The Maties and UCT will meet in an all-Western Cape Final of the Varsity Cup in Stellenbosch on Monday night and we take a closer look at the action which will come from the Danie Craven Stadium.
MATIES v UCT IKEYS – Click here to bet
MATIES
Maties topped the log with 6 wins and 1 loss in their 7 games finishing on 30 points. That earned them a home semi-final against Shimlas last week and it was a game where they always looked in control, winning 19-7, a much lower scoring game than the bookies had anticipated as the total points line was set at 64.5.
Maties have now won 4 and lost 1 of their 5 home matches, that loss coming against Tuks at the end of March.
UCT
UCT finished 3rd on the table with 26 points, having had 5 victories and 2 losses in the group stages. They had to travel up north to face Tuks in the semi-final, but they were on their game from the start and really never looked troubled winning 48-35 in a high scoring affair.
UCT have played 4 matches on the road this season, winning 2 and losing 2.
Head-to-Head
These sides met in the group stages in Stellenbosch with Maties coming out on top 31-24. Maties have won their last 5 home games against UCT, dating back to 2016.
Handicap: Maties [-0.5]
VERDICT
The bookmakers have priced this up as a close game with Maties edging favouritism at the time of writing.
I didn’t think Maties were that impressive against Shimlas last week and by contrast thought that UCT played some brilliant rugby against Tuks. Maties may have won the group stage match, but I am backing UCT to turn the tables and break a run of 2 successive losing finals.
BET: UCT win at 2.05
Note: The bookies have pushed Maties to -2.5 and we can now get 2.38 on UCT and I still like them
Total Points
The line is 56.5 and while I am going to stick with my UCT play I like the unders which would have arrived in the last 4 Maties home games and the last 4 meetings between the sides in Stellenbosch.
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change