The Rugby Championship will be decided this weekend when South Africa host Argentina at the Mbombela Stadium in Nelspruit and we also take a look at the Bledisloe Cup fixture, between New Zealand and Australia in Wellington.
Argentina still have a mathematical chance of winning the Rugby Championship and they are 20/1 in the outright market with South Africa at 1/100.
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NEW ZEALAND v AUSTRALIA – Click here to bet
New Zealand currently sit 3rd on the log, 3 points behind Argentina and 8 points behind South Africa who they cannot catch. They opened their campaign with a shock 38-30 loss at home to Argentina at this ground before bouncing back with a 42-10 win in Auckland. They then travelled to South Africa where they were beaten 31-27 at Ellis Park and 18-12 in Cape Town and last week they almost blew a big lead, beating Australia 31-28 in Sydney. New Zealand have not scored a point in the final 20 minutes of any of their Rugby Championship matches.
Australia hosted South Africa in their first two matches losing by 27 points in Brisbane and 18 points in Perth, both matches were low scoring encounters. They then edged Argentina 20-19 in a wet game on the road before blowing a 17 point lead to lose 67-27 in Argentina. They showed great character last week to come very close to beating New Zealand, having looked down and out at half-time.
Handicap: New Zealand -19.5
I think Australia would have taken a lot from their comeback last week and of all the grounds in New Zealand, they have the best record at Wellington. I am going to back them to beat the handicap.
BET: Australia +19.5 at 19/20
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SOUTH AFRICA v ARGENTINA – Click here to bet
After convincing wins in Australia, South Africa had to fight hard for a narrow victory over New Zealand in their third and fourth matches. They then travelled to Argentina last week with the aim of putting the Rugby Championship to bed, but after a fast start when they led 17-0, Argentina came back into the game and ultimately won 29-28. The Boks didn’t take their full team over and will be at full strength for this encounter.
Argentina have beaten all three of their Rugby Championship rivals in the same season for the first time ever. Their challenges have been putting back-to-back matches together, as could be seen when they beat New Zealand only to get hammered by the same opponents a week later. They will have taken a lot of confidence from their win against South Africa and it will be interesting to see if they go for the tries early in the unlikely hope of winning the Rugby Championship.
Handicap: South Africa -18.5
I am expecting the Boks to be too strong and to finish what they failed to do last week.
BET: Handicap, South Africa -18.5 at 9/10
I think we will get plenty of tries in this game and I am going to back South Africa, No. 9, Jaden Hendrikse
BET: First Tryscorer, Jaden Hendrikse at 20/1
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
