Australia v New Zealand Rugby Championship Betting Preview

Both Australia and New Zealand head into Round 6 of the Rugby Championship knowing that only a win will keep their title hopes alive. With everything still to play for, this clash at the Optus Stadium in Perth, promises to be a high-stakes battle. In this preview, we’ll break down the key angles from a betting perspective and highlight a few suggested plays.

The bookies have South Africa favourites at 1.22 to win the Rugby Championship with New Zealand trading at 4.30 and Australia priced at 29.00

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Australia

Australia have had an up-and-down campaign. They opened with a statement win away to South Africa but lost the return fixture a week later. Against Argentina, they split the two home games, winning one in dramatic fashion and losing the other by two points. Last week’s 33–24 defeat to New Zealand saw them slip from the top of the table to third, leaving them with work to do if they want to stay in the title race.

Australia Lineup – to follow

New Zealand

New Zealand got the job done last week with a 33–24 victory over Australia at home, a result that keeps them in the title race. However, the failure to secure a bonus point leaves South Africa in the stronger position going into the final round. Across the rest of their campaign, the All Blacks have been inconsistent, splitting their two-game series with both Argentina and South Africa.

New Zealand starting Lineup – to follow

Head-to-Head

New Zealand now have a ten-match winning streak over Australia, with the Wallabies’ last success coming in 2020 (24–22 in Brisbane). Last weekend’s clash was competitive for long spells – New Zealand led just 20–17 at the break after a late Wallaby surge – but a late Cam Roigard try sealed the result.

Betting and Verdict

New Zealand 1.55 | Australia 2.80 | Draw 26.00
Handicap: Australia +4.5

Australia have shown flashes of brilliance this year, including big wins against the British & Irish Lions and South Africa away from home, but they have also been vulnerable, particularly at home against Argentina. Backed by their supporters and with everything still on the line, I think they are a lively underdog.

Suggested Bet: Australia to win at 2.80.

Australia are yet to lead a match at half-time in this year’s Rugby Championship. I think that if we are going to back them for the win, they will need to pull off yet another brilliant comeback after half-time and the halftime/fulltime market provides a bigger priced option.

Suggested Bet: Halftime|Fulltime, New Zealand|Australia at 9.50

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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change

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