of Enzo Maresca, Chelsea seem to be on an upward trajectory, currently sitting in 3rd place with 19 points this season. The Blues head into week 12 following a 1-1 draw at home against Arsenal. On the road, Chelsea have shown considerable promise, winning three of their five away fixtures and scoring twelve goals, averaging 2.4 goals per game. A victory at the King Power Stadium would further strengthen their bid for a European spot.
The last league meetings between these two sides came in the 2022/23 season, where Chelsea emerged victorious in both encounters, winning 2-1 in the reverse fixture and securing a 3-1 victory in this one.
This encounter has the potential for goals, given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities. Leicester have struggled at the back, conceding two or more goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Similarly, Chelsea have mirrored this trend, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six Premier League outings.
Suggested Bet: Totals And Both Teams to Score, Over 2.5 and Yes at 17/20
ARSENAL v NOTTINGHAM FOREST – Click here to bet
Arsenal, 4th in the standings with 19 points, head back to the Emirates this weekend after a 1-1 draw away to Chelsea. The Gunners have been particularly strong at home, maintaining an unbeaten run in the EPL with three wins and two draws, while conceding six goals. Mikel Arteta’s side have been prolific in the goal scoring department on home soil as well, netting twelve at an average of 2.4 goals per game in their opening five exchanges. Despite Forest’s impressive start to the season, the Gunners will look at this particular fixture as an opportunity to keep pace with the leaders by taking all three points.
Nottingham Forest, currently in 5th place with 19 points, face a daunting trip to North London this Saturday. Despite their rather impressive start to the season with five wins, four draws and two defeats, there does appear to be a few cracks appearing, having succumbed to a 3-1 defeat at home against Newcastle United just before the break. Averaging 1.6 goals per game on the road while conceding 0.8 from five goals overall, Forest remain unbeaten away from home with three wins and two draws, but one does get the sense that they will need to dig deep defensively if they are to stand a realistic chance against Arsenal’s heavy artillery this weekend.
Last season, Arsenal had the upper hand over Forest, winning both encounters 2-1, securing a double with victories at home and away.
Interestingly, Nottingham Forest have opened the scoring in each of their last five league games, and they could pose a threat to Arsenal’s uncharacteristically porous defence, with the Gunners failing to keep a clean sheet in their last three outings. However, Arsenal’s quality and strong home form—six wins from eight matches at the Emirates across all competitions—make them resounding favourites to secure victory. Backing Arsenal to win with both teams finding the net looks the way to go here.
Suggested Bet: Result and both Teams to Score, Arsenal and Yes at 12/5
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EVERTON v BRENTFORD – Click here to bet
Everton, currently in 16th place with 10 points, will be eager to continue their recent revival as they host Brentford at Goodison Park this weekend. Fresh from a 0-0 draw away to West Ham, the Toffees return to familiar territory, where they’ve shown some improvement in recent weeks. However, their struggles in front of goal remain a concern, with an average of just 1 goal per game at home this season. To maintain their recent unbeaten run of three in Liverpool, Everton will need to capitalize on Brentford’s poor away form.
Brentford, sitting comfortably in 11th place with 16 points, come into the game buoyed by a thrilling 3-2 victory over Bournemouth. The Bees have showcased remarkable resilience this season but have struggled to replicate their form on the road, suffering five consecutive league defeats away from home and scoring just four goals in those matches. With the international break providing time to reset, Brentford will hope to break their away-day hoodoo and secure their first positive result on their travels at Goodison Park this weekend.
Last season, Everton did the double over Brentford, winning 3-1 in the reverse fixture and following it up with a 1-0 victory at Goodison Park.
With Everton eager to turn their season around and Brentford still searching for their first positive result on the road, this weekend presents an opportunity for that to change. Everton’s inconsistency suggests they are far from a sure bet, potentially providing the visitors with the platform needed to secure their first away point of the campaign.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Draw at 12/5
BOURNEMOUTH v BRIGHTON – Click here to bet
Bournemouth, sitting in 12th place with 15 points, host Brighton at the Vitality Stadium as they aim to bounce back from a narrow 3-2 defeat away to Brentford in their last match. The Cherries have performed admirably at home, securing three wins and scoring eight goals in five games (1.6 goals per match). With a solid home record to build on, they will look to take advantage of this weekend’s opportunity, although they face a tricky encounter against Brighton’s potent attack.
Brighton, currently in 6th place with 19 points, arrive in Bournemouth fresh off an impressive 2-1 victory over reigning champions Manchester City. While the Seagulls have been dominant at the Amex this season, they have managed a far less impressive record on the road, securing 7 points from a possible 15, scoring 8 goals in five matches (1.6 per game). After suffering a 3-0 defeat to the Cherries at the Vitality Stadium last season, Brighton will be determined to reverse that result and maintain their position in the top half of the table with a positive outcome this weekend.
Last season, Brighton won 3-1 in the reverse fixture, while Bournemouth responded with a 3-0 victory in this encounter at the Vitality Stadium.
