English Premier League Betting Preview, Saturday 27 September
Saturday’s Premier League features several fixtures, but I’ve opted to focus on four of the most interesting clashes. Each game promises plenty of action and talking points as the season continues. Here’s a closer look at each, with insights and suggested bets.
From an outright perspective, Liverpool remain favourites to defend their title at 10/11, with Arsenal close behind at 37/20. Manchester City follow at 6/1, while Chelsea have drifted out to 25/1, and the rest of the field is priced at 40/1 or longer.
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BRENTFORD v MANCHESTER UNITED – Click here to bet
Brentford remain stuck in the lower reaches, 17th with four points from five matches, following last weekend’s 3-1 defeat at Fulham. Keith Andrews’ side have just one win this season and look defensively vulnerable, having conceded ten goals already. The Bees are usually a tough side to beat at the Community Stadium, but inconsistency and a lack of cutting edge upfront are proving costly. That said, they remain unbeaten at home this season with a win and a draw and will be eager to test a Manchester United side that has yet to settle into the new campaign in this early afternoon kick-off.
Manchester United climbed to 11th with seven points following a dramatic 2-1 victory over Chelsea in a fiery clash that saw both sides finish with ten men. Rúben Amorim will take some relief from last weekend’s result, but he knows consistency is key if he is to prove his credentials to the board. Like Brentford, United have shown vulnerability at the back, conceding eight goals in their opening five league fixtures. Away form has been a particular concern and last season the Red Devils managed just four wins on the road, and so far in this campaign they are still searching for a first away victory, drawing once and losing once while conceding four goals in two trips. United will be keen to register back-to-back wins for the first time this campaign, something they failed to do in the entirety of last season.
Head-to-Head
Manchester United have had the upper hand in this fixture in recent years, winning three of the last five meetings. Last season, however, the spoils were shared, with United edging the reverse clash 2-1 at Old Trafford before Brentford claimed a memorable 4-3 victory in a thriller at home. Both teams have scored in each of the last four encounters against one another, a trend worth noting when assessing the markets.
Betting
Brentford 12/5
Draw 28/10
Manchester United 21/20
Verdict
This looks an ideal chance for the travelling side to notch a rare back-to-back league win. Brentford may be tough at home, but they appear to be lacking the cutting edge they showed last season. Last week’s heroics could be the catalyst Amorim’s side desperately needed, just enough to see them through this weekend.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result – Manchester United at 21/20
CRYSTAL PALACE v LIVERPOOL – Click here to bet
Crystal Palace sit fifth with nine points after a 2-1 win away at West Ham last weekend. Oliver Glasner’s side remain unbeaten this season, with two wins and three draws, proving extremely difficult to break down. The Eagles have conceded just twice in the league, a defensive record matched only by Arsenal so far this campaign. This Saturday, they host Liverpool at Selhurst Park, where Glasner’s men will look to register their first home win of the season. Palace have played twice at home so far, with both matches ending in draws. Despite losing this fixture last season, their current run of form suggests they will relish the chance to test themselves against the top-flight leaders.
Liverpool remain top of the table with a perfect 15 points from five games following their 2-1 Merseyside derby win over Everton. Arne Slot has his team looking confident and composed, grinding out narrow victories when required. With the league’s only 100% record, Liverpool are proving they are genuine title contenders once again. The Reds have scored eleven goals so far, leading the league charts with their aggressive approach, and while they have conceded five, Slot’s side continue to show resilience. On the road, they have played twice, winning both matches, scoring four goals and conceding two.
Head-to-Head
Liverpool and Crystal Palace met twice in the league last season, with Liverpool claiming four points from a possible six thanks to a 1-0 win at Selhurst Park and a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture at Anfield. Their most recent encounter came in the Community Shield this August, where Crystal Palace lifted the trophy on penalties after a 2-2 draw.
Betting
Crystal Palace 29/10
Draw 29/10
Liverpool 10/11
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Verdict
Liverpool should have enough quality and consistency to maintain their perfect start to the season, even at a challenging away venue like Selhurst Park. Crystal Palace have been solid defensively, but the Reds attacking talent should be enough to replicate last season’s success at this ground.
