We take a look at both fixtures taking place this Sunday in the English Premier League, offering a betting alternative for each match.
Before diving into this weekend’s fixtures, let’s review the latest outright odds for the Premier League title race. Liverpool have surged ahead of the Citizens to become the new favourites, now priced at 13/10 to win the title. Manchester City are the second favourites at 2/1, with Arsenal following at 4/1. Chelsea are at 20/1, while the remaining teams are priced at 100/1 or greater.
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SOUTHAMPTON v LIVERPOOL – Click here to bet
Southampton, currently sitting at the bottom of the Premier League in 20th place with just 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 9 losses), are desperately in need of a positive result following their 2-0 defeat to Wolverhampton Wanderers before the international break. While they’ve occasionally shown flashes of quality, Russell Martin’s youthful side has often looked out of their depth, raising serious doubts about their ability to survive in the top flight next season. Their home form has been particularly poor, with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 4 goals and conceding 8. With their slump showing no signs of ending, this weekend’s clash against a rapidly improving Liverpool team, who travel to St Mary’s on Sunday, could not have come at a worse time for the Saints, given the stark contrast in terms of form between the two sides.
Home form:
At home, Southampton average 0.8 goals per game in the league, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 60% of their fixtures this season (3 out of 5 matches).
Liverpool are in excellent form, sitting at the top of the Premier League with 28 points (9 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat). Their latest match before the international break saw them secure a comfortable 2-0 win over Aston Villa, marking their fourth consecutive victory across all competitions. The Reds have been particularly impressive away from home, winning 4 of their 5 away matches and scoring 10 goals in the process. Led by the ever-dangerous Mohamed Salah and supported by a robust defence that has conceded just 6 goals all season, Arne Slot’s side remains the team to beat this season. They are clear favourites heading into Sunday’s meeting, knowing that anything less than maximum points will be deemed a failure, given the high standards set within the Reds’ camp at present.
Away form:
Away from home, Liverpool average 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 60% of their league encounters on the road this season (3 out of 5 matches).
Head-to-Head
The latest league meetings between these two sides took place in the 2022/23 season, with Liverpool emerging victorious in the reverse encounter, winning 3-1. In this fixture, however, both teams had to settle for a 4-4 draw.
Betting
Southampton 17/2
Draw 5/1
Liverpool 3/10
Verdict
Given the gulf in class between the two, Liverpool should prevail in what is likely to be a one-sided affair this Sunday. Having dropped just two points away from home all season, the Reds clearly mean business. For me, it’s a Liverpool win by 2 goals or more.
Suggested Bet: Handicap, Liverpool -1.5 at 15/20
IPSWICH TOWN v MANCHESTER UNITED – Click here to bet
After enduring three consecutive league defeats in October, Ipswich Town have steadied the ship by going unbeaten in their last two matches. This run includes a morale-boosting 2-1 victory away at Tottenham Hotspur, marking a potential turning point in their campaign. This Sunday, the Tractor Boys, currently 17th in the Premier League with 8 points (1 win, 5 draws, and 5 losses), will welcome the Red Devils to Portman Road. The newly promoted side has faced a tough introduction to life in the top flight but will draw confidence from their recent performance against Spurs, which showcased their ability to challenge more established opponents. Although Manchester United arrive with significant hype following their recent managerial change, Ipswich will hope the new coach will need time to settle, providing an opportunity for the hosts to spring a surprise this weekend. To challenge a team like Manchester United, the Tractor Boys will need to show greater resilience and clinical finishing, especially at home where they remain winless having registered 3 draws and 2 defeats to date.
Home form:
At home, Ipswich average 0.8 goals per game in the league, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 80% of those fixtures overall this season (4 out of 5 matches).
Ruben Amorim will make his debut as Manchester United’s manager this weekend, and the anticipation is palpable. Following his impressive farewell with Sporting Lisbon, which featured a stunning 3-1 victory over ‘noisy neighbours’ Manchester City in the Champions League, excitement around the Portuguese coach is at an all-time high. The win felt almost poetic, as Amorim now takes the reins at United, aiming to restore the club to its former glory. However, this weekend’s clash will be less dramatic but equally crucial, as United travel to Portman Road to face Ipswich Town. Currently in 13th place with 15 points (4 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses), United are coming off a dominant 3-0 win against Leicester City just before the international break. That said, there is still plenty of work to be done, especially away from home, where Manchester United have managed just one win on the road all season, scoring only five goals so far—a statistic that Amorim and the fans alike will be desperate to change, hoping his presence at the club will make an immediate impact.
Away form:
Away from home, Manchester United average 1 goal per game in the league, with over 2.5 goals showing slight dominance in 60% of those encounters (3 from 5 matches).
Head-to-Head
One has to go as far back as the 2001/02 season to find the last time these two sides faced off in the league, with United securing a double—a 4-0 win in the reverse encounter, followed by a 1-0 victory in this fixture.
Betting
Ipswich 4/1
Draw 33/10
Manchester united 13/20
Verdict
Despite Ipswich’s turn of form before the break, I believe we are about to see a statement of intent from United and their new manager this weekend. I’m expecting a clinical performance from the travelling side, which is likely to result in a clean-sheet victory for the Red Devils.
Suggested Bet: Manchester United to win to nil, yes at 2/1
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
