Round 6 of the Super Rugby continues with 5 matches across Friday and Saturday. We take a look at each fixture from a betting angle and make a few suggested bets.
Before we get into the weekend’ s action let’ s look at the latest Outright Betting where the Chiefs have firmed to 2.75 favourites ahead of the Crusaders at 4.00. The Hurricanes are 5.00 with the Blues 7.00 and top Australian team, Brumbies at 8.50 with the balance available at 13.00 and better. There are other markets on offer such as To Make or Miss the Playoffs and you can – Click here for the latest Outright Betting.
FRIDAY
Highlanders vs Hurricanes – Click here to bet
The Highlanders have had a mixed start to their 2026 campaign, showing flashes of quality but struggling for consistency. After their 39-31 home victory in Round 4 against the Western Force, they lost 29-18 away to the Crusaders last week. Previously they lost to the Reds and the Chiefs but had a narrow home win over the Crusaders in Round 1.
The Hurricanes have made a strong start to their 2026 campaign, showing plenty of attacking power. Last week saw them up against the Western Force where they won 31-23 at home. Previously they had wins against the Waratahs and Moana Pacific but were defeated by the Fijian Drua.
Betting
Highlanders 3.40
Draw 29.00
Hurricanes 1.40
Handicap: Highlanders +7.5
Verdict
This should be a cracking New Zealand derby, and the handicap of +7.5 Highlanders looks about right. So far, the games played in Dunedin have been fairly low scoring but as the season progresses, I expect that to change, and I am on the Over Points here.
BET: Over 55.5 points at 1.91
Brumbies vs Chiefs – Click here to bet
The Brumbies had a strong start and opened the season with three straight wins including a 50-24 away win over the Crusaders in Christchurch, a historic result. They also recorded wins over the Western Force and Blues. Their unbeaten run ended with a narrow 34-31 home defeat to the Reds despite leading late in the game and last week they had a big loss away to the Fijian Drua who beat them 42-27.
The Chiefs have been one of the top-performing New Zealand sides. Their last encounter was against Moana Pasifika at home where they won the match 57-24. They were also at home to the Crusaders where they lost 33-43, but they had away victories against the Highlanders and the Blues.
Betting
Brumbies 2.60
Draw 26.00
Chiefs 1.61
Handicap: Brumbies +3.5
Verdict
This should be a cracking match, but I fancy that the Brumbies may be a bit short of their best after their trip back from Fiji and a stacked Chiefs team can beat the handicap.
BET: Chiefs -3.5 at 1.87
SATURDAY
Fijian Drua vs Reds – Click here to bet
The Fijian Drua have had a mixed start with two wins and two losses in their 4 matches. Their first two matches saw them defeated at home by Moana Pasifika and away by the Waratahs. At home they beat the Hurricanes 25-20 and the Brumbies 42-27. They are showing strong form at home but struggling with inconsistency overall.
The Reds lost their Round 1 match 12-36 to the Waratahs. They then bounced back with a 31-14 win over the Highlanders at home and another narrow away victory over the Brumbies followed by a win over the Waratahs in the last round. They are playing confident, structured rugby but the Drua on the road will be a big test.
Betting
Fijian Drua 1.65
Draw 26.00
Reds 2.50
Handicap: Drua -5.5
Verdict
The days of the Fijian Drua starting as underdogs appear to be over and the Reds have a big task ahead of them. I like the Drua to cover the handicap.
BET: Fijian Drua -5.5 points at 1.95
Moana Pasifika vs Crusaders – Click here to bet
Moana Pasifika have had a tough run and lost 4 of their games and have only won once, namely a 40-26 home win in the first round over the Fijian Drua. Their losses were against the Blues, Chiefs, Western Force, and the Hurricanes. Their main issue is a leaky defense.
Crusaders have been mixed but improving as they started the season with a narrow loss to the Highlanders followed by a heavy loss at home to the Brumbies. They then had wins against the Chiefs and the Highlanders but in-between an away loss to the Blues. They have not been as dominant as usual, but still competitive.
Betting
Moana Pasifika 14.00
Draw 67.00
Crusaders 1.04
Handicap: Pasifika +25.5
Verdict
Pasifika have been a big disappointment in the Tournament so far, but the Crusaders have been vey inconsistent. I can’ t see past a Crusaders victory, bit I do think that Pasifika can beat the handicap.
BET: Pasifika +25.5 at 1.87
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Waratahs vs Blues – Click here to bet
The Waratahs started the season well with back-to-back wins at home against the Reds and the Fijian Drua. Their form then dipped and they had a heavy loss 19-59 to the Hurricanes at home followed by a 26-17 loss last week against the Reds.
The Blues had a narrow defeat in their opening round, losing 19-15 to the Chiefs which was followed by a win against the Western Force. The next round they were beaten by the Brumbies 30-27. Round 4 they were up against the Crusaders and came away with a 29-13 victory which was followed by another strong win over Moana Pasifika.
Betting
Waratahs 3.00
Draw 23.00
Blues 1.49
Handicap: Waratahs +6.5
Verdict
Waratahs started the season strongly, but they have been a bit disappointing since, while the Blues have been the inconsistent team that we have come to know over the years. I think this is the sort of game where the points can flow and I am betting that we get 56 or more.
BET: Over 55.5 points at 1.91
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
