Week 25 of the EPL is upon us and by the looks of it, we could be in for quite an entertaining weekend.
Not much has changed in terms of outright pricing. Man City remain firm favourites at 4/7, whilst 2nd favourite Liverpool are currently priced 5/2. After Arsenal’s dominant performance against West Ham, it comes as no surprise that their price has dropped from 13/2 into 5/1. The remaining teams can be snapped up at 50/1 or better.
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BRENTFORD V LIVERPOOL – Click here to bet
It was a clinical performance from the Bees that set up a relatively comfortable 2-0 away win to Wolves last weekend. Currently sitting 14th on the log, it would have been a welcoming three points that ultimately keep them above ground in terms of the dreaded relegation battle. Since returning from suspension, Ivan Toney has been in scintillating form, having found the back of the net yet again last week. This takes his tally up to three in his last four appearances. Brentford will be desperate for that trend to continue given their form had been spiralling prior to the Wolves game.
BRENTFORD RECENT LEAGUE FORM: W.L.L.W.L (W-Won, L-lost, D-Drawn)
Liverpool returned to form last weekend with a fine 3-1 win against Burnley at Anfield. That result means they find themselves once again 1st on the log. Anything but maximum points on the day would have spelled disaster given how competitive things have become at the top. Despite imploding the week prior, Liverpool have been on a cracking run of form. Having won four from their last five Premier League outings, it places the Reds in good stead. Certain players also stepped up to the plate during crucial periods when key players found themselves on the sidelines. Having scored three from four appearances, Diogo Jota has simply not missed a beat. There is concern that playmaker Trent Alexander-Arnold will miss this clash due to a knee injury, which would be a big blow.
LIVERPOOL RECENT LEAGUE FORM: W.L.W.W.W (W-Won, L-Lost, D-Drawn)
HEAD TO HEAD AWAY TO BRENTFORD
Brentford 3-1 Liverpool (02.01.23)
Brentford 3-3 Liverpool (25.09.21)
Brentford have been a bit of a bogey side over the years when facing the Reds on their own patch. Jurgen Klopp and his men will have to be clinical if they are to sustain top spot knowing City and Arsenal are breathing down their necks. Crucially Brentford have not won back-to-back in recent appearances. Unfortunately for them, a win is usually met with a loss the following week.
Liverpool are 6/10 favourites going into this fixture, which looks just about right. Brentford have lacked consistency this season and that is why the Reds appeal. Statistically, when Liverpool win, goals seem to follow given that 2 goals or more have arrived in Liverpool’s last 7 Premier League appearances. A chance is taken by slightly bumping the odds with a Liverpool win.
Suggested Bet: Result and totals, Liverpool and over 1.5 at 15/20
BURNLEY v ARSENAL– Click here to bet
Burnley, 19th on the log seem to be in total freefall at the moment. Having registered 13 points thus far, it is safe to say their campaign has simply never taken off. It will take a miracle for them to claw themselves out of the relegation zone and based on last week’s performance, that trend is unlikely to change anytime soon. Vincent Kompany cut a very frustrating figure as he watched his side go 3-1 down to the Reds. Despite drawing at half-time, the Clarets were simply overpowered after the break. That loss means that in total, they have taken just two points from their last five Premier League appearances.
BURNLEY RECENT LEAGUE FORM: L.D.L.D.L (W-Won, L-Lost, D-Drawn)
After yet another dominant display by Arsenal, It was a case of six of the best last week! West Ham were simply outplayed, outclassed and outsmarted in every department. Having gone 4-0 up at the break, there was simply no coming back for the Hammers. The Gunners seemed determined to make a point and continued to pile on the misery by adding two additional goals to the score line. Saka in particular has been in inspiring form, his brace last week means he has now scored four from his last three Premier League appearances. Arsenal, currently 3rd on the table, will be desperate to make amends after what transpired last season. Recent form suggests they are heading in the right direction.
ARSENAL RECENT LEAGUE FORM: W.W.W.W.L (W-Won, L-Lost, Dawn-Drawn)
HEAD TO HEAD AWAY TO BURNLEY
Burnley 0-1 Arsenal (18.09.21)
Burnley 1-1 Arsenal (06.03.21)
I simply cannot make a case for Burnley going into this fixture. Their run of form has been terrible and unfortunately for them, they meet a side that is red hot at the minute. Having beaten the Clarets 3-1 already this season, a form turn-around seems unlikely for the hosts. Burnely have lost 9 from 12 at home and Arsenal should be in a position to pile on the pain, quite possibly with a clean sheet for the second week running for the Gunners too.
