We take a look at the 4 Round of 16 matches taking place in AFCON on Saturday and Sunday and suggest a bet in each game.
Let’s start with a look at the latest Outright Betting where Morocco, pre-tournament picks, are currently trading as 11/4 favourites, Senegal are 7/2, you can get 13/2 Nigeria, 9/1 Ivory Coast and 14/1 and better the balance. South Africa are trading at 45/1
Click here for the latest Outright Markets
SATURDAY
Angola v Namibia – Click here to bet
Angola finished top of Group D on 7 points from a possible 9. They drew 1-1 with Algeria in their opening game before beating Mauritania 3-2 and Burkina Faso 2-0.
Namibia finished 3rd in Group E behind South Africa and Mali and that was enough to advance them to the knock-out stage. They won their opening game 1-0 against Tunisia before a 4-0 loss to South Africa in the 2nd round and a goalless draw against Mali which was enough to see them through.
There is no recent history between these sides.
Angola are 12/10 to beat Namibia inside the 90 minutes and I think that is a cracking price given that Namibia lost 4-0 to South Africa.
Suggested Bet: Angola win at 12/10
Nigeria v Cameroon – Click here to bet
Nigeria finished 2nd in their group behind Equatorial Guinea on goal difference. They opened their campaign with a 1-1 draw with Equatorial Guinea before narrow 1-0 victories against Ivory Coast and Guinea-Bissau. All 3 of Nigeria’s games delivered profits for under 2.5 goal backers.
Cameroon finished 2nd in Group C behind Senegal and ahead of Guinea on goal difference. They drew to Guinea 1-1 in their opening match before a 3-1 loss to Senegal set them back. However, a 3-2 victory over Gambia in their final match was enough for them to qualify.
These sides last met in a Tournament in 2019 African Cup of Nations where Nigeria won 3-2.
Nigeria are the 12/10 favourites with the draw 22/10, but for me the value here lies in Cameroon at 11/4 as I have not been that impressed with Nigeria to this point.
Suggested Bet: Cameroon win at 11/4
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SUNDAY
Equatorial Guinea v Guinea – Click here to bet
Equatorial Guinea topped Group A ahead of Nigeria and the Ivory Coast. They opened their campaign with a 1-1 draw against Nigeria before beating Guinea-Bissau 4-2 and they won their final match 4-0 against the Ivory Coast with 3 of those goals coming between the 75th and 90th minutes.
Guinea were one of the first place qualifiers behind Cameroon and Senegal in Group C. They drew 1-1 with Cameroon in their opening game before beating Gambia 1-0 thanks to a 69th minute strike by Camara. Their final game was a 2-0 loss to Senegal.
Based on what I have seen of this Tournament so far, I am surprised that Equatorial Guinea are virtually 3/1 underdogs and I am going to be backing them to get the win.
Suggested Bet: Equatorial Guinea win at 28/10
Egypt v DR Congo – Click here to bet
Egypt were runners-up to Cape Verde in Group B after drawing all 3 of their games. They opened with a 2-2 draw against Mozambique where they required an injury time penalty to equalise and they then played out another 2-2 draw with Ghana. Amazingly their final game against Cape Verde also finished 2-2 and included Injury time goals for both teams with Cape Verde equalising in the 99th minute.
DR Congo finished runner-up in Group F to Morocco and they also drew all 3 of their matches, 1-1 to Zambia, 1-1 to Morocco and 0-0 against Tanzania.
Egypt beat the DR Congo 2-0 in the 2019 African Cup of Nations.
The draw is certainly tempting here at 2/1 given that both teams have drawn all of their matches in this Tournament, but I think the fact that DR Congo struggle to get goals is going to allow Egypt in for the win.
Suggested Bet: Egypt win at 29/20
Click here for betting on all of the AFCON fixtures
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
