With the EPL coming to an end this weekend, let’s take a look at all three English Premier League fixtures taking place mid-week and suggest a bet for each game.
In the outright market, it’s a two-horse race between the Citizens and the Gunners. Manchester City remain favourites at 7/20, with Arsenal currently offered at 9/4.
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TUESDAY 14 MAY
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR v MANCHESTER CITY – Click here to bet
Having encountered a bit of a slump, Tottenham Hotspur finally managed to break their four-game losing streak over the weekend by defeating Burnley 2-1 this Saturday. Currently positioned 5th on the table, Spurs seem likely to miss out on the Champions League. However, they will secure qualification for Europe if they can earn at least 1 point from their remaining two fixtures this season. Spurs will host Manchester City on Tuesday evening and conclude their campaign away from home against Sheffield United. At home, Spurs have yet to secure a league draw this season, having achieved 13 wins and suffered 5 defeats thus far.
Spurs have averaged 2.11 goals per game this season at home, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 83.33% of those encounters (15 out of 18).
Manchester City currently occupies the 2nd spot on the table, just 1 point behind leaders Arsenal. However, with a game in hand, the Citizens certainly hold the upper hand as the title race looks destined to go to the final day of the season. After an impressive 4-0 win away to Fulham on Saturday, the Citizens visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium hoping to secure maximum points and make it eight consecutive wins in the league. On their travels, Manchester City have managed to secure 13 wins, 2 draws, and have succumbed to 4 defeats on the road.
Manchester City have averaged 2.38 goals per game this season on the road, with under 2.5 goals arriving in 66.66% of those encounters (12 out of 18).
Head-to-Head
Earlier this season, both teams had to settle for a 3-3 draw at the Etihad Stadium, with Tottenham winning 1-0 in this fixture last season.
Betting
Tottenham Hotspur 11/2
Draw 9/2
Manchester City 4/10
Tottenham has been a bit of a bogey side for the Citizens, having lost only once in their last five head-to-head encounters in all competitions. However, given City’s dominant form of late, the visitors do appear hard to oppose. Interestingly, goals have been surprisingly low-key when these two teams meet at Spurs, with 2 goals or less registered in their last 7 head-to-head encounters. This aspect is perhaps worth considering, given the magnitude of the game. Instead of focusing solely on outright markets, it might be worth taking a chance by incorporating both aspects in an attempt to maximise value.
Suggested Bet: Result and Totals, Manchester City and under 3.5 at 85/40
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WEDNESDAY 15 MAY
BRIGHTON v CHELSEA – Click here to bet
Brighton will host Chelsea at the Amex Stadium this Wednesday, aiming to build on their recent performance at St James’ Park. Currently sitting 10th on the table, the Seagulls have collected 4 points from their last 2 league encounters, a significant improvement after suffering back-to-back defeats. Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw away to Newcastle United, marking their final away fixture of the season before facing Chelsea mid-week and then hosting an out-of-form Manchester United side. At home, Brighton has shown consistency, boasting the 8th best home record this season with 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats at the Amex Stadium.
Brighton have averaged 1.70 goals per game this season at home, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 58.82% of those encounters (10 out of 17).
Chelsea head to Brighton after securing a dramatic 3-2 win away to Nottingham Forest over the weekend. It’s been a particularly successful period for the Blues, as they’ve earned maximum points in all three fixtures this May so far. Currently 7th on the table, they are separated only by goal difference from Newcastle United placed directly above them. Pochettino and his team will aim to continue their recent trend on Wednesday, hoping to secure European football for next season. However, their fate is effectively out of their hands, and they’ll need favourable results from other matches to achieve that goal. Away from home, Chelsea are unbeaten in six out of seven matches, having drawn four times during that period, resulting in a total of six wins, five draws, and seven defeats on the road.
Chelsea have averaged 1.72 goals per game this season away from home, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 72.22% of those encounters (13 out of 18).
Head-to-Head
Chelsea won the reverse fixture 3-2 earlier this season with Brighton overwhelming the Blues with a commanding 4-1 win in this fixture last season.
Betting
Brighton & Hove Albion 9/4
Draw 3/1
Chelsea 21/20
While the Seagulls have shown signs of recovery in their last two matches, they may revert to bad habits when facing a determined Blues side currently in top form. Chelsea will be confident in their ability to secure a victory at home against Bournemouth in their final game of the season. However, they’ll need all three points on Wednesday to bolster their chances of securing a place in Europe.
Suggested Bet: Full Time Result, Chelsea at 21/20
MANCHESTER UNITED v NEWCASTLE UNITED – Click here to bet
Manchester United will host the Magpies in their final home game of the season at Old Trafford this Wednesday, aiming to salvage some pride. It’s been a forgettable season for the Red Devils, epitomized by their lacklustre performance against Arsenal this weekend. The 1-0 defeat to Arsenal marked their 14th league loss and 9th overall at home this term, equalling their highest number of home defeats in a season at Old Trafford. Sadly, their woes don’t end there, they’ve conceded 82 goals in all competitions, their worst record since 1970-71. Currently sitting 8th on the table, they face the risk of missing out on European football next season and may heavily depend on the outcome of their FA Cup final against their ‘noisy neighbours’, Manchester City, in a few weeks’ time. At home, United have managed 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses this season, and they’ll be desperate to avoid adding another defeat to their tally at Old Trafford.
Manchester United have averaged 1.55 goals per game this season at home, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 66.66% of those encounters (12 out of 18).
Newcastle United travels to Manchester seeking to rectify dropping crucial points at St James’ Park over the weekend. The Magpies settled for a 1-1 draw at home against Brighton on Saturday, a result that could significantly hinder their chances of securing a place in Europe next season, especially with Chelsea sitting directly below them on goal difference. Currently positioned 6th on the table, Newcastle will be on the road for the remainder of their campaign, commencing at Old Trafford this Wednesday and concluding the season at Brentford Community Stadium on May 19th. Away from home, Newcastle has endured a challenging season, managing only 5 wins, 2 draws, and suffering 10 defeats.
Newcastle United have averaged 1.76 goals per game this season away from home, with over 2.5 goals arriving in 70.58% of those encounters (12 out of 17).
Head-to-Head
Newcastle United registered a 1-0 win earlier this season with both teams settling for a point in a 0-0 draw in this fixture last season.
Betting
Manchester United 33/20
Draw 3/1
Newcastle United 14/10
Despite Newcastle’s mixed away record this season, it’s worth considering backing the visitors to compound United’s troubles. Erik Ten Hag appears to have lost control of the dressing room at United, and I’d be surprised if he survives another full season at the helm. The looming FA Cup Final could prove to be an unwanted distraction for the hosts, particularly given it’s likely their only route to Europe next season. With Newcastle’s season hanging in the balance and desperate for points to secure European contention, Newcastle avoiding defeat could be the way to go.
Suggested Bet: Draw No Bet, Newcastle United at 5/6
Click here for betting on all of the week’s English Football action
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
