We look at the PSL fixture between Mamelodi Sundowns and Polokwane City taking place on Sunday the 3rd of May from a betting angle.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City
Mamelodi Sundowns sit top of the table with 61 points from 26 matches, 2 points clear of Orlando Pirates with both sides having 4 games to play. They have recorded 18 wins, 7 draws and just 1 defeat, scoring 44 goals and conceding only 13, highlighting their control at both ends of the pitch.
Sundowns come into this clash in solid form. They edged Polokwane City 1-0 away in their most recent outing and prior to that played out a 0-0 draw with Richards Bay and a 1-1 draw with Stellenbosch. Before that they recorded back-to-back wins including a convincing 4-1 victory over Chippa United.
Polokwane City occupy 6th position on the log with 37 points from 26 games. Their season has been built on structure and discipline, reflected in a return of 9 wins, 10 draws and 7 defeats, with just 20 goals scored and 17 conceded.
Their recent form has been competitive. They lost narrowly 1-0 to Sundowns last time out but prior to that secured a 1-0 win over Stellenbosch, drew 0-0 with Kaizer Chiefs and 1-1 with Chippa United, while also picking up a 2-1 away win over TS Galaxy. Much like Sundowns, their matches tend to be tight affairs.
Head-to-Head:
Sundowns have dominated this fixture historically, winning 12 of the last 20 meetings, with Polokwane claiming just 3 wins and 5 matches ending in draws.
The recent trend strongly favours Sundowns in controlled, low-scoring games:
- Polokwane 0-1 Sundowns (Apr 2026)
- Sundowns 2-0 Polokwane (Nov 2024)
- Sundowns 1-0 Polokwane (Aug 2024)
- Sundowns 0-0 Polokwane (Dec 2023)
Had you been backing both teams to score YES you would have lost 9 bets in a row.
Odds:
Mamelodi Sundowns 1.31 | Draw 5.25 | Polokwane City 12.00
Verdict:
Sundowns are deserved favourites and should control this match through possession and territory. However, Polokwane City’s disciplined defensive structure, combined with Sundowns’ recent tendency toward lower-scoring games, suggests this may not be a high-scoring encounter.
The head-to-head history further supports this, with most recent meetings producing one or two goal margins at most.
I am expecting Sundowns to dominate and ultimately secure the win, but in a controlled manner rather than a blowout.
Here are some betting options I am considering:
- Under 2.5 Goals at 1.77
- Match Results and Both Teams to Score, Sundowns and NO at 1.78
- 3 Way Handicap, Mamelodi Sundowns -2 the draw at 4.00 – Sundowns must win by 2 goals exactly
- Correct Score 2-0 at 5.75
Bet: 3 Way Handicap, Mamelodi Sundowns -2 the draw at 4.00
Note: All prices are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
