The UEFA Champions League semi-finals continue Tuesday night with a delicately poised second leg clash between Arsenal and Atletico Madrid. We take a closer look at the encounter from a betting perspective below.
Let’s begin with a look at the Outright betting where PSG and Bayern Munich are favourites to win at 3.00, with Arsenal priced further back at 3.20 and Atletico Madrid trading at 9.00.
Click here for the Champions League Outright Betting Markets.
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid – Click here to bet
First Leg Recap
The first leg in Madrid ended all square at 1-1 with each team landing a penalty, leaving the tie finely balanced heading into this decisive second meeting. Arsenal took the lead prior to the break but 11 minutes into the 2nd half Atletico Madrid equalised.
Recent Form
Arsenal come into this clash in strong domestic form. They secured an impressive 3-0 home victory over Fulham in their latest outing after edging Newcastle 1-0. Prior to that they suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat away to Manchester City but had also been on a solid run consisting of a win over Everton and a dominant display against Chelsea earlier in the campaign.
Atletico Madrid have experienced a more inconsistent run in recent weeks despite showing attacking quality. They secured a 2-0 away win over Valencia in their latest match after a thrilling 3-2 victory against Athletic Bilbao but had suffered defeats to Elche and Real Sociedad while also losing to Sevilla in league action before that.
Head-to-Head
Recent meetings between the sides have been relatively balanced. Arsenal hold a slight edge historically with two wins compared to Atletico Madrid’s one, while three matches have ended in draws. The most recent encounter finished 1-1 in the first leg, while earlier this season Arsenal recorded a convincing 4-0 home victory over the Spanish side.
Match Odds (1X2)
Arsenal: 1.63
Draw: 4.00
Atletico Madrid: 5.75
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Verdict
With the tie level after the first leg this second meeting sets up as a decisive encounter where Arsenal’s home advantage could prove crucial. The English side have shown greater consistency in recent weeks and remain defensively solid while still creating enough chances going forward.
Atletico Madrid possess clear attacking threats but their defensive inconsistencies away from home remain a concern. Given Arsenal’s strong home form and their ability to control games, they look well placed to edge this contest and book their spot in the final.
Arsenal will press forward early and once we have an opening goal this game could really open up.
Some betting angles I fancy here:
- Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score – Yes at 3.85
- Over 2.5 goals at 1.87
- Both Teams to Score YES at 1.93
- Correct Score 3-1 at 15.00
BET: Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score – Yes at 3.85
Odds correct at time of writing but subject to change.
