The international stage lights up with Friday night UEFA Nations League action, showcasing two highly anticipated clashes. We delve into each matchup, offering insights and key betting options to consider.
Let’s first examine the current outright markets. European champions Spain continue to gain support as favourites at 7/2, followed by Germany, who have strengthened their position at 4/1. Close behind are France and Portugal, at 9/2 and 5/1 respectively, while Italy continues to pique interest at 7/1, with the rest of the field priced at 14/1 or higher.
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DENMARK v SPAIN– Click here to bet
These sides have been placed in League A Group 4 alongside Serbia and Switzerland.
Currently sitting 2nd in the group with 7 points, Denmark will host Spain in Copenhagen on match day five for a pivotal UEFA Nations League showdown. The Red and Whites have shown decent form this tournament, securing two wins, one draw, and one defeat. However, last month’s results were somewhat shaky, as Denmark suffered their first tournament loss away to Spain, followed by a 2-2 draw with Switzerland. Their home form, however, has been impressive, with consecutive clean-sheet victories to date, and they’ll aim to build on this advantage when they face a formidable Spanish side. Spain, aware that a point on Friday will secure their place in the quarter-finals, will not be easily intimidated. Although Denmark has a challenging recent record against the Spaniards—losing their last five consecutive encounters—the Danes will hope that the support at Parken Stadium, as well as their tournament average of 1.5 goals per game, can inspire a memorable performance on Thursday evening.
Spain will visit Copenhagen brimming with confidence following a dominant 3-1 victory over Serbia last month, marking their third consecutive win in the tournament. Currently top of the standings with 10 points, the Spanish Fury will aim to secure their place in the quarter-finals, knowing that a point at Parken Stadium will confirm their status among Europe’s elite. Despite a slow start to their Nations League campaign with a goalless draw against Serbia, the European champions have since showcased their attacking strength, turning games around with emphatic performances, averaging 2 goals per game overall this tournament. With a winning streak to defend, Spain enters Friday’s clash as rightful favourites, especially given their recent success against Denmark, having won the last five consecutive encounters. With both teams eager to assert dominance in the group standings, this showdown in Copenhagen promises to be an intriguing encounter.
Head-to-Head
These sides have met 17 times in total, with Spain dominating the record with 13 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their most recent encounter resulted in a 1-0 win for Spain last month in the reverse fixture of this season’s UEFA Nations League campaign.
Betting
Denmark 15/4
Draw 5/2
Spain 5/6
Verdict
With plenty at stake for both sides, it’s unlikely we will see many goals in this encounter. The reverse fixture resulted in a low-scoring victory for Spain, and with the under 2.5 goals market having delivered in seven of Denmark’s last eight appearances, there is good reason to expect that trend to continue once again this Friday. Both teams will be focused on securing key points, which could lead to a more cautious approach, especially with Spain needing just a point to confirm their place in the quarter-finals.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Total, Draw/Spain and Under 2.5 at 21/20
PORTUGAL v POLAND – Click here to bet
These sides have been placed in League A Group 1 alongside Croatia and Scotland.
Heading into match day five of the UEFA Nations League, Portugal sits comfortably atop Group A1 with 10 points and will host Poland in Porto, knowing that avoiding defeat will secure their progression to the next phase. Portugal’s unbeaten run has been marked by consistent performances, though they will look to improve after their latest outing, where they failed to find the back of the net for the first time in the tournament, settling for a 0-0 draw away to Scotland. This week, they return home, where the Seleção will aim to maintain their unbeaten streak and build on their strong record against Poland, having remained unbeaten in their last six meetings. Despite those figures, some concerns linger, as Portugal has failed to register a clean sheet against Poland in their last four encounters. Nonetheless, with an average of 1.75 goals per game in this tournament, Portugal remains the team to beat in their respective group and will certainly fancy their chances of securing a quarter-final berth with a game to spare.
Poland, currently sitting in 3rd place with just 4 points from their first four fixtures, will be well aware that this away encounter with Portugal represents their last chance to revive their Nations League campaign. After a challenging spell that has yielded only one point in their last three games—most recently a 3-3 draw at home to Croatia—the Eagles recognize that a standout performance will be crucial if they are to turn their fortunes around on Friday. With both teams pursuing points for different reasons, Poland will be without star Robert Lewandowski as they aim to avoid falling into a relegation battle.
Head-to-Head
These sides have met 14 times in total, with Portugal leading the record with 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. Their most recent encounter saw Portugal claim a 3-1 victory in Warsaw last month in the reverse fixture of this season’s UEFA Nations League campaign.
Betting
Portugal 2/7
Draw 5/1
Poland 10/1
Verdict
With time running out, Poland will have little choice but to take calculated risks in pursuit of a vital result. However, with Portugal’s potent attack, the hosts will sense an opportunity to capitalize on any defensive gaps. Portugal’s strong home record suggests they will be confident of holding firm, especially given the stakes of Friday’s encounter. This matchup has all the makings of a high-scoring affair, with both teams expected to contribute to the scoreboard.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance and Both Teams to Score, Portugal/Draw and Yes at 5/4
Click here for betting on all of this week’s matches
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
