This weekend, we return to domestic football, shifting our focus to three key Serie A encounters. As always, we provide insights and betting options for each match to help guide you along the way.
Before we do, let’s review the latest outright odds: Inter Milan remain the favourites to retain the Serie A title, priced at 5/6. Napoli follow closely behind at 3/1, with both Juventus and Atalanta priced at 7/1. The rest of the field is priced at 25/1 or greater.
Click here for all the long-term Serie A outright markets
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SATURDAY
VERONA v INTER MILAN – Click here to bet
Struggling Verona host reigning champions Inter Milan at the Stadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi this weekend, aiming to turn their fortunes around on the domestic front. Just before international football resumed, Verona suffered a 3-1 defeat away to Fiorentina, compounding what has been a torrid two months for the Yellow and Blues. They have managed just one win alongside four defeats in their last five league outings. Notably, Verona have been inconsistent at home this season, recording three wins but also suffering three defeats on their turf. With international football now behind them, Paolo Zanetti’s men will be eager to press the reset button and rediscover their form on home soil. Currently sitting 14th in the Serie A standings with 12 points from their opening 12 games, Verona find themselves precariously close to the relegation zone. Only three points separate them from the drop zone, heightening the urgency to secure a positive result this weekend.
Home form:
Verona have been involved in high-scoring encounters at home in Serie A this season, averaging 1.67 goals per game at the Stadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi. Their home matches have consistently delivered entertainment, with over 2.5 goals recorded in all six of their Serie A fixtures so far—a 100% success rate.
Inter Milan travel to the Stadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi this Saturday to face struggling Verona, aiming to strengthen their position in the Serie A title race. The Nerazzurri currently sit 4th in the standings with 25 points from 12 games, but they’ll be eager to bounce back after a frustrating 1-1 draw at home to Napoli just before the international break—a result that snapped their three-match winning streak in all competitions. Simone Inzaghi’s side have been impressive on the road this season, remaining unbeaten with three wins and two draws in five away fixtures. Inter will also take confidence from their dominant historical record against Verona, having never lost to Saturday’s opponents in 19 meetings overall. With the league table remaining tight at the top, Inter will view this as a golden opportunity to secure three points and maintain their momentum as the season approaches the halfway mark.
Away form:
Inter Milan have been productive on the road in Serie A this season, averaging 2 goals per game in away fixtures. Matches involving the Nerazzurri away from home have often been high-scoring affairs, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 60% of those encounters (3 out of 5).
Head-to-Head
Last season, Inter Milan secured a 2-1 victory in the reverse encounter, while this fixture at the Stadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi resulted in a highly entertaining 2-2 draw.
Betting
Verona 13/2
Draw 9/2
Inter Milan 4/10
Verdict
With goals frequently featuring in Verona’s matches this season, coupled with a similar trend in recent encounters between these two sides, I quite like the look of Inter Milan maintaining their unbeaten streak, with a plethora of goals likely to feature once again in Verona.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Totals, Draw/Inter Milan and over 2.5 at 8/11
AC MILAN v JUVENTUS – Click here to bet
AC Milan will host Juventus at the San Siro this Saturday, hoping to bounce back from a thrilling 3-3 draw away to Cagliari just before the international break. The Rossoneri currently occupy 7th place in the Serie A standings with 18 points from their opening 12 games, but their form has been somewhat inconsistent in recent weeks. Milan will be particularly focused on improving their home record, where they sit with the 8th best performance in the league, having secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat at the San Siro this season. With the pressure mounting to return to the top four, Paulo Fonseca’s men will be looking for all three points in front of their home crowd, knowing the importance of getting their domestic campaign back on track.
Home form:
AC Milan have been an attacking force at home this season, averaging 2 goals per game at the San Siro. Matches involving the Rossoneri on home soil have often been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals featuring in 60% of their encounters (3 out of 5).
