This weekend’s Super Rugby action continues on Saturday, 12 April, with three fixtures on the card. We’ll cover all of them from a betting perspective, giving insights and key stats.
Let’s take a quick look at the Outright Betting market before diving into the matches. The Chiefs remain favourites at 2.35, followed by the Crusaders at 4.00, and the Blues close behind at 5.50. All other teams are priced at 8.00 or higher.
[Click here for Outright Betting]
BLUES vs MOANA PASIFIKA – [Click here to bet]
The Blues are starting to show some form after a shaky start. They’ve won 2 and lost 5, which places them 10th on the log.
Last week, they played the Hurricanes in a nail-biting clash, edging a 1-point victory at home.
Moana Pasifika have had an up-and-down campaign. With 3 wins and 4 losses, they sit 8th, level on points with the Hurricanes.
In Round 8, they were impressive at home, beating the Waratahs 45-28.
Head-to-Head
The Blues have never lost to Moana Pasifika, winning all 4 matches since 2022. Their most recent meeting in 2024 ended in a 47-8 away win for the Blues.
Betting and Verdict
Handicap: Blues [-13]
The Blues are priced at 1.22, Moana Pasifika at 5.00, and the draw at 36.00.
I fancy the Blues for a fast start.
BET: Blues -5.5 1st half handicap at 1.95
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HIGHLANDERS vs FIJIAN DRUA – [Click here to bet]
It’s been a tough start to the season for the Highlanders, who have managed just 2 wins from 7 and sit 9th on the table.
They lost 29-20 to Western Force last weekend in a hard-fought away game.
Fijian Drua have struggled even more. With just 1 win and 6 losses, they are 11th on the log with only 7 points.
They hosted the Crusaders last week but couldn’t match the pace, eventually losing 31-14.
Head-to-Head
These two have met 3 times, and the Highlanders have won all three. Their last meeting was in May 2024, with the Highlanders cruising to a 39-3 home win.
Betting and Verdict
Handicap: Highlanders [-8.5]
The Highlanders are priced at 1.33, Fijian Drua at 3.70, and the draw at 31.00.
The Highlanders should be too strong and I like them to score 34 points or more.
BET: Highlanders over 33.5 points at 1.80
REDS vs BRUMBIES – [Click here to bet]
The Reds continue a solid season, sitting 3rd after 5 wins and 2 losses. They’re just 1 point behind the Crusaders.
Last week, they went up against the Chiefs and lost 27-15 away, despite a decent showing.
The Brumbies have seen a dip in form but are still 5th overall with 4 wins and 3 losses.
They had a bye in Round 8, and before that, they beat the Highlanders 34-27 in a closely contested home fixture.
Head-to-Head
Despite the Reds’ strong form this season, the Brumbies have dominated recent meetings, winning 4 of the last 5. Their last match was in March 2024, with the Brumbies edging a 20-19 win on the road.
Betting and Verdict
Handicap: Reds [-3.5]
Reds are favourites at 1.66, Brumbies at 2.50, and the draw at 29.00.
I like the Reds to win but a stronger fancy is under 57.5 points with conditions often sticky in Brisbane at this time of the year.
BET: Under 57.5 points at 9/10
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
