UFC Fight Night takes place at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas on Saturday the 10th of October (early hours of Sunday in South Africa). Brendan Allen faces Christian Leroy Duncan in the middleweight main event. We take a closer look at that contest and two additional bouts from the main card from a betting angle below.
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BRENDAN ALLEN vs CHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN
Middleweight – Main Event:
Brendan Allen enters this main event with a UFC record of 15 wins and 4 losses. The American has recorded seven submission victories and two wins by knockout inside the organisation, with his remaining six victories coming on the judges’ scorecards.
Allen has won three consecutive fights since suffering unanimous decision defeats to Nassourdine Imavov and Anthony Hernandez. He beat Marvin Vettori by unanimous decision in July 2025 before stopping Reinier de Ridder in October. His latest appearance ended in another unanimous decision victory over Edmen Shahbazyan in June.
Christian Leroy Duncan brings a resume of 8 wins and 2 losses under the promotion into this matchup. The Englishman has earned five victories by knockout, while his other three wins have come by unanimous decision.
Duncan has put together five straight victories since losing to Gregory Rodrigues in July 2024. He defeated Andrey Pulyaev on the scorecards before stopping Eryk Anders and Marco Tulio. He has since added unanimous decision victories over Roman Dolidze in March and Jared Cannonier in July.
BETTING – click here to bet
Allen 1.83
Leroy Duncan 2.05
PREDICTION:
Duncan arrives on an impressive winning run and his recent victories over Dolidze and Cannonier suggest he is ready for another demanding assignment. Allen, however, has more UFC experience and a strong submission record that could prove decisive if he can take the fight to the ground. I expect a competitive contest with Allen eventually creating an opening to secure a submission victory.
MATHEUS CAMILO vs JAI HERBERT
Lightweight – Co-Main Event:
Matheus Camilo heads into this encounter with 2 wins and 1 loss inside the UFC. The Brazilian suffered a second round submission defeat to Gabe Green on his promotional debut in May 2025 but has responded with two victories since.
Camilo earned his first UFC win by beating Viacheslav Borshchev by unanimous decision in November. He then produced a much quicker finish against Nazim Sadykhov in June, stopping his opponent just 1 minute and 31 seconds into the opening round.
Jai Herbert comes into the event holding a tally of 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw under the organisation into this clash. The Englishman has split his four victories between two stoppages and two unanimous decisions, giving him considerably more experience under the promotion than his opponent.
Herbert has alternated between wins and losses across his last four appearances. He followed a unanimous decision defeat to Fares Ziam with a victory over Rolando Bedoya before losing a split decision to Chris Padilla. He returned to winning ways in April by stopping Mandel Nallo in the first round.
BETTING – click here to bet
Camilo 1.51
Herbert 2.60
PREDICTION:
Both fighters will take confidence from first round stoppage victories in their latest appearances. Herbert’s greater UFC experience makes him a testing opponent, although Camilo has shown encouraging progress since his debut defeat. I think the Brazilian can build on his recent momentum and get the better of a competitive contest, with Camilo winning by decision.
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d get the better of a competitive contest, with Camilo winning by decision.
LOOPY GODINEZ vs KETLEN SOUZA
Women’s Strawweight – Main Card Bout:
Loopy Godinez enters this bout with a UFC record of 9 wins and 6 losses. The Mexican has earned seven victories on the judges’ scorecards and two by submission since making her promotional debut in April 2021.
Godinez recorded successive unanimous decision victories over Julia Polastri and former champion Jessica Andrade in 2025. Those results brought an end to a two fight losing run, although she suffered another setback in April when Tatiana Suarez submitted her in the second round.
Ketlen Souza steps into the octagon with 4 wins and 3 losses inside the promotion. The Brazilian has recorded two unanimous decision victories, one submission and one win by knockout during her UFC career.
Souza recovered from consecutive split decision defeats to Angela Hill and Piera Rodriguez with two straight victories. She overcame Bruna Brasil by unanimous decision in February before stopping Ariane Carnelossi just 1 minute and 34 seconds into the first round in June.
BETTING – click here to bet
Godinez 1.43
Souza 3.00
PREDICTION:
Souza arrives with the better recent momentum and has shown that she can finish opponents as well as win over three rounds. Godinez’s victory over Andrade remains an encouraging result and her greater experience against established UFC opposition could make the difference. I expect Godinez to bounce back from her defeat to Suarez and take this contest by decision.
SUGGESTED BETS:
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan
Allen by Submission at 3.85
Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert
Camilo by Decision at 5.00
Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza
Godinez by Decision at 1.95
The Treble of all 3 bets to land comes in at a juicy 37.54
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but subject to change.
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