Juventus, meanwhile, sit directly above Milan in 6th place with 24 points, just 6 points clear of their hosts. Just before the international break, the mighty Bianconeri secured a comfortable 2-0 home win over Torino, maintaining an unbeaten run of five matches across all competitions. With 2 wins and 3 draws in that stretch, Juventus have demonstrated solid defensive stability and a growing attacking rhythm under Thiago Motta. Juventus also boast the best away record in Serie A this season, remaining unbeaten on the road with 3 wins and 2 draws, having scored 12 goals in those matches. Despite the draw-heavy nature of their recent form, the Bianconeri will be confident heading into this clash, knowing that they’ve kept things tight at the back and have the quality to break down Milan’s defence. This match presents a perfect opportunity for Juventus to extend their unbeaten streak and strengthen their position in the top half of the table.
Away form:
Juventus have been prolific on the road this season, averaging 2.4 goals per game in away fixtures. Similar to AC Milan, the Bianconeri have been involved in high-scoring encounters, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 60% of their away matches (3 out of 5).
Head-to-Head
Last season, Juventus secured a 1-0 victory in this fixture, followed by a 0-0 draw in the reverse encounter in Turin.
Betting
AC Milan 5/4
Draw 95/40
Juventus 12/5
Verdict
Despite both teams averaging healthy ratios upfront this season, these two powerhouses are likely to balance each other out this weekend. Historically, under 2.5 goals has often featured in their encounters, with six consecutive league games between the sides seeing fewer than three goals. Given this trend, there’s a strong possibility that a similar outcome will unfold once again this weekend, with both sides perhaps opting for a more cautious approach in a tightly contested fixture.
Suggested Bet: Totals, Under 2.5 at 15/20
SUNDAY
NAPOLI v AS ROMA – Click here to bet
Table-toppers Napoli currently hold a slender one-point lead at the summit of Serie A, with 26 points, just ahead of Atalanta. This Sunday, they will host AS Roma at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, aiming to secure their 6th home league win of the season and 9th overall. The Azzurri come into this match off the back of a 1-1 draw away to Inter Milan just before the international break, having suffered their first home defeat of the season just a week prior, losing 3-0 to Atalanta. However, Napoli remain dominant at home, boasting the second-best record in the league, with 15 points from a possible 18, securing 5 wins and 1 loss. Under the leadership of Antonio Conte, Napoli have shown resilience throughout the campaign with this match perhaps offering an opportunity to bounce back and strengthen their position at the top of the table.
Home form:
Napoli have averaged 1.83 goals per game at home this season, with over 2.5 goals dominating in 67% of those encounters (4 out of 6).
AS Roma, on the other hand, have struggled for consistency this season, particularly on the road. The Giallorossi remain winless in their six away games, recording four draws and two defeats. They enter this fixture on the back of a 3-2 home loss to Bologna just before the international break, marking their second consecutive league defeat. Recent weeks have been marked by a mix of losses and draws, leaving Roma in 12th place with 13 points. Earlier this week, the club parted ways with head coach Ivan Juric in a bid to reverse their fortunes. In a dramatic turn of events, Claudio Ranieri has come out of retirement to return to Serie A and guide Roma in their efforts to revive their campaign. While Ranieri’s appointment brings a wealth of experience and renewed hope, Roma’s poor away form remains a significant concern. Against a Napoli side that has been formidable at home, they face a daunting challenge and will need a marked improvement under Ranieri to disrupt Napoli’s title ambitions and secure a much-needed result.
Away form:
AS Roma have averaged 0.83 goals per game away from home this season, with under 2.5 goals dominating in 67% of those encounters (4 out of 6).
Head-to-Head
Last season, AS Roma won the reverse fixture 2-0, and the two sides played out a 2-2 draw in this matchup.
Betting
Napoli 15/20
Draw 11/4
AS Roma 4/1
Verdict
Napoli are likely to secure a victory against AS Roma this weekend. While Claudio Ranieri’s recent appointment may bring a change in approach, it may be too soon for him to make a noticeable impact. Napoli have been strong at home, and with their attacking prowess and solid defensive record, Antonio Conte’s side are well-equipped to extend their lead at the top with a clinical win over Roma.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Napoli at 15/20
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Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