Despite Bournemouth’s 3-0 victory over Brighton in this fixture last season, the Seagulls have enjoyed decent success in recent meetings, winning three of the last four encounters. With Brighton currently sitting 6th in the league and pushing for European qualification, I fancy the visitors to continue where they left off before the break.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Brighton at 39/20
FULHAM v WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS – Click here to bet
Fulham, currently in 7th place with 18 points, enter this match following a solid 2-0 win away to Crystal Palace before the international break. At Craven Cottage, they have been excellent, winning three of their five home matches and securing 10 points from a possible 15. They have registered an average of 1.8 goals per game at home, scoring a total of 9 goals in those five matches. Their overall attack has been equally impressive this campaign, registering 16 goals in 11 EPL matches overall. This fixture presents Marco Silva’s side with a great opportunity to build on their strong attacking form and secure valuable points against a struggling Wolves side, with hopes of improving further in the standings.
Wolverhampton Wanderers, currently sitting in 19th place with 6 points, are showing signs of improvement after securing their first league win of the season just before the international break, a 2-0 victory over Southampton. Unbeaten in their last three matches, they will be hoping to build on this momentum. Despite this positive shift, their defensive struggles remain a concern, having conceded a staggering 27 goals to date—the most in the league. Wolves will need to continue their recent resilience while addressing their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly knowing that last season they conceded 3 goals at Craven Cottage, eventually losing 3-2 that day. This result serves as a worrying sign for Gary O’Neil’s side, as they look to avoid a similar fate in this weekend’s fixture.
Last season, Fulham won 3-2 in this fixture, while Wolves responded with a 2-1 victory in the reverse encounter at Molineux.
With both teams often involved in high-scoring encounters this season, this match seems likely to continue that trend. While I favour the Cottagers to claim the victory, the 4/6 odds for a straightforward home win lack appeal. Instead, backing Fulham to win with at least two goals in the match offers much more enticing value.
Suggested Bet: Result and Totals, Fulham and over 1.5 at 10/11
ASTON VILLA v CRYSTAL PALACE – Click here to bet
Aston Villa, currently in 9th place with 18 points, are enduring a challenging spell of form. Struggling to juggle domestic duties with Champions League commitments, the Villains have lost four consecutive matches across all competitions, including a 2-1 defeat to Saturday’s opponents, Crystal Palace, in the League Cup. Their most recent outing saw a 2-0 defeat away to Liverpool, and with just one win from their last six league matches, Villa will be desperate to turn things around in Week 12. They’ll be hoping to improve their league standing and form ahead of a crucial UEFA Champions League clash with Juventus on Wednesday.
On the other hand, Crystal Palace, currently in 18th place with just 7 points, have faced significant struggles this season, securing only one win from 11 league matches. Their primary issue has been their attacking form, with just eight goals scored—only the second-lowest in the league. Away from home, they’ve been especially disappointing, finding the back of the net five times with just two points to show for their efforts in five matches. Their most recent outing resulted in a 2-0 defeat at home to Fulham, just before the international break, adding to their woes. However, with a 2-1 win over Aston Villa in the League Cup still fresh in their minds, Palace will be looking to build on that success and secure crucial points to escape the relegation zone.
Last season, Aston Villa won 3-1 in this fixture, while Crystal Palace secured a convincing 5-0 victory in the reverse encounter at Selhurst Park.
With both teams struggling for form at the moment, a more cautious approach seems likely in this weekend’s clash. Aston Villa will be keen to steady the ship ahead of Juventus’ visit, and while I slightly favour them to claim all three points, my preference is for the hosts to avoid defeat in a match featuring three goals or fewer.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Total, Aston Villa/Draw and under 3.5 at 15/20
MANCHESTER CITY V TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR – Click here to bet
Sitting 2nd in the Premier League with 23 points, Manchester City will be eager to recover from back-to-back 2-1 league defeats, both away to Bournemouth and Brighton. These results have marked an unprecedented four-game losing streak in Pep Guardiola’s managerial career. Despite this dip in form, City remain formidable at the Etihad, where they are unbeaten in the league this season with four wins and a draw from five matches, scoring 12 goals in the process. This weekend, the Citizens host Tottenham Hotspur in what promises to be a high-stakes encounter. Last season’s exhilarating 3-3 draw at the Etihad suggests another thrilling clash could be on the cards, with both teams looking to regain their winning momentum.
Tottenham Hotspur will head into this weekend’s clash at the Etihad in 10th place, sitting mid-table with 16 points. Spurs are coming off a disappointing 2-1 home defeat to newly promoted Ipswich before the international break, extending their struggles to two consecutive losses, including a 3-2 away defeat to Galatasaray in Europe. Despite their recent form, Spurs can take heart from their 2-1 League Cup triumph over City earlier this season and a respectable record at the Etihad, where they have secured four points from their last three league visits. While their seven goals scored and conceded on the road this season may seem modest, the 17 goals witnessed in their previous three Etihad encounters suggest another goal-filled spectacle could be on the horizon.
Last season, this fixture ended in an entertaining 3-3 draw, followed by a 2-0 victory for Manchester City in the reverse encounter in London.
While Spurs have enjoyed some success against City in recent years, their record at the Etihad paints a different picture. I fancy the hosts to come out on top in this one, but with this fixture often delivering plenty of goals, I’m backing City to win with both teams getting on the score sheet.
Suggested Bet: Result and Both teams to Score, Manchester City and Yes at 29/20
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