Suggested Bet: Which team to score: Arsenal only at 21/20
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TOTTENHAM v WOLVES– Click here to bet
That late dramatic winner from Brennan Johnson at home to Brighton last weekend meant that Spurs stretched their winning streak at home to seven wins from eight in the Premier League. It was yet another dogged performance from Tottenham. Having trailed 1-0 to an early penalty, Spurs had to wait until just after the hour mark to find an equaliser from Pape Sarr. The hosts continued to create chances which eventually paid dividends. The 96th minute winner meant that Spurs who are currently 4th on the log continue to make in-roads. Having lost 2-1 to Wolves already this season, they will be hoping to return the favour and continue to stretch their winning home run to 6 in the EPL.
TOTTENHAM RECENT LEAGUE FORM: W.D.W.D.W (W-Won, L-Lost, D-Drawn)
Last week’s performance was one of those rare occasions where nothing seemed to click for Wolves. Despite showing dominance in most departments, it was Brentford that walked away with maximum points from Molineux Stadium. That 2-0 scoreline came as quite a surprise given the competitive nature we have become accustomed to seeing from the hosts. There will be concern going into this encounter knowing that they don’t have a particularly good record when travelling to London. Having lost five times from seven visits, it certainly does not bode well for the ‘out-of-towners’. Recent form has shown nothing spectacular, that being said, it’s not horrible either. Having obtained seven points from a possible fifteen in their last five Premier League appearances, Gary O’Neil will be hoping for more from his side.
WOLVES RECENT LEAGUE FORM: L.W.L.D.W (W-Won, L-Lost, D-Drawn)
HEAD TO HEAD AWAY TO TOTTENHAM
Tottenham 1-0 Wolves (20.08.22)
Tottenham 0-2 Wolves (13.02.22)
Tottenham do have this tendency of making things difficult for themselves at times. The difference this season is that they have shown more grit and determination when given lifelines in a game as there were times in the past where they would have folded like a pack of cards. Ever since Harry Kane left, they look a different outfit, ironically for the better. Last weekend’s performance from Wolves was unusual given they lacked bite. We very rarely see that from them two weeks in a row.
I’m going to go with a market that was profitable last weekend involving Spurs. In their last five league appearances at home, the opposition have found the net at least once and given how good Spurs have been at home lately, I’d be a fool not to back them outright too
Suggested Bet: Result and both teams to score, Tottenham Hotspur and Yes at 17/10
MAN CITY v CHELSEA– Click here to bet
The reigning champions currently sit 2nd on the log but more importantly, they have the comfort of a game in hand over log leaders, Liverpool. Having disposed of FC Copenhagen mid-week in the Champions League, Man City enter this game in superb form. They look a completely different outfit now that playmaker Kevin De Bruyne has returned to the fold. His recent stats show just how vital he is for City. Upon his return, he has assisted in all four of his Premier League appearances.
On the domestic front, Everton put up a valiant performance last week but succumbed to the pressures that’s usually associated with having to keep City at bay, eventually losing 2-0. City’s recent record has been flawless and they are currently on an eleven match winning running streak in all competitions.
MAN CITY RECENT LEAGUE FORM: W.W.W.W.W (W-won, L-Lost, D-Drawn)
Chelsea will have to improve remarkably if they are to compete for European placings. Currently occupying 10th spot, for a Club of this magnitude and pedigree, it is simply not good enough. There was genuine excitement amongst many, when Pochettino took over as head coach. Unfortunately, those emotions have dwindled ever so slightly, given the struggles shown in terms of getting the best out of his squad.
They are coming off an impressive 3-1 away win to London rivals, Palace butit has been their follow up performances that fail to impress. Facing a side that has scored twenty-nine goals in eleven appearances at home will be sending shivers down many a spine. The Blues will have to show a bit more backbone if they are to come away with anything in this game. If the reverse fixture is anything to go by, we should be in for quite an entertaining clash. Having finished 4-4 at Stamford Bridge, I’m hoping we see a more attack minded approach from the visitors.
CHELSEA RECENT LEAGUE FORM: W.L.L.W.W (W-Won, L-Lost, D-Drawn)
HEAD TO HEAD AWAY TO MAN CITY
Man City 1-0 Chelsea (21.05.23)
Man City 1-0 Chelsea (15.01.22)
Despite previous encounters showing precious few goals between these two at the Etihad, it is difficult to ignore the blockbuster score line when these two last paired up at Stamford Bridge. As mentioned, I’m hoping Pochettino opts for a more positive approach which could lead to yet another explosive encounter between the pair. The Blues certainly have the players to hurt City, so let’s hope they don’t sit back in the hopes of catching City on the counter, given many have tried and ultimately failed.
Unsurprisingly City are 4/11 favourites, leaving precious little in terms of value. A chance is taken hoping the Blues can contribute in the goal scoring department.
Suggested Bet: Totals and Both teams to score, Over 2.5 and Yes at 19/20
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
