The 2025 Super Rugby Pacific Final is set for Saturday, 21 June at Apollo Projects Stadium in Christchurch. Two well-deserving sides — the Crusaders and the Chiefs — will battle it out for the ultimate prize, and we’ll take a look at the matchup from a betting perspective.
CRUSADERS vs CHIEFS – click here to bet
The Crusaders enjoyed a strong group-stage campaign, winning 11 of their 14 matches and picking up 5 bonus points to finish second on the overall standings. In the qualifying finals, they brushed aside the Reds with a convincing 32–12 victory at home. They followed that up with a disciplined semi-final performance, holding off a spirited Blues side to win 21–14 in front of their home crowd.
The Chiefs were equally impressive during the regular season, matching the Crusaders with 11 wins and 3 losses but finishing 2 points ahead thanks to 7 bonus points and a commanding +231 points difference. Their playoff run began with a dramatic 20–19 defeat to the Blues, who scored a late converted try to snatch the win in Hamilton. Despite the loss, the Chiefs advanced as the highest-ranked losing team. They made the most of that second chance, overpowering the Brumbies 37–17 in a dominant semi-final performance but due to their qualifying finals loss to the Blues they will have to travel to Christchurch rather than meet their opponents in Hamilton.
Head-to-Head:
The Chiefs have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 3 of the last 5 clashes between the sides. That includes both of their encounters in 2025: a 49–24 home win in February and a 35–19 away win in May — giving them a much needed edge heading into the final against an opponent that has a 31-0 home playoff record in Super Rugby.
BETTING AND VERDICT:
Below a few of the markets on offer
Full Time Result
This market is for who will win the match at the end of regular time (including any injury time, but excluding extra time if played).
- Chiefs to win – 1.95
- Crusaders to win – 2.10
- Draw – 26.00
Handicap
In this market, one team is given a points head start (or deficit) to even the odds. You’re betting on whether a team can win with the handicap applied.
- Crusaders (+0.5) – 1.90
- Chiefs (-0.5) – 1.91
Total Match Points – Over/Under 46.5
Betting on the combined total score by both teams. If you think the match will be high scoring, go over; if you expect a tighter contest, go under.
- Over 48.5 – 1.90
- Under 48.5 – 1.91
First Team to Score
Predict which team will get on the scoreboard first, whether it’s via a try, penalty, or drop goal.
- Chiefs – 1.80
- Crusaders – 1.90
First Tryscorer
Back the player you think will score the first try of the match. This is a high-risk, high-reward market.
- Sevu Reece (Crusaders) – 11.00
- Emoni Narawa (Chiefs) – 12.00
- Leroy Carter (Chiefs) – 13.00
- Macca Springer (Crusaders) – 13.00
This is only a sample of the players quoted
Tribet
This market combines margin and result into three grouped outcomes. You’re betting on either team winning by 7 or more points, or on any other result (which includes a narrow win by either side or a draw). It’s a great option if you expect a close game but want to cover both teams, or if you strongly back a convincing win.
- Any Other Result – 2.50
(Covers either team winning by 1–6 points or a draw) - Chiefs by 7 or more points – 2.80
(Covers the Chiefs winning by 7 points or more) - Crusaders by 7 or more points – 2.90
(Covers the Crusaders winning by 7 points or more)
This should be a really close game and I think the Tribet option above is a value play that is likely to be in the running until the very end.
Bet: Tribet “any other result” at 2.50
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but subject to change.
