Inter Milan and Barcelona meet at the San Siro on Tuesday night for the decisive second leg of their UEFA Champions League semi-final, with the tie finely poised after a thrilling 3-3 draw in Spain. With a place in the final up for grabs, we take a look at what to expect from this high-stakes encounter — along with a suggested betting angle you might want to consider.
Before getting into the match itself, it’s worth taking a glance at the updated outright markets. PSG now lead the way at 12/10 after their first-leg win, with Barcelona following at 9/4. Inter Milan remain in the mix at 4/1, while Arsenal, facing an uphill task, are currently priced at 7/1.
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INTER MILAN v BARCELONA – Click here to bet
Inter Milan welcome Barcelona to the San Siro on Tuesday night for a decisive Champions League semi-final second leg, with the tie finely balanced at 3-3 after a pulsating first-leg showdown at the Lluis Companys Stadium. Despite heading into that clash on the back of three consecutive defeats, Simone Inzaghi’s side stunned the Catalans by racing into a two-goal lead, only to be pegged back in an enthralling six-goal contest.
While Inter may regret missing the chance to take a lead back to Milan, they return home with confidence and the advantage of familiar surroundings. The Nerazzurri have been a dominant force at the San Siro in this season’s European campaign, remaining unbeaten in all six matches (W5, D1) while keeping four clean sheets. However, their defensive solidity has dipped in recent outings, having conceded in each of their last two home games in Europe and in four consecutive matches overall, both home and away. Even so, entertainment has been in no short supply — 16 goals have been scored across their home European fixtures, with both teams finding the net in the last two, each producing three goals or more.
That said, Inter responded well over the weekend by returning to winning ways domestically, edging past Verona 1-0 to keep themselves in the Serie A title hunt. They remain in second place, just three points behind leaders Napoli with three rounds to play — a timely boost ahead of Tuesday’s crunch encounter.
Barcelona, meanwhile, will view this second leg as a crucial opportunity to make amends for not capitalising on home advantage. Hansi Flick’s side showed admirable resolve to claw their way back in the first leg, but they now face the considerable task of securing a result in Milan — a place where few teams have succeeded this season.
Their form on the road in Europe has been a mixed bag: four wins and two defeats from six outings, with just one clean sheet along the way. However, their attacking threat remains potent. Barcelona’s away matches in this Champions League campaign have averaged a remarkable 4.8 goals per game (29 total), underlining the likelihood of another free-flowing spectacle at the San Siro.
The Catalans were once again forced to rely on their depth over the weekend, coming from behind to defeat Real Valladolid 2-1 after trailing at the break. With key contributions from the bench, Flick’s side preserved their four-point lead over Real Madrid at the top of La Liga with four matches remaining — keeping their quadruple ambitions firmly alive.
With everything still to play for and both sides chasing silverware on multiple fronts, Tuesday’s second leg promises another high-octane showdown. Inter’s formidable home form gives them the edge, but Barcelona’s quality and resilience ensure this semi-final remains on a knife’s edge.
Head-to-Head
These two sides have now met thirteen times in European competition, with Barcelona unbeaten in eleven of those encounters (W6, D5). However, Inter Milan have been tough opponents for the Catalans at the San Siro, having lost just once in their last five meetings there (W2, D2, L1). The most recent encounter at the San Siro in 2022 ended in a 1-0 win for Inter Milan.
Betting
Inter Milan 2/1
Draw 29/10
Barcelona 12/10
Verdict
I quite like the look of Inter Milan’s double chance and both teams to score for this one. Inter haven’t lost in their last three meetings with Barcelona and have been strong at home in Europe this season. With both sides boasting plenty of attacking threat, I can see goals at both ends — but with the San Siro faithful behind the Nerazzurri, the hosts will fancy their chances.
Suggested Bet: Double chance and both teams to score – Inter Milan/Draw and Yes at 5/4
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
