Stage 12 of the Tour de France starts in Roanne and ends in Belleville-en-Beaujolais 168.8 kilometres later and this look a stage that is perfectly set up for the breakaway specialists.
STAGE 11 WRAP
Stage 11 went very much as expected with our tip Jasper Philipsen putting in a devastating sprint to win the stage. A small break had gone clear and the peloton kept them on a string all day before we got the bunch sprint that was expected. It was certainly a chaotic and messy finish and full credit to Philipsen who lost his teammates, but managed to get on the wheel of Dylan Groenewegen in the final 100 metres where he stormed clear to take his 4th stage of the 2023 Tour de France.
JERSEY UPDATE
There is very little change in the classifications with Pogacar still a 9/10 favourite ahead of Vingegaard at even money in the Yellow Jersey race while Philipsen himself is 1/8 to win the Green Jersey. Tadej Pogacar is the favourite for the King of the Mountains and one classification that could be heavily impacted tomorrow is the Team classification where Ineos Grenadiers are currently 4/6 favourites ahead of leaders, Bahrain Victorious.
Click here for Betting on all the Tour de France Markets
STAGE 12 BETTING – Click here to bet
Wout Van Aert 9/1
Mattias Skjelmose 14/1
Matej Mohoric 14/1
Tadej Pogacar 16/1
Julian Alaphilippe 16/1
Giulio Ciccone 20/1
Tobias Halland Johannessen 22/1
25/1 and better the balance
Get a refund on a 2nd place finish
Back any rider to win any stage of the 2023 Tour De France and if your selection comes 2nd, we will refund the stake in Free Bet vouchers!
Pre-Match events only. T’s & C’s apply. Refund/Payout limited to R2000.
Valid for bets taken before each stage from 1st – 23rd July
Simply email promotions@wsb.co.za with Subject ‘TDF Stage’
THE ROUTE
The start of this stage is tough and there is some gradual climbing in the opening 10 kilometres for a Cat 3 climb of 4.3 kilometres at 5.6% which starts just after the 60 kilometre mark. Riders don’t have long to recover before another Cat 3 climb and even when the climbs are finished there is plenty of hilly terrain which is going to make controlling the stage very hard.
A sprint takes place after 93.3 kilometres in a slightly flatter section, but then it is on to successive climbs, mainly a cat 3 at 5.2 kilometres, 6.1% followed immediately by a cat 2 at 5.5 kilometres at 6.1% and then peaking out at 28 kilometres to go is a cat 2, Col de la Croix Rosier which is 5.3 kilometres at a steep 7.6% average.
The finish of the stage for me looks very similar to what we had on Stage 10 and it is mainly downhill with a couple of short, sharp rises that could be launch pads for the win. There is bound to be a strong battle for the break and it may take some time to form, but I would expect a big break to go clear and ultimately contest the stage win, although the way this Tour de France has gone it is not impossible that Tadej Pogacar will be eyeing the bonus seconds at the top of the final climb and potentially on the line.
VERDICT
I am going to go for two riders who could win from the break, namely Van Der Poel and Aranburu. Van Der Poel never led out Philipsen today and it might be because he wasn’t feeling well as he was reported under the weather yesterday, but it could also be because he is resting up for a crack at this stage. Aranburu should be well suited by this stage and the starting climbs are perhaps not as hard as on stage 10 so hopefully he can find himself in the break.
Suggested Bet: Van Der Poel win at 28/1
Suggested Bet: Aranburu win at 40/1
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
