AFCON 2025 qualification action continues this week when South Africa go head-to-head with the Congo Republic on Friday the 11th of October. The match will be held at the Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium in Gqeberha and we look at the game from a betting angle.
These sides are playing in Group K, alongside Uganda and South Sudan. South Africa are in 2nd on the log, behind Uganda after winning 1 and drawing 1 of their 2 games, Congo Republic sit one spot back in 3rd and they have won 1 and lost 1 of their matches so far.
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SOUTH AFRICA
South Africa has 4 points from a possible 6 having drawn 2-2 with Uganda at home in their opener, a game where they started 6/10 favourites for the win. Their most recent match was just 4 days later when they played against South Sudan away from home at Juba Stadium in a match that went the way of South Africa, with a final score of 3-2. The winner came in the 95th minute.
With roughly a month’s break since their last fixture, the South African side are expected to come out firing in front of a home crowd starved of international sport.
CONGO REPUBLIC
Congo Republic have had a mixed start to their campaign as well, and their first match saw them pick up a 1-0 home win against South Sudan on the 5th of September. Their last action was just over a month ago when they went head-to-head with Uganda at the Nelson Mandela Stadium in Kampala, they were unfortunately unable to restrict their opponents and, in the end, they lost the game by 2 unanswered goals.
This will be a tough test for the Congo side, who are priced as heavy underdogs.
Head-to-Head
The last time these sides met was nearly a decade ago at the AFCON 2015, where they met in two fixtures, with South Africa winning the first encounter 2-0 away, the second match was uneventful with the final score being 0-0 in South Africa.
BETTING – Click here to bet
South Africa 1.40
Draw 4.75
Congo Republic 8.00
VERDICT
I am expecting South Africa to tighten up on defence against a Congo side that is struggling for goals. A home win with a clean sheet is my call.
Prediction: South Africa 2 Congo 0
Bet: Totals and Both Teams to Score – Under 2.5 and No at 2.25 – this also covers the 0-0 draw
If you are looking for a bigger price the 2-0 correct score is trading at 6.50 and for the more conservative punter South Africa to keep a clean sheet is priced at 1.85.
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
