This weekend, all eyes will be on the Milan Derby as we cover three Serie A matches, providing insights and betting options for each game.
Before diving in, let’s review the latest outright odds: reigning champions Inter Milan remain the favourites at 6/10, followed by Juventus at 11/4. Napoli, now third-best, have shortened to 5/1, while AC Milan is priced at 10/1. The remaining contenders are priced at 20/1 or higher.
Click here for all the long-term Serie A outright markets
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SATURDAY
VENEZIA FC v GENOA– Click here to bet
Still searching for their first win of the season, Venezia will host Genoa in Venice for just their second home game of the campaign. Their return to top-flight football has been disappointing so far, with the team currently languishing at the bottom of the standings with only one point. Last weekend, they suffered a 4-0 defeat away to AC Milan, marking their third loss of the season—a troubling trend as we enter just match day 5. Venezia have yet to score at their beloved Pier Luigi Penzo Stadium this season, and they head into Saturday’s clash averaging a meagre 0.5 goals per game overall while conceding 2 goals per game.
Genoa travels to Venice currently positioned in mid-table, sitting 11th. Last weekend, the Griffin’s earned a point with a 1-1 draw at home against Roma. This Saturday offers the Red and Blues a chance to secure their second win of the season, especially considering Venezia’s poor performance in the league so far. Notably, Genoa’s sole victory this season has come away from home, bringing their record to 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 defeat. On average, the Griffins have scored 1 goal per game while conceding 0.75 goals per game.
Head-to-Head
The last time these two teams met in the league was during the 2022/23 Serie B season, when Genoa completed the double. They won 2-1 in this fixture, followed by a 1-0 victory in the reverse match.
Betting
Venezia 22/10
Draw 23/10
Genoa 27/20
Prediction
A chance is taken on the visitors to claim all three points here. In my view, the Winged Lions will have to wait a little longer to secure their first win of the season. With pressure already mounting on Venezia, they may struggle to achieve a positive result again this weekend.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Genoa at 27/20
JUVENTUS v NAPOLI– Click here to bet
Juventus will welcome Napoli to the Allianz Stadium this Saturday, fresh off a 3-1 victory over PSV in the Champions League. In Serie A, Juventus are currently sitting 4th in the table and remain unbeaten. However, they have drawn their last two matches 0-0, most recently against a determined Empoli side away. Despite the back-to-back draws, Juventus have yet to concede a goal in the league and are averaging 1.5 goals per game domestically.
Napoli return to Turin this weekend, faring slightly better than Juventus in the league. After securing their third win of the season with a 4-0 victory over Cagliari last Sunday, the Azzurri are currently 2nd in the standings with 9 points. Despite this strong position, Napoli have yet to win on the road, having lost 3-0 to Verona on the opening weekend of the new season. The Blues will be hoping for better fortune this Saturday. Overall, Napoli have managed to secure two clean sheets from four matches and average 2.25 goals per game.
Head-to-Head
Juventus secured a 1-0 victory in this fixture last season, while Napoli responded with a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture.
Betting
Juventus 12/10
Draw 95/40
Napoli 12/5
Prediction
This fixture, typically characterized by plenty of resistance, is likely to be no different this weekend. Juventus’ solid defence should balance well with Napoli’s struggles on the road, making unders as well as the hosts to avoid defeat my value play for this match.
Suggested Bet: Double Chance And Total, Juventus/Draw And Under 2.5 at 23/20
SUNDAY
INTER MILAN v AC MILAN– Click here to bet
Derby day is upon us this Sunday as Inter Milan face AC Milan at the San Siro. Despite both teams competing in Europe midweek, Sunday’s clash will be a top priority, with bragging rights in Milan up for grabs. Inter Milan missed out on their third consecutive league win last weekend, settling for a 1-1 draw away to Monza, leaving them 3rd in the standings. Averaging three goals per game at home in the league this season, the Nerazzurri will aim to extend their strong home form—a trend they’ve maintained in all four recent home encounters against AC Milan across all competitions.
AC Milan won’t have to travel far as they face their rivals, Inter Milan, at the San Siro this Sunday. Despite sharing the same venue, the Rossoneri haven’t fared well as the ‘away’ team in this fixture. Heading into match day 5, the Red and Blacks secured their first win of the season with a 4-0 demolition of Venezia last weekend, placing them 10th in the standings with 5 points. Like Inter Milan, they face a quick turnaround for derby day after featuring in Europe earlier this week. Although they average 2.25 goals per game in the league, their defensive structure remains a concern, with an average of 1.5 goals conceded per game this season—a statistic that could be discouraging given their challenging record in this fixture.
Head-to-Head
Inter Milan secured a convincing 5-1 victory in this fixture last season, followed by a 2-1 win in the reverse match.
Betting
Inter Milan 15/20
Draw 3/1
AC Milan 15/4
Prediction
Inter have had the upper hand over Milan in their last six encounters, both home and away, across all competitions. This weekend presents another opportunity to extend that streak to seven consecutive victories. Despite the derby atmosphere, I believe 15/20 is a reasonable price for a home win. Simply put, I’m backing Inter to win.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Inter Milan at 15/20
Click here for all this weekend’s Italian Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
