This weekend, we’ll be looking at three Serie A matchups, offering insights and betting options for you to consider.
But first, let’s check out the latest outright odds: Inter Milan remain the favourites to defend their Serie A title, priced at 1/1. Current league leaders Napoli are close behind at 11/4, with Atalanta coming in next at 5/1, and Juventus at 10/1. The rest of the field can be snapped up at 14/1 or higher.
Click here for all the long-term Serie A outright markets
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SATURDAY
AC MILAN v EMPOLI – Click here to bet
AC Milan welcome Empoli to the San Siro this Saturday in Serie A, with both sides eager to maintain their recent positive runs. Milan, who were held to a goalless draw at home by Juventus last weekend, find themselves 7th in the standings with 19 points. The Rossoneri trail league leaders Napoli by a sizable 10-point margin, but they remain unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions. Paulo Fonseca’s side will be keen to reignite their push for a higher league position with a decisive win.
Home Form:
AC Milan have been strong at the San Siro, losing just once in six home league matches this season. However, their attacking output has been underwhelming, averaging only 1.66 goals per game at home in the league. Defensively, they’ve been solid, conceding only 4 goals at an average of 0.66 goals per game in those fixtures.
Empoli, meanwhile, continue to climb the table. Roberto D’Aversa’s men sit in 10th place with 16 points after securing a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Udinese in their most recent outing. This result marked their second consecutive league draw and extended their unbeaten run to three matches, a streak they’ll aim to build upon against their more illustrious opponents this Saturday.
Away Form:
Empoli have been strong on the road, losing just once in six away league matches this season. They’ve collected 9 points from a possible 18, scoring 8 at an average of 1.33 goals per game while conceding 6 at an average of 1 per match. Their resilience away from home has been a key factor in their steady rise to 10th place.
Head-to-Head
AC Milan have enjoyed a dominant record against Empoli, winning six of their last seven meetings. The Rossoneri narrowly edged last season’s encounter at the San Siro with a 1-0 victory, courtesy of Christian Pulisic’s decisive goal.
Betting:
AC Milan 4/11
Draw 4/1
Empoli 8/1
Verdict:
With Milan looking to close the gap on the league leaders and Empoli riding the wave of an unbeaten streak, this could be a tightly contested match. However, the Rossoneri’s defensive solidity and home advantage should prove decisive.
Suggested Bet: Result and totals, AC Milan and under 2.5 at 5/2
SUNDAY
TORINO v NAPOLI – Click here to bet
Torino host Napoli at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino this Sunday in Serie A, aiming to bounce back from recent setbacks. The Granata have struggled to find consistency this season, most recently securing their first point in four matches with a 1-1 draw at home to Monza. They’ve managed to secure just four points from a possible twenty-four in their last eight league appearances, and with the pressure mounting, they’ll be eager to pick up points at home this weekend. Sitting 11th in the standings with 15 points from their opening 13 matches, Torino will be looking to secure a positive result to move closer to the top half of the table.
Home Form:
Torino have been fairly steady at home, with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their six Serie A matches at the Olimpico this season. While they’ve netted and conceded the same amount of 6 goals overall at home, averaging 1 per game, showing a tendency for tightly contested matches. Their home games have been more defensively focused, and they’ll need to improve their offensive play if they are to challenge Antonio Conte’s side this weekend.
Napoli, sitting at the top of the Serie A standings with 29 points, will enter this match on the back of a 1-0 victory over Roma last weekend, their ninth league win of the season. The Partenopei have been near-perfect this campaign, losing just once in their last 13 appearances in all competitions. With a one-point lead over second-placed Atalanta, they will be determined to maintain their momentum as they look to defend their position at the summit.
Away Form:
Napoli’s away form has been impressive, with just one defeat in their last six league games on the road. They have scored 8 goals while conceding only 4 in these matches, averaging 1.33 goals per game and conceding an average of just 0.66. Their solid defence and clinical attack make them a difficult side to beat away from home.
Head-to-Head
Napoli has dominated overall meetings with Torino, winning five of the last seven encounters. However, last season Torino made a significant statement by remaining unbeaten in the league against Napoli, securing their first league win over the Partenopei since 2015 with a 3-0 victory, followed by a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture.
Betting:
Torino 15/4
Draw 5/2
Napoli 17/20
Verdict
Despite last season’s results between these two, Napoli’s form this year has been exceptional. With a solid defence and a potent attack, they come into this match as deserved favourites. Torino, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency this season, and Napoli’s strong away form, combined with their overall quality, should see them secure all three points.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Napoli at 17/20
FIORENTINA v INTER MILAN – Click here to bet
Fiorentina are set to face Inter Milan at the Stadio Artemio Franchi this Sunday, looking to build on a positive run of form after a 2-0 win against Como in their latest league outing. Raffaele Palladino’s side has shown considerable improvement this season, winning their last seven consecutive Serie A matches. Fiorentina’s recent surge has lifted them to 4th place in the league, with 28 points from their first 13 games.
Home Form:
Fiorentina’s home form has been impressive, remaining unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions this season and winning their last five consecutively. In league play, they have been ruthless up front, scoring 14 goals at an average of 2.33 per game, while conceding just 6, which works out to an average of 1 goal per game conceded at home.
This weekend, Inter Milan travel to Florence in superb form, sitting 3rd in Serie A with 28 points, just 1 point behind leaders Napoli. The Nerazzurri enter match day 14 full of confidence, having won 5 of their last 6 matches in all competitions, including a dominant 5-0 victory away to Verona last weekend. Simone Inzaghi’s side have tasted defeat just once this season and are enjoying an unbeaten run of twelve matches across all competitions heading into Sunday’s clash. Their impressive form, both domestically and in Europe, has kept them firmly in the hunt, and they will be eager to maintain their momentum as they visit a strong Fiorentina outfit this Sunday.
Away form:
Inter Milan have been excellent on the road this season, currently riding a four-match winning streak in the league. They remain unbeaten overall, having started their league campaign with two consecutive draws away from home. Under Inzaghi, the side has scored 15 goals, averaging 2.5 goals per game, while conceding just 5, averaging 0.83 goals per game in Serie A.
Head-to-Head
Inter Milan have dominated recent league meetings between these two, winning three of the last four encounters. Last season, Inter completed a double over Fiorentina, securing a 4-0 victory in the reverse fixture, followed by a 1-0 win in this matchup.
Betting
Fiorentina 26/10
Draw 26/10
Inter Milan 21/20
Verdict
I like the visitors’ chances of securing their ninth league win this weekend but will take a more conservative approach. Given Fiorentina’s superb run of form and both teams’ impressive goal-scoring records, I’ll back Inter Milan to remain unbeaten on the road, with both teams finding the net.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Both Teams to Score, Draw/Inter Milan and yes at 23/20
Click here for all this weekend’s Italian Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