Suggested Bet: Full Times Result – Liverpool at 10/11
LEEDS UNITED v BOURNEMOUTH – Click here to bet
Leeds United sit 12th with seven points after an impressive 3-1 away win at Wolves last weekend, a result that ended a three-match goalless run in the top flight. Daniel Farke’s side looked sharp on the break, a welcome relief given that defensive issues have been a concern on the road, with seven goals conceded in three away matches. Returning to Elland Road should give them confidence, as they remain unbeaten at home in the league this season with a win and a draw. The Peacocks have yet to concede on their own turf, and each home game has been a low-scoring affair, highlighting a much more solid defensive record at Elland Road.
Bournemouth will travel to Leeds this weekend with solid form behind them, currently sitting fourth overall with 10 points from five matches in the early standings. Andoni Iraola’s side drew 0-0 with Newcastle at home last time out, extending their unbeaten run to four league games (W3 D1). The Cherries have been particularly strong defensively in recent weeks, conceding just once in their last four league outings. On the road, Bournemouth have played twice this season, opening with a 4-2 defeat at Liverpool before bouncing back impressively with a 1-0 win at Spurs.
Head-to-Head
These two clubs last met in the Premier League during the 2022/23 season, with both sides recording wins in high-scoring encounters. Leeds claimed a 4-3 victory in this fixture, before Bournemouth returned the favour with a comprehensive 4-1 triumph in the reverse clash.
Betting
Leeds United 2/1
Draw 95/40
Bournemouth 14/10
Tight game expected, with Bournemouth’s form edging the market slightly.
Verdict
Despite previous high-scoring encounters, this one looks set to be a tighter affair given how both sides have approached the new season. Leeds rock-solid home defence and Bournemouth’s disciplined backline suggest a low-scoring game, with only one side, if any, likely to find the net this time around.
Suggested Bet: Both Teams to Score – No at 21/20
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR v WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS – Click here to bet
Tottenham Hotspur have shown marked improvement compared to their inconsistent performances last season. Under Thomas Frank, they now look a more settled team, handling domestic and European duties efficiently, though this week will be a tough test, with the Lilywhites facing three matches across separate competitions in just seven days. Currently third with 10 points after a 2-2 draw at Brighton, Spurs have lost only once this season and are unbeaten in their last two league games, recording a win and a draw while scoring five goals in that period. At home, they have played twice, winning one and losing the other. Saturday presents a strong opportunity for Frank’s men to put down another marker in the EPL against a Wolves side badly out of form.
Wolverhampton Wanderers remain rooted to the bottom of the table in 20th, still without a point after their 3-1 home defeat to Leeds. Vítor Pereira’s side have endured a torrid start, conceding 12 goals while scoring only three across their opening five league fixtures. For Wolves, this downturn comes as no surprise given how poorly they ended last season. They have now lost eight of their last nine league matches, collecting just a single point from a possible 27. With confidence fragile and trips to north London rarely forgiving for struggling sides, this shapes up as another daunting assignment for Pereira’s men against a Tottenham outfit that has impressed greatly under Thomas Frank.
Head-to-Head
Wolverhampton Wanderers are unbeaten in their last five meetings against Tottenham, winning four of those encounters (W4 D1). Last season, Wolves claimed four points from a possible six, earning a 2-2 draw in this fixture before following it up with a 4-2 home victory in the reverse clash.
Betting
Tottenham Hotspur 5/10
Draw 15/4
Wolverhampton Wanderers 11/2
Verdict
Tottenham look set to exploit Wolves’ poor form and leaky defence, despite recent head-to-head struggles. With the Lilywhites firing and Wolves struggling at both ends, a comfortable home win looks on the cards this weekend.
Suggested Bet: Result and Totals – Tottenham Hotspur and Over 2.5 at 23/20
Click here for all the weekend’s English Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
SUMMARY OF BETS
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Brentford v Manchester United
👉 Full Time Result – Manchester United at 21/20 -
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
👉 Full Time Result – Liverpool at 10/11 -
Leeds United v Bournemouth
👉 Both Teams to Score – No at 21/20 -
Tottenham Hotspur v Wolverhampton Wanderers
👉 Result & Totals – Tottenham Hotspur and Over 2.5 at 23/20
Click here for all the weekend’s English Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change