This Monday, we shift our focus to the Amex Stadium as Brighton & Hove Albion welcome newly crowned Premier League champions Liverpool in their final home game of the season.
With Brighton’s hopes of European qualification hanging by a thread and Liverpool easing towards the summer with the title already secured, both sides arrive with very different motivations — but the potential for goals and drama remains high. In this preview, we’ll unpack the key talking points, recent form, and a betting angle worth considering.
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BRIGHTON v LIVERPOOL – Click here to bet
Brighton come into this fixture on the back of a morale-boosting 2-0 victory away to Wolves last weekend — a result that kept their slim hopes of European qualification mathematically alive. The Seagulls now sit 9th in the table with 55 points, separated only by goal difference from 8th-placed Brentford, and a positive result this evening would see the Seagulls overtake the Bees. Realistically, they’ll need a perfect finish and favours elsewhere to clinch a continental spot, especially with Crystal Palace’s FA Cup triumph tightening the pathway.
Despite the uphill task, manager Fabian Hürzeler will take encouragement from his team’s recent turnaround in form. Brighton are unbeaten in their last three Premier League outings, collecting seven points from a possible nine after enduring a bleak six-game winless spell across all competitions prior (D2, L4).
Brighton also currently top the charts for matches involving three goals or more in the Premier League — 25 of their 36 games so far have seen over 2.5 goals.
The Amex has been a reliable venue for the Seagulls this season. They’ve recorded seven wins, eight draws and just three defeats on home soil in the EPL, claiming 29 points from a possible 54. Additionally, they’ve held their own against Liverpool here in recent years, losing just once in their last four league meetings at the Amex (W1, D2, L1).
Liverpool, meanwhile, travel south with the trophy already secured and little left to achieve beyond individual milestones and a professional finish to what has been a dominant campaign. Arne Slot admitted motivation has been difficult to maintain since securing the title, as evidenced in their 2-2 draw with Arsenal at Anfield last weekend. That result also confirmed that the Reds can no longer reach the 90-point mark this season.
Away from home, Liverpool remain a formidable force. They’ve racked up 38 points on the road — more than any other Premier League side — with a record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 defeats. However, one of those recent defeats came in a 3-1 loss to Chelsea, suggesting the Reds may be slightly vulnerable with intensity levels dropping.
Like Brighton, Liverpool have also been involved in a number of high-scoring matches this season. A total of 23 of their 36 league games have seen over 2.5 goals, including 11 of 18 away from home.
Head-to-Head
Liverpool edged the reverse fixture at Anfield earlier this season 2-1. However, their visits to the Amex have been less fruitful. In their last four league trips to Brighton, the Reds have picked up just one win (W1, D2, L1), with last season’s encounter finishing 2-2.
Betting
Brighton – 13/8
Draw – 29/10
Liverpool – 15/10
Verdict
With the pressure off both sides and goals historically flowing in this fixture, Monday night could be another open affair. Brighton have performed well at home and Liverpool have little left to prove, so there’s value in backing goals — especially given both teams’ track records this season.
Suggested Bet: Totals and Both Teams to Score – Over 2.5 and Yes at 13/20
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
