MotoGP returns after a two-week break as we head to the Mugello Circuit in Italy for this weekend’s race. We will take a look at the race from a betting angle and offer up a suggested bet for consideration.
PREVIOUS RACE – Aragon GP
The Aragon GP saw yet another victory for Marc Marquez, who continues his dominant run this season. His brother Alex Marquez finished second, while Francesco Bagnaia secured third. Rising star Pedro Acosta claimed fourth, and Brad Binder unfortunately did not finish.
CHAMPIONSHIP UPDATE – Winner without Marc Marquez
With Marc Marquez in commanding form, many punters are turning their attention to the “Winner Without Marquez” market. Here’s how that currently stands:
- Alex Marquez – 1.14 (201 points)
- Francesco Bagnaia – 5.50 (140 points)
- Franco Morbidelli – 51.00 (115 points)
This market offers interesting long-term value for those backing consistent podium contenders outside of the Marquez camp.
Click here for World Championship Winner Without Marquez Betting
Italian MotoGP 2024
In last year’s edition at Mugello, the Italian fans were treated to a spectacular result as Francesco Bagnaia and Enea Bastianini—both Italians—finished first and second, respectively. Jorge Martin rounded out the podium.
BETTING (To win outright Italian GP 2025) – Click here to bet
Marc Marquez 1.44
Francesco Bagnaia 4.00
Alex Marquez 6.00
Franco Morbidelli 26.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio 29.00
Pedro Acosta 34.00
All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
VERDICT
Francesco Bagnaia will arrive at Mugello determined to deliver another victory in front of his home fans. He won this race last year and comes into the weekend on the back of a solid third-place finish in Aragon. Currently third in the standings, Bagnaia will be fully motivated to close the gap on the Marquez brothers. If there’s anyone capable of spoiling Marc Marquez’s dominance this weekend, it’s Bagnaia on home soil.
Suggested Bet: Francesco Bagnaia to win at 6.00.
Remember this bet comes with money back insurance for a 2nd place finish – see details on the promo below:
Click here for betting on all of the Italian MotoGP Markets

Get a refund on a 2nd place
If you place a straight win bet on a rider and he finishes 2nd, we will refund your stake in Free Bets!
Important Details:
Pre-Match events only. T’s & C’s apply.
Max refund per account per day R5,000
Max refund for Black card members per day R7,500
Max refund for Super Black card members per day R10,000
Promotion must be claimed within 24 hours of the tournament. Selected markets only.
Free Bets do not qualify for this offer. Limited to 1 refund per customer per event.
Single/Straight bets only – does not apply to singles in multibets.
Min odds of 1/1 per leg required to qualify.
How to Claim:
Simply email promotions@wsb.co.za with Subject ‘Moto GP Money Back’


