Argentina vs South Africa Betting Preview, Saturday 04 October
We head towards the final round of the Rugby Championship with Argentina taking on South Africa at the Allianz Stadium in Twickenham, England on Saturday. Kick-off is at 15:00 (SAST), and we look at the match from a betting angle and offer a couple of bets for your consideration.
Let’s start with the outright betting: South Africa are trading at 1.22 to defend their title, New Zealand are 4.50, and Australia are the outsiders at 29.00.
Click here for Outright Winner betting
Argentina
Argentina are bottom of the table after winning two of their five matches. They opened their campaign against New Zealand at home, losing the first match but bouncing back to make history with their first-ever home victory over the All Blacks in the second round. They then split wins with the Wallabies in Australia.
Their hopes of winning the title ended last week against South Africa. After holding their own in the first half, they faded badly after the break and ended up on the wrong side of a 67–30 scoreline.
Argentina Lineup
15 Santiago Carreras, 14 Bautista Delguy, 13 Justo Piccardo, 12 Santiago Chocobares, 11 Juan Cruz Mallia, 10 Geronimo Prisciantelli, 9 Simon Cruz Benitez, 8 Santiago Grondona, 7 Marcos Kremer, 6 Pablo Matera, 5 Pedro Rubiolo, 4 Guido Petti, 3 Joel Sclavi, 2 Julián Montoya (captain), 1 Mayco Vivas.
Replacements: 16 Ignacio Ruiz, 17 Boris Wenger, 18 Francisco Coria Marchetti, 19 Franco Molina, 20 Juan Gonzalez, 21 Joaquín Oviedo, 22 Agustin Moyano, 23 Rodrigo Isgro
South Africa
South Africa sit top of the Rugby Championship table as they look to defend their crown. They split their opening two matches against Australia, then did the same against New Zealand in Rounds 3 and 4. Last weekend, they put on their most dominant performance of the year with a 67–30 demolition of Argentina a result that means barring a massive win for New Zealand in Perth they only need to win this game to be crowned back to back champions.
South Africa Lineup
- Damian Willemse; 14. Cheslin Kolbe, 13. Canan Moodie, 12. Damian de Allende, 11. Ethan Hooker; 10. Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu, 9. Cobus Reinach; 8. Jasper Wiese, 7. Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6. Siya Kolisi (capt); 5. Ruan Nortje, 4. Eben Etzebeth; 3. Thomas du Toit, 2. Malcolm Marx, 1. Ox Nche
Replacements: 16. Bongi Mbonambi, 17. Jan-Hendrik Wessels, 18. Wilco Louw, 19. RG Snyman, 20. Kwagga Smith, 21. Grant Williams, 22. Manie Libbok, 23. Jesse Kriel
Head-to-Head
After last week’s thrashing, South Africa have now won four of their last five matches against Argentina. They have scored an average of 38 points per match while Argentina have scored an average of 20 points per match.
Betting and Verdict
South Africa 1.15 | Argentina 7.00 | Draw 34.00
Handicap: Argentina +12.5
South Africa’s display last weekend was their sharpest of 2025 and sets them up perfectly for the final round. They know a bonus-point win is enough to seal the Championship, and memories of their 35–7 hammering of New Zealand at Twickenham last year will add to their confidence.
Suggested Bet: Handicap, South Africa -12.5 at 1.85.
In last week’s bet we looked at how well Argentina have performed in the first-half over the Tournament, and we were correct. They were only behind by 2 points come the half-time whistle. I think we will see the same this weekend and am backing them to have the match in the balance come half-time.
Suggested Bet: First-Half Handicap, Argentina +6.5 at 1.85.
Click here for all Argentina vs South Africa Markets
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
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