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Home Sports Soccer EPL (English Premier League)

English Premier League Betting Preview, Saturday 18 January

Brent by Brent
January 17, 2025
in EPL (English Premier League)
0
NEWCASTLE PREMIER LEAGUE

Manager of Newcastle United, Eddie Howe waves to the Newcastle United fans at full time - Manchester United v Newcastle United, Carabao Cup Final, Wembley Stadium, London, UK - 26th February 2023

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This weekend, we turn our attention to all five Premier League matchups taking place on Saturday, offering comprehensive insights and betting suggestions for each game.

Before we dive in, let’s review the current outright market odds for the Premier League title race. As of now, Liverpool are the bookies’ favourites to claim the league at 7/20, with Arsenal close behind at 3/1. Manchester City remain third at 25/1, while Nottingham Forest’s remarkable run is reflected in their price of 33/1. The rest of the field are priced at 50/1 or greater.

Click here for English Premier League Outright Betting

 

NEWCASTLE UNITED v BOURNEMOUTH – Click here to bet

Newcastle United will head into this fixture fresh off an emphatic 3-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers on Wednesday. Alexander Isak stole the show with a brace, cementing the Magpies’ position in the top four. Newcastle are currently 4th in the league with 38 points from 21 matches (W11, D5, L5), and Eddie Howe’s side will be eager to maintain their Champions League aspirations with another strong showing at St. James’ Park this coming weekend.

Newcastle have been a strong force at St. James’ Park, securing 20 points from a possible 30. The Magpies have been reliable in front of goal, netting 1.8 goals per game while maintaining a solid defence by conceding only 0.8 goals per match. Half of their home games this season (5 out of 10) have delivered Over 2.5 goals, showcasing their attacking intent.

Bournemouth, meanwhile, experienced heartbreak at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday, where they were denied three points by a late Chelsea equalizer deep into stoppage time. The 2-2 draw placed the Cherries 8th in the standings with 34 points from 21 matches (W9, D7, L5). Andoni Iraola’s team has shown resilience this season and will aim to close the gap on the top four.

Bournemouth’s away record has been noteworthy, picking up 16 points from 11 games (W4, D4, L3). Their aggressive approach on the road has seen them score 1.8 goals per game, although they concede at a rate of 1.63 per outing. Excitement follows the Cherries on their travels, with Over 2.5 goals seen in a remarkable 73% of their away matches (8 out of 11).

Earlier this season, both teams shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture. Similarly, last season saw an entertaining 2-2 draw at St James’ Park.

Given both teams’ attacking strengths and tendency for high-scoring games, I quite like the look of goals here. Both sides have a history of high-scoring encounters and have been involved in games with plenty of goalmouth action, especially Bournemouth on the road.

Suggested Bet: Totals and Both Teams to Score, Over 2.5 and Yes at 17/20

 

BRENTFORD v LIVERPOOL – Click here to bet

Brentford earned a crucial point in a thrilling 2-2 draw against Manchester City on Wednesday, demonstrating their ability to compete against the league’s top sides. The Bees sit 11th in the table with 28 points from 21 matches (W8, D4, L9). Thomas Frank’s side has been formidable at home, and they’ll look to make life difficult for the league leaders.

The Bees have been buzzing at home, amassing 23 points from 11 games—the third-best home tally in the league. Brentford have thrilled their fans with 29 goals at a staggering average of 2.63 per game, though they’ve also conceded 1.91 per match. Their matches rarely disappoint, with Over 2.5 goals landing in 82% of fixtures at home (9 out of 11).

Liverpool remain at the summit of the Premier League with 47 points from 20 matches (W14, D5, L1), but their recent 1-1 draw away to Nottingham Forest has raised some concerns. Diogo Jota’s equalizer salvaged a point for the Reds after falling behind early, but Arne Slot will demand a sharper performance to maintain their title charge.

Liverpool have been road warriors this season, earning 24 points from 10 away games (W7, D3), remaining undefeated on their travels. The Reds have been prolific on their travels, scoring an impressive 2.8 goals per game while conceding just 1.2. High-scoring affairs are common, with 70% of their away fixtures (7 out of 10) featuring Over 2.5 goals.

Liverpool have won their last four consecutive games against Brentford, including a 3-1 victory earlier this season and a comprehensive 4-1 win at the Community Stadium last season.

Liverpool’s strong away form and recent head-to-head dominance make them the favourites for this match. Brentford’s impressive attacking play at home could make for a high-scoring game. However, Liverpool’s quality should see them secure a positive result with both teams featuring in the goal scoring department after 90 minutes.

Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Both Teams to Score, Draw/Liverpool and Yes at 15/20

 

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LEICESTER CITY v FULHAM – Click here to bet

Leicester City’s woes continue after a sixth consecutive league defeat, falling 2-0 at home to Crystal Palace on Wednesday. The Foxes now find themselves entrenched in the relegation zone, sitting 19th with just 14 points from 21 matches (W3, D5, L13). Ruud Van Nistelrooy’s side is in desperate need of a turnaround, but confidence appears to be at an all-time low.

The Foxes have struggled at home this season, managing only 9 points at the King Power Stadium (W2, D3, L6). Offensively, they average just 1 goal per game, with 11 goals scored so far, while conceding 1.22 goals per game. Over 2.5 goals have featured in 55% of their home games (6 out of 11), offering sporadic entertainment.

Fulham will travel to the King Power Stadium after a narrow 3-2 defeat away to West Ham, ending their impressive five-game unbeaten run on the road. The Cottagers are 10th in the table with 30 points from 21 matches (W7, D9, L5) and will view this match as an opportunity to return to winning ways against struggling opposition.

Marco Silva’s side have been decent on the road, collecting 13 points in 10 matches. The Cottagers have scored 14 goals overall (1.4 per game) and conceded 13 (1.3 per game). While 60% of their away games (6 out of 10) have delivered Under 2.5 goals, both teams have scored in 70% of their matches away from home.

Fulham secured a 2-1 victory earlier this season at Craven Cottage, while their most recent encounter at the King Power Stadium ended in a 1-0 win for Fulham back in 2023.

Leicester’s ongoing struggles and poor home form put them at a disadvantage against a Fulham side eager to bounce back. Fulham has been solid on the road and should have enough quality to overcome the Foxes. Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities make this a tough outing for them.

Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Fulham at 10/11

 

WEST HAM v CRYSTAL PALACE – Click here to bet

West Ham earned a vital 3-2 victory over Fulham on Tuesday, lifting them to 13th in the standings with 26 points from 21 matches (W7, D5, L9). Despite their inconsistencies, the Hammers have shown flashes of quality, and Graham Potter will hope to build on their recent win in this London derby.

The Hammers have had mixed fortunes at the London Stadium, picking up 14 points from 11 games (W4, D2, L5). Despite scoring 11 goals at 1.45 per game, their defensive woes are evident, conceding 24 at 2.18 per match. Over 2.5 goals have been a near-certainty in their home fixtures, landing in 82% of games (9 out of 11).

Crystal Palace continued their upward trajectory with a commanding 2-0 win away to Leicester City on Wednesday. The Eagles are now unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (W3, D2), climbing to 15th with 24 points from 21 matches (W5, D9, L7). Oliver Glasner’s side is finally finding some much-needed form and will be quietly confident heading into this encounter.

Crystal Palace have been more consistent on their travels, earning 13 points from 10 away games (W3, D4, L3). The Eagles scored 1.3 goals per game on the road while conceding 1.1. Over 2.5 goals have been seen in half of their away matches (5 out of 10), with balanced performances overall.

West Ham recorded a 2-0 victory earlier this season at Selhurst Park and will look to complete the double over the Eagles on Saturday. Last season, both teams shared the points at the London Stadium after a 1-1 draw.

West Ham have been inconsistent at home, while Crystal Palace are in better form, especially away from home. Both teams tend to feature in high-scoring games, making this a potentially open contest. Despite West Ham’s advantage in the reverse fixture, Palace’s confidence could see them earn at least a point.

Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Total, Draw/Crystal Palace and Over 1.5 at 17/20

 

ARSENAL v ASTON VILLA – Click here to bet

Arsenal will go into this clash on the back of a thrilling 2-1 comeback victory against Tottenham in a midweek London derby. Mikel Arteta’s men, 2nd in the league with 43 points from 21 matches (W12, D7, L2), have shown resilience in a congested January schedule that includes nine fixtures. The Gunners must balance their rotation to avoid fatigue and keep the pressure on Liverpool at the top.

Arsenal have dominated at the Emirates, boasting the best home record in the league with 24 points from 10 games (W7, D3). The Gunners average 2 goals per game and are defensively sound, allowing just 0.7 per match. Over 2.5 goals have occurred in 50% of their home matches (5 out of 10), offering a blend of efficiency and excitement.

Aston Villa ended their five-game losing streak on the road with a hard-fought 1-0 win at Everton on Wednesday. Ollie Watkins’ goal secured a much-needed three points for Unai Emery’s side, who now sit 7th in the standings with 35 points from 21 matches (W10, D5, L6). The Villains will look to build on this result but face a stern test at the Emirates.

Aston Villa have struggled for consistency on the road, picking up 13 points from 10 away matches (W4, D1, L5). The Villains average 1.2 goals per game but have been leaky at the back, conceding 1.9 per match. Thrilling encounters have been a theme, with Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 80% of their away fixtures (8 out of 10).

Arsenal secured a 2-0 victory in the reverse encounter earlier this season at Villa Park, but they will be well aware that Aston Villa can spring a surprise, having defeated the Gunners 2-0 at the Emirates in this fixture last season.

Arsenal’s strong home form and defensive solidity make them worthy favourites, despite Aston Villa’s potential for an upset. Villa’s inconsistent away form and vulnerability at the back could be exposed by the Gunners’ attacking power. Arsenal will likely have enough to secure the three points.

Suggested Bet: Result and Totals, Arsenal and Over 2.5 at 5/4

 

Click here for all the weekend’s English Football action

 

Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change

Tags: ArsenalAston VillaBetting PreviewBournemouthBrentfordCrystal PalaceEnglish Premier LeagueEPLFulhamLeicester CityLiverpoolNewcastle UnitedSaturday 18 JanuaryWeekendWest Ham
